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-   -   Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost.html)

wes_wall 15th Mar 2014 02:29

Problem in the cockpit. A rapid climb to FL450 for what ever reason, resulting in a stall, aircraft falls off, banks left, turns 130 degrees plus/minus and recovers in the mid 20s. Then on to where, and why.

kopatuc 15th Mar 2014 02:30

I just want to ask 2 Q's to anyone with B777 Tech savvy.....

1. What damage would be caused to Avionics and, eventually, Nav A/T and A/P if 2 cups of coffee/liquid were dropped/spilt on the centre pedestal.?

2. How many water activated ELT's are carried on the B777.?

GTC58 15th Mar 2014 02:32

Towhee

this can not happen to the B777 as the O2 in the center tank is replaced with nitrogen.

ildarin 15th Mar 2014 02:33


Quote:
Originally Posted by MountainBear http://www.pprune.org/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
This is a software and not a hardware issues so it depends on how the software is programmed. MS Windows is a good example. The computer OS knows whether you shut down normally or whether there was some type of power failure or abnormal shutdown. Whether the specific communications software on the 777 operates in a like fashion, I have no idea. I suspect it does not because I cannot think of any good reason why it should.

Maybe an upgrade of the software is required, so that on manual turn off, it sends a message saying "I'm switched off". But perhaps the black box records this data?

For what operational or safety issue, would it ever need to be turned off?
It catches fire, or something on the same circuit catches fire...

A lot of non-pilots seem to be posting comments about taking things out of the pilots' control.

If you folks insist on flying my airplane for me, you'll have to get yourself a type rating and do it right - I won't be on board.

Capt Quentin McHale 15th Mar 2014 02:34

nliving,


Just curious as to your slow cabin depressurisation theory. Would'nt the cabin altitude switch automatically drop the pax oxy masks at a certain cabin alt/trip point WELL BEFORE pax fall unconscious.


Also, as the B777 is equipped with oxy generators overhead in the cabin for the pax. How do you measure the oxy litre flow, as the generators don't have gauges attached to them?

GTC58 15th Mar 2014 02:34

B777 has 1 airframe mounted ELT and 2 portable ELT's.

FE Hoppy 15th Mar 2014 02:40

Pax oxy auto deploy is dependent on the system being armed.

GTC58 15th Mar 2014 02:40

The B777 has no oxygen generators. It is bottled crew and pax oxygen. Oxygen pressure is indicated on the Status page

GTC58 15th Mar 2014 02:43

system is always armed. auto deploy can not be shutoff and masks drop automatically at approx. 13500' cabin altitude.

xcitation 15th Mar 2014 02:45

A grizzly thought, would PF climb to FL450 after depressurizing the cabin to ensure all on board are KO'd because the drop down dixie O2 is not enough. At that altitude a pressurized O2 mask is required.

Flugbegleiter 15th Mar 2014 02:50


A grizzly thought, would PF climb to FL450 after depressurizing the cabin to ensure all on board are KO'd because the drop down dixie O2 is not enough. At that altitude a pressurized O2 mask is required.
That was my thought, too... It certainly would make sense and would be the easiest way to eliminate any possible "problems" from pax or cabin crew.

SOPS 15th Mar 2014 02:51

Hate to break the bad news, but the all,the fleet of the 777 a I fly have chemical generators for the pax. I guess it's an airline option.

StormyKnight 15th Mar 2014 02:52


Originally Posted by xcitation (Post 8376743)
A grizzly thought, would PF climb to FL450 after depressurizing the cabin to ensure all on board are KO'd because the drop down dixie O2 is not enough. At that altitude a pressurized O2 mask is required.

It would be very interesting to see what was simulated....if that data was recorded.

CommanderCYYZ 15th Mar 2014 02:52

Article in a a Canadian newspaper
 
Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 pilots lauded for strong ties to the community | National Post

On the face of it, none of this would seem to indicate deranged or potentially terrorist pilots.

selfin 15th Mar 2014 02:53


Originally Posted by Vinnie Boombatz
@Physicus (#3579):
You can zoom in here:
ArcGIS Viewer for Flex

Some FIR boundaries look similar, some don't. The ICAO boundary between Thailand and Malaysia, for example, zigs and zags a lot.

ICAO's GIS does not agree with Burma's declared Yangon FIR boundaries (Burma's ENR 2.1 here).
Skyvector also fails to correctly chart some of these FIR boundaries.


Originally Posted by onetrack
2. An oil rig worker, on a highly-elevated platform WITNESSED a fireball in the sky, in the correct direction, at height, right about the time of the aircrafts disappearance.

