Originally Posted by birdspeed
(Post 10210877)
In the press conference the “inspector-in-charge” said the power failures to the communication systems(transponder,acars,satcom) were either turned off, OR power to them failed.
This means we are talking about a mechanical failure—an accident. How can you discount the systems being deliberately switched off for malicious reasons? |
The facts are simple - there are no facts.
More pointless theories, I am surprised that nobody has yet claimed alien abduction. In the absence of any real evidence it should be time for the moderators to lock this thread until the wreckage is located. |
For all we know the flight deck was struck by a meteorite, knocking out the pilots and disabling parts of the electricals. And that's the final word, I say.
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The Ancient Greek....true, there are not many facts, but there is plenty of circumstantial evidence. 1/ crew & passengers have all had their backgrounds checked, nothing suspicious found. 2/ there was a sudden event that disabled communication systems and possibly autopilot. 3/ one hour later satcom powers up. 4/ the aircraft continues to fuel exhaustion. When ever this happens it is usually due to decompression and crew incapacitation. Four past incidents I can think of. So, 5/ crew incapacitation. |
Originally Posted by Old Fella
(Post 10210685)
We can all speculate endlessly. A couple of things which I believe are, or at least could be, significant.
(1) The F/O was on his last training flight to type, and (2) the opportunity existed for one pilot to lock the other out of the cockpit. If either pilot left the cockpit and the other did lock the cockpit door it would have been a simple matter for the lone pilot in the cockpit to don his oxy mask and depressurise the aircraft. Time of useful consciousness, for those outside the cockpit without access to pressure breathing equipment, would have been minimal leaving the handling pilot to disable the transponder and ACARS. Of the two pilots it is reasonable to suspect the PIC would have the knowledge to do so. Why the autopilot would have been disengaged, and for how long, is anyone's guess. Whilst we may never find the answer my money would be on a deliberate act by one of the crew. |
Originally Posted by booke23
(Post 10211036)
The above, or a slight variation of the above is where my money is too. Especially as the PIC had put the planned evasion (or whatever you want to call it) route into his home flight sim, presumably to rehearse.
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The pilots have finally been cleared of any nefarious acts. Your post makes no sense. |
Originally Posted by birdspeed
(Post 10211020)
The Ancient Greek....true, there are not many facts, but there is plenty of circumstantial evidence. 1/ crew & passengers have all had their backgrounds checked, nothing suspicious found. 2/ there was a sudden event that disabled communication systems and possibly autopilot. 3/ one hour later satcom powers up. 4/ the aircraft continues to fuel exhaustion. When ever this happens it is usually due to decompression and crew incapacitation. Four past incidents I can think of. So, 5/ crew incapacitation. 2, There was no 'sudden event' the radiating aids were switched off in the seconds after handoff from Malaysia in a known area of poor radar cover, and the aircraft did not call Vietnam control. 3. The only comms system that was not switched off was SATCOM which maintained transport layer handshakes with the INMARSAT geostationary satellite. This is probably because very few if any crew members are either aware that SATCOM handshakes with the satellite even when not used and even if they were aware probably have no idea how to switch the SATCOM off. I would suspect that no non-engineers realize that these comms systems keep exchanging network messages even if untouched. 4. The aircraft did not just continue to fuel exhaustion. After all the radiating aids were switched off, immediately after handoff, it climbed to its ceiling and then turned back to fly along the Malaysian/Thai FIR boundary - across to Penang (the captain's birthplace) where it appears to have descended, then turned right North along the Malacca straits and turned to left to parallel the airway toward Sri Lanka then after passing Banda Aceh and clearing Sumatra and just after leaving radar cover, the aircraft turned South and flew into the Southern Indian Ocean. What a chain of coincidences for a disabled aircraft :D 5. Someone in the crew was not incapacitated or 4, above would not be possible. Or of course someone else with the capability to operate a 777, but there were none on the passenger list. As the report says - someone was flying the aircraft deliberately in a way to avoid suspicion and then to escape to somewhere it would not be found. Had it not been for the SATCOM and the rather strange figure of 8 orbit of the particular not-quite-geostationary satellite, and some very talented INMARSAT mathematicians the suspicion would have been that the aircraft ditched in the South China Sea. As it is, the aircraft was tracked to an area the size of Texas in the mainly unexplored South Indian Ocean. An area that _purely coincidentally_ the Captain had been practicing flying to in his home flight simulator kit. The position of the crash and the fact that there was a crash was confirmed by what wreckage has washed up months later on the coasts to the West of the crash site. |
Originally Posted by Ian W
(Post 10211112)
This hamster-wheel was done to death last time:
2, There was no 'sudden event' the radiating aids were switched off in the seconds after handoff from Malaysia in a known area of poor radar cover, and the aircraft did not call Vietnam control. 3. The only comms system that was not switched off was SATCOM which maintained transport layer handshakes with the INMARSAT geostationary satellite. This is probably because very few if any crew members are either aware that SATCOM handshakes with the satellite even when not used and even if they were aware probably have no idea how to switch the SATCOM off. I would suspect that no non-engineers realize that these comms systems keep exchanging network messages even if untouched. 