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China junk duck and cover 43N to 43 S
?Uncontrolled? Space Station To Crash In Early April, Experts Say « CBS Denver
China’s government reportedly lost control of their space lab, Tiangong-1, in June of 2016 and initially announced that the station would crash back to Earth in late 2017. That prediction was later revised to March 2018 after other international space agencies realized China had lost contact with the lab and began tracking its course. The ESA has now released a new window for Tiangong-1’s eventual crash landing. Scientists believe the station will hit Earth between March 29 and April 9. The space agency admitted however, they won’t be able to pin down an exact date because of the space lab’s out-of-control route. “At no time will a precise time/location prediction from ESA be possible,” the ESA wrote on their blog. Scientists also haven’t been able to narrow down the crash zone, which is predicted to be between the 43° North and 43° South latitudes. That massive section of the planet includes parts of every inhabited continent on Earth. “Even a couple of days before it re-enters we probably won’t know better than six or seven hours, plus or minus, when it’s going to come down,” Harvard astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell told The Guardian in 2016. |
Ah, Skylab redux.....anyone taking bets on Esperance?
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Will any pieces that are recovered by nearby residents have any collector value?
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TFOA* has been replaced with TFFS.
(Things Falling Off Aircraft) |
EBay
Originally Posted by lomapaseo
(Post 10075939)
Will any pieces that are recovered by nearby residents have any collector value?
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If bits of this go through my house roof, it is going to be an interesting insurance form to fill in. Am I insured for this?
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well if you ask your insurance company they tell you NO and they'll make a note in their records that you are planning to install a great big magnet to ensure a hit and a claim.................
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"Toxic or corrosive"? What power source does it have?
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If you ask your insurance company they, using that peculiar twisted reasoning that they use, will declare you a high risk client because you were worried enough to call them about it, and load your premium as well as alerting all the other companies that you are riskier than average. And that's before they come to look for the magnet.
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Originally Posted by jolihokistix
(Post 10079844)
"Toxic or corrosive"? What power source does it have?
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Thank you infrequentflyer. Just done some remedial reading about it.
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Originally Posted by TangoAlphad
(Post 10079970)
What are the odds of anything significant in size surviving re-entry?
But the chances of anything hitting people, buildings, cars etc are astronomically low. I mean, it might make a hole in some farmers field... |
Originally Posted by TangoAlphad
(Post 10079970)
What are the odds of anything significant in size surviving re-entry?
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Chinese roulette, but relatively smaller than the Russian and US ones that came down some years ago.
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If bits of this go through my house roof, it is going to be an interesting insurance form to fill in. Am I insured for this? well if you ask your insurance company they tell you NO and they'll make a note in their records that you are planning to install a great big magnet to ensure a hit and a claim................. If you ask your insurance company they, using that peculiar twisted reasoning that they use, will declare you a high risk client because you were worried enough to call them about it, and load your premium as well as alerting all the other companies that you are riskier than average. And that's before they come to look for the magnet. *I also usually get a rebate each year because claims haven't kept up with the premiums. |
Originally Posted by donotdespisethesnake
(Post 10080000)
Very high, in fact almost certain some parts will reach the surface, assuming by significant size you mean large enough to cause an injury.
But the chances of anything hitting people, buildings, cars etc are astronomically low. I mean, it might make a hole in some farmers field... |
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In the lobby of the old Carnarvon WA tracking station in the early 70's they had on display a small fuel tank that had survived re-entry.
From memory it was about 250 - 300 mm diameter and looked pretty much intact except that it was split about half way around, presumably damage from when it had hit the ground. Not a bad effort considering that the shell thickness was probably (again from memory) only about 0.5 mm - total mass only about 0.6.kg. Would I like to have been hit by that? No I would not. |
Originally Posted by TangoAlphad
(Post 10079970)
What are the odds of anything significant in size surviving re-entry?
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E) navigation warning: Aircraft are advised that a potential hazard
may occur due to uncontrolled re-entry of tiangong-1 satellite fragments into the earth atmosphere estimated by italian airspace agency (asi) in a time frame btn 28th march 2018 hr 1537 and 4th april 2018 hr 0543. According to the forecast trajectory, tiangong-1 satellite could jeopardize the overall italian fir south of 440000n |
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