It's been advised, no space satellite of any superpower, picked up this fireball. Despite this seemingly impossible scenario, it can't be dismissed that all the sky surveillance missed this event. (#3595 Permlink)

The photographed print of the email (link) sent by the rig worker Mike McKay does not contain an observation time. In his opening paragraph he states, "I believe I saw the Malaysian Airlines plane coming down. The timing is right." It is unfortunate that he did not give an accurate observation time.

In the email he furnishes estimates for distance and bearing ranges. His two references to the initial altitude are "... burning at high altitude ..." and "... at a lower altitude than the normal flight paths."

Considering McKay's postulate with some additional assumptions:
  1. target at a distance of 50 km to 70 km from rig,
  2. target on a true bearing of 255 to 285 degrees,
  3. target at an altitude 10,000 to 25,000 ft AMSL,
  4. target instantaneously adopts a random course after observation and glides without turning,
  5. glide ratio is between 6:1 and 12:1,
  6. no wind,
  7. spherical earth
and assuming a triangular distribution for (1) and (2), a uniform distribution for (3) and (5) and a discrete uniform distribution for the new course in (4), then the 99% confidence ellipse for a 10,000 iteration Monte Carlo simulation can be plotted (link to map; link to coordinates).

Although this location falls to the east of the area initially searched by Vietnam, debris drifting SW at 2 to 3 knots would by now have travelled about 400 to 500 NM to shore. Furthermore, the McKay scenario appears to be contradicted by the significant additional evidence alluded to by the US and Malaysia indicating a westward crossing of the peninsula followed by prolonged flight (cf. 'pings'). It is not convincing that a burning aircraft would endure prolonged flight of 4 to 5 hours. I think we can therefore set the McKay observation aside vis-à-vis MH370.

xgjunkie 15th Mar 2014 02:53


That all depends on the nature of the fire and where it began
Then find an accident with fire which (roughly) fits data of this accident, so far you aren't even close.
Valujet 592 fits PERFECTLY!

While they had time to issue a mayday, maybe the malaysian crew were taken by suprise and didnt get time.

lhp 15th Mar 2014 02:54

RR and BA did receive two...
 
...data transmissions, so the AC's equipment was subscribed and registered. The cell phone that's pinging without being subscribed should really have its settings mobile network boxes unchecked. That is what you would expect from a professional outfit like an airline.
I am puzzled by this pinging. If the electronic equipment and antenna is intact enough to send a signal to a satelite or cell tower, then why doesn't it send a datastream, even though there may be no data to collect due to other equipment failure? I strongly suspect that the military traced a different airplane, one that crossed paths with MH370 near the point where MH370 flew out of civilian radar range and lost the transponder. The pinging is generated by the plane that crossed MH370's path, but is not generated by MH370's equipment. Possibly the AC that the military radar tracked shot down MH370 or collided with it and kept on flying. That maybe why it chose the track along the boundaries of ATC's, so as to fall between the cracks, sort of speak.

xgjunkie 15th Mar 2014 02:58


this CNN report of lithium ion batteries is true, then it puts the likely hood of a Malay peninsula fly over as a maybe. The scaling down of the Vietnamese search is not a good idea.
They have got that from here? I know i mentioned it a few thousand posts ago.

bwohlgemuth 15th Mar 2014 03:05


But at the same time the T7 would shed its parts while going down 40K in one min. Not including ANY angle. Add anything above 30 deg angle and you are talking aerobatics. 777 will not cooperate in this scenario
Exactly...777 will not handle speed/g force/etc. Wherever that took place would have a large amount of debris as the plane fell apart.

The gruesome idea that the plane went to 40k and then depressurized to knock out the cabin is pretty horrible...but hypoxia would be faster than hypothermia.

Each day this story turns more and more into a bad movie plot.

galaxy flyer 15th Mar 2014 03:07

It's already been posted, the data is likely in error and it didn't drop 40,000' in one minute.

olasek 15th Mar 2014 03:08


Valujet 592 fits PERFECTLY!
Doesn't fit AT ALL.
The ValuJet flight was over in minutes after the fire was detected.

maybe the malaysian crew were taken by suprise and didnt get time.
Sure.. they didn't have time to utter a single sentence but instead had hours to wonder through the airspace, trying different directions, altitudes.... :ugh:

ekw 15th Mar 2014 03:12


it is quite sad that a popular senior pilot with a passion and love of his job is being character assassinated on here - not cricket guys sorry
he's one of you
It is not about one person. No stone must be left unturned. The people who had the opportunity must be looked at objectively and that includes securing any evidence that might shed light on their innocence or otherwise. The longer they leave it to forensically examine the Home SIM the greater likelihood it can be tampered with.

p.j.m 15th Mar 2014 03:17


Originally Posted by Innaflap (Post 8376673)
I habent seen it mentioned on here but CNN is saying

I just saw an "expert" on CNN claim that there was a seismic event (earthquake/aircraft crash) in the exact location at the exact time that contact was lost with MH370 and that the area was a "non seismic" area.