4. The aircraft did not just continue to fuel exhaustion. After all the radiating aids were switched off, immediately after handoff, it climbed to its ceiling and then turned back to fly along the Malaysian/Thai FIR boundary - across to Penang (the captain's birthplace) where it appears to have descended, then turned right North along the Malacca straits and turned to left to parallel the airway toward Sri Lanka then after passing Banda Aceh and clearing Sumatra and just after leaving radar cover, the aircraft turned South and flew into the Southern Indian Ocean. What a chain of coincidences for a disabled aircraft :D 5. Someone in the crew was not incapacitated or 4, above would not be possible. Or of course someone else with the capability to operate a 777, but there were none on the passenger list. As the report says - someone was flying the aircraft deliberately in a way to avoid suspicion and then to escape to somewhere it would not be found. Had it not been for the SATCOM and the rather strange figure of 8 orbit of the particular not-quite-geostationary satellite, and some very talented INMARSAT mathematicians the suspicion would have been that the aircraft ditched in the South China Sea. As it is, the aircraft was tracked to an area the size of Texas in the mainly unexplored South Indian Ocean. An area that _purely coincidentally_ the Captain had been practicing flying to in his home flight simulator kit. The position of the crash and the fact that there was a crash was confirmed by what wreckage has washed up months later on the coasts to the West of the crash site. Excellent post Ian W. An interesting point regarding the PIC's home flight sim. He had Flight Sim 2004 and a 777-200LR addon installed on a second hard drive that wasn't connected to his computer at the time of the police search. He had Flight Sim X installed on the main Hard drive and seemed to carry out his research on the 'hidden' FS2004 sim. The files showing the rehearsed route had been deleted from the second hard drive, but were recovered by the FBI. Suspicious I'd say. |
Ian W/booke23
Thanks both for your input. I've long had my suspicions about the Captain for the reasons mentioned earlier, but this is the first I've heard that incriminating flight sim evidence was actually retrieved. Do you have a link to a reliable source for that? Cooch |
If all Pilots who had flight sim at home and obscure self-created FMS routes saved were investigated.. they'd be none of us left....
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Originally Posted by flash8
(Post 10211188)
If all Pilots who had flight sim at home and obscure self-created FMS routes saved were investigated.. they'd be none of us left....
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Originally Posted by Coochycool
(Post 10211180)
Ian W/booke23
Thanks both for your input. I've long had my suspicions about the Captain for the reasons mentioned earlier, but this is the first I've heard that incriminating flight sim evidence was actually retrieved. Do you have a link to a reliable source for that? Cooch There is nothing new with the release of this final report. The details regarding the PIC's sim have been in the public domain for a while now.
Originally Posted by flash8
(Post 10211188)
If all Pilots who had flight sim at home and obscure self-created FMS routes saved were investigated.. they'd be none of us left....
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I would suggest the single most important known fact in the investigation report is at paragraph 1.9.5.2. It reads :
"Throughout the flight of MH370, the aircraft communicated through the Inmarsat Indian Ocean Region (IOR) I-3 Satellite and the GES in Perth, Australia." The emphasis in bold characters are mine. This can only mean that the aircraft remained airborne and its flight ended when its fuel was exhausted or nearly exhausted. The investigation report has concluded that in the initial phases the aircraft was under human control. Given all the other matters dealt with, in what is a very thorough and complete investigation, where no detail appears to have been overlooked, the reasonable conclusion is that for reasons unknown its crew, or any other person(s) on board, were unable to divert the aircraft from its final course to an unknown destination. There is no other credible evidence to the contrary. All else is speculation. |
Originally Posted by flash8
(Post 10211188)
If all Pilots who had flight sim at home and obscure self-created FMS routes saved were investigated.. they'd be none of us left....
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Many people read this forum because they are pilots. Pilots know bad things can happen in any flight. May be you are good or your time is not up yet. It is highly unethical to speculate and accuse the captain of any intention to harm the passengers and the plane. If you are a pilot, I humbly ask to you to have a think at this..........you had an accident and passed on, leaving your family in grief and disbelief. They dig into this forum for answers just to read all these baseless accusations! Do you want that and why are you now doing it to other pilots families? God bless all of you! |
FL475 seems unlikely, but equally FL445 10nm south of Penang The report relatively often states, that details are not matching, that events can not be explained... It leaves a lot of room for speculation. I think they have produced a sound document, there is not much more you can do with the available information. |
From the report:
It was also noted that, in the absence of autopilot or continuous manual control, an aircraft is very unlikely to maintain straight and level flight. Further, it is extremely unlikely for an aircraft to enter and maintain a turn and then return to straight and level flight for any significant period of time. From the foregoing discussion it can be generally deduced that there is no evidence to suggest that a malfunction had caused the aircraft to divert from its filed flight plan route. The analysis of the relevant aircraft systems taking into account the route followed by the aircraft and the height at which it flew, constrained by its performance and range capability, does not suggest a mechanical problem with the aircraft. In conclusion, the Team is unable to determine the real cause for the disappearance of MH370. |
Originally Posted by Rwy in Sight
(Post 10211262)
Nicely said! My understanding is that every single cause appears to have a hole! The captain could have chosen a better place to supposedly commit suicide choosing an even larger depth at a similar distance - in the deepest ocean of the world.
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Originally Posted by RufusXS
(Post 10211339)
Are you suggesting that the captain having had a sim at home which had the same obscure destination as what really happened is coincidence?
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