Perhaps someone should let him know the "event" happened an hour after contact was lost, and that the area is inside the "Ring of fire" seismic zone! :eek:

1a sound asleep 15th Mar 2014 03:18

All these suggestions about sabotage - maybe just maybe the supposed changes in heading/altitude were just a pilot trying to take control of a major systems/control failure. In the absence of any realistic motive or sabotage plan its possible there is no foul play. We are yet to question the absolute accuracy or detail of these pings and who has decoded them

galaxy flyer 15th Mar 2014 03:21

So, while struggling to gain control, they enter a new flight plan, remain at altitude, cease any comms FOR FIVE HOURS!

StormyKnight 15th Mar 2014 03:25

Guys, its simple it doesn't add up, but there will be an explanation in time...

smiling monkey 15th Mar 2014 03:25


Originally Posted by 1a sound asleep (Post 8376770)
All these suggestions about sabotage - maybe just maybe the supposed changes in heading/altitude were just a pilot trying to take control of a major systems/control failure. In the absence of any realistic motive or sabotage plan its possible there is no foul play. We are yet to question the absolute accuracy or detail of these pings and who has decoded them

Well said. I was thinking the same as well. The fact of the matter is, no-one knows 100% what happened to MH 370. What about the right to be innocent until proven guilty? A lot of people on here making sensationalist accusations with little or no proof. :rolleyes:

olasek 15th Mar 2014 03:26


maybe just maybe the supposed changes in heading/altitude were just a pilot trying to take control of a major systems/control failure.
It is clear from the path (if the path is correct) they did not have big problems with controlling the jet, they could climb, descend, they could fly perfectly straight and make turns. Frankly the scenario that flight controls are busted and at the same time ALL communications channels are also down while the jet remains airborne for hours is so unlikely that alien abduction is probably equally likely at this point.

truth_hurts 15th Mar 2014 03:29

well it ...
 
It managed to pass through Indonesian and Thai airspace undetected, which is a bad sign for both countries air defense, if it dropped to a low altitude say -it may not be visible to radar.

Retired Boeing 15th Mar 2014 03:43

Oxygen
 
A very few 777 carriers paid for bottled oxygen option for the pax cabin. Nearly all have chemical generators (plus a handful of portable bottles) for cabin crew.

Heli-phile 15th Mar 2014 03:43

Stop posting complete claptrap
 
The dumb, ignorant ill-informed nonsense that is being posted about this incident is getting me down. Is there a way to limit posts to industry only, Maybe CPL/ATPL holders....any ideas! Im sure this has happened before but this thread seems the worst ever and media will start adopting some of these far fetched brain dumps as plausible. 40,000'/min descent is a great example!

:*:*

hillberg 15th Mar 2014 03:50

No Smokin hole or water debris ,Nothing, just like the comms.

No answer today, No answers at all. All points to getting jacked .

What does the insurance carriers say? Cargo or pax for ransom?

Someone dreaming to become the next Airheart?

91XRAY 15th Mar 2014 03:51



< harragote >

Isn't there a relatively simple process of deduction re: the possible primary radar sighting of an aircraft over the Malacca Strait, I.e. if it wasn't MH370, then what aircraft was it? That issue is a sub-story in itself.

If it was another aircraft with a low radar sig, did it play a part in the demise of MH370, either intentionally or unintentionally? Did one plane limp off west and the other limp off east? Was it fast moving from east to west and collided with MH370?

Are the Malaysians behaving like they're under duress from another nation (China or the US) with regards to what they're comfortable saying publicly about what actually happened?

It's just another theory, but speculation will continue 'til some hard facts emerge.
I believe there are roughly three or four posts in this wonderful thread that at least allude to this question.

And it is one well worth asking in expanded form ie any body have LOA of any kind in the area ? Manned or unmanned ??


For many of the 'aftermath' speculations this could fit.

In otherwords, the key critical first event was a mid collision of some kind.

And yes, one can wonder about that other track.

One Malaysian official when queried as to why they let it go over came back with something alone the lines of it '- appeared friendly'.


Many appear unsatisfied with this 'minor' aspect of the tale.

It does on the first pass, seem more than strange that unidentified airspace intrusion of this type is not a concern.


However, perhaps...... this kind of observation is a regular thing ??

And if you think about it, perhaps a regular ( and arranged ??? ) drone crossing point or similar ?


Then, we can look at the media.

To the best of my knowledge, this possibility or speculation has not once been raised, while they are quite willing, in some cases, to go off the deep end with many other.


Well, who knows, but sometimes what is not said is @ least as useful as what is.

Sheep Guts 15th Mar 2014 03:55

CNN Report
CNN Exclusive: Analysis shows Flight 370 crashed in Indian Ocean - CNN.com

"Among the things being considered is whether lithium batteries in the cargo hold, which have been blamed in previous crashes, played a role in the disappearance, according to U.S. officials briefed on the latest developments in the investigation. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release details to the media.
If the batteries being carried on the plane caused a fire, it still doesn't fully explain other anomalies with Flight 370, the officials say."

I would love to know where the Cargo manifest was disseminated from? And who their source is?
The cargo on board if any is still a missing piece of information here.
Could an uncontrolled lithium ion battery fire in the forward cargo cut all cabling from the avionics to the rest of the aircraft ie. antenna cables etc? Is the proximity forward cargo to the avionics bay and cabling close enough to warrant concern?
New ICAO / IATA lithium ion battery carrying rules were implemented last year world wide.

techgeek 15th Mar 2014 03:56

time to fuel exhaustion
 
Endurance must be less than 7 hours if acft maneuvered as much as now being reported. Especially if most of the flight was at FL230. A much narrower search area should be established based on new data from Malaysian PSR and Inmarsat packets.

Based on known flight to IGARI then assuming acft DM FL230 and went D VAMPI D GIVAL D IGREX anyone want to hazard a guess at the range after IGREX?

fatlittlepig 15th Mar 2014 03:56

most logical explanation so far
 
the totality of what we know at this point IMHO, points to deliberate "hijacking" of the plane by either the captain or copilot. an external hijacker is not going to be savvy or technically proficient to fly through these navigational waypoints, in addition the pilot apparently timed the flight diversion to after the plane left the first country's air traffic control etc.

I suspect this will turn out to be suicide by pilot, I believe for whatever reason he was trying to hide his plot in this odd way. if they haven't already investigated thoroughly the pilots personal life's, financial situation, evidence of depression etc that would be a serious oversight.

jimmydfw 15th Mar 2014 04:00

Flight Sim observation
 
I find it odd that the First Officer is outed on Australian TV as having broken security protocol by inviting a couple of highschool girls on the flight deck and trying to hook-up with them while they were on holiday in Thailand. I can venture that was not an isolated event as well. The forum's attitude here was that its unfortunate the media portrayed him like that and he shouldn't be remembered that way. Also noting the captain on that flight will likely face disciplinary action (rightly so). Even if, and I'll admit it, they don't look like the terrorist types, it demonstrates a willy-nilly attitude towards his duties and responsibilities on the flight-deck as well as security.

Captain Shah on the other hand, has had no reports of wrong doing (so far). He's demonstrated a love for flying with his #1 Carreer #2 RC models #3 Flight Sim hobby. Contrary to the FO, Capt. Shah is immediately suspect because he has an over the top computer gaming setup? You guys need to give it a rest. Its a hobby, something to throw time and money at and a pretty interesting hobby to many people.

I'm sure there are plenty of people here (myself included) whom some would think they have gone overboard on a hobby and have way too many putters or drivers. Who on here has spent more than $2,500 on a bicycle? Fishing equipment? Home theater system? Classic cars? Gun collection? Ham radio setup?

Also, I'd venture to guess that a capt. wih 18,000+ hours probably wouldn't need to 'practice' cutting the circuit beakers and flipping a u-turn in the sim. More likely, he spends most of his sim time flying WW2 fighters in dogfights or gliders over the Alps.

One more thing, from looking through capt. Shah's youtube history, it appears he was most likely an atheist and certainly not any kind of religious nutjob terrorist candidate.

CYTN 15th Mar 2014 04:00

SKY REPORTING - Malaysian official reporting plane hijacked

ana1936 15th Mar 2014 04:01

Last satellte traces of plane are from 1000 miles west of Perth

Missing Malaysian Jet Said Tracked to Ocean Off Australia - Bloomberg

(post edited to correct error in units: thsnks for feedback)

mickjoebill 15th Mar 2014 04:02


We are yet to question the absolute accuracy or detail of these pings
and who has decoded them
The reliability of ACARS was questioned days ago by referencing the discrepancies on 9/11 data.


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