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-   -   Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost.html)

AreOut 1st Sep 2014 23:53

hah, my country doesn't pay for the search so I indeed don't have the right to know, but taxpayers of countries involved in search certainly do

Shadoko 1st Sep 2014 23:54

The transcript of the press conference after the tripartite meeting has been published:
Transcript of Press Conference, 28 August 2014
The answer about the investigation is not, IMHO, very clear.
And perhaps an update after somebody undestanding the Chinese will be found? :E

Lonewolf_50 2nd Sep 2014 15:30

chronus:

Whilst public attention is focused on the search effort, no reports are released on the criminal investigation which continues under wraps. Is it not high time the authorities release some information as to progress on this aspect of the search for answers.
Utterly disagree with your demand / appeal for more info release on the criminal investigation. Considering the nature of this from the criminal aspect, the law enforcement folks are better off keeping as low a profile as possible as they undertake their very difficult investigation.

As above, you do not have a need to know, nor any right to know, about the ongoing investigation. When they are complete, I am confident that there will be sufficient press releases and public disclosure to meet public information requirements.

Are you?
If not, why not?

I also suspect that the criminal investigation is stalled pending retrieval of the aircraft and such data as that eventual discovery may provide. More leads, albeit cold.

hamster3null 2nd Sep 2014 22:44


Originally Posted by slats11 (Post 8633967)
It's not an easy task. Trying to determine ground speed and heading over many hours from a handful of values for velocity away from a satellite.

Agree that vertical velocity will influence velocity relative to satellite. But not sufficient to produce a false (of to conceal a real) major heading change.

According to ATSB, aircraft systems don't compensate for vertical velocity at all. (Unlike horizontal velocity, which is compensated for, but with assumptions about stationary satellite.) Uncompensated velocity of 3000 fpm is equal to Doppler shift of 84 Hz at 1.645 GHz.

The difference between BFOs at 18:28 and 18:40 (and the difference between heading northwest and heading south) is around 55 Hz.

slats11 3rd Sep 2014 04:08


According to ATSB, aircraft systems don't compensate for vertical velocity at all. (Unlike horizontal velocity, which is compensated for, but with assumptions about stationary satellite.)
I'm trying to understand this.

Total (or uncorrected) horizontal velocity is much greater than vertical velocity. But are you suggesting the aircraft corrects for its own ground speed? And so vertical velocity becomes relatively greater when compared to horizontal velocity corrected for ground speed? That is, vertical velocity makes a significant contribution to BFO because horizontal velocity is corrected for ground speed.

Have I got that right?

Presumably the aircraft uses GPS to establish its ground speed. Would GPS always have been available? Presumably GPS does not rely on satcom, and someone piloting the aircraft around the tip of Sumatra would have relied on GPS.

How about the postulated fuel exhaustion at the end, and the final partial log on perhaps due t APU. Would the aircraft system have a GPS derived ground speed available in order to apply the necessary correction at this log on. Or would ground speed still be in the process of being established at the time of the satcom log on, and would a ground speed of zero be assumed and no correction be applied (it would make sense I guess for the system to initially assume aircraft not moving when system booted up).

Sorry for all the questions. A lot of this technical stuff is beyond me.

hamster3null 3rd Sep 2014 07:16


Originally Posted by slats11 (Post 8637437)
I'm trying to understand this.

Total (or uncorrected) horizontal velocity is much greater than vertical velocity. But are you suggesting the aircraft corrects for its own ground speed? And so vertical velocity becomes relatively greater when compared to horizontal velocity corrected for ground speed? That is, vertical velocity makes a significant contribution to BFO because horizontal velocity is corrected for ground speed.

That's what they are saying. It corrects for its own ground speed, and the only reason why we have any meaningful data at all is that it corrects based on the assumption that the satellite is stationary, and in reality the satellite wobbles up to 1.5 degrees along the north-south axis. This gives us a compensation error which, added to a bunch of other terms, gives us BFO. See here http://www.atsb.gov.au/media/5243942..._18aug2014.pdf, page 55 and onwards.

The aircraft can get ground speed and heading from GPS as well as from the inertial reference system. Both sources would agree with each other under normal circumstances. I'm not sure what would happen if circumstances are less than normal (an in-flight power outage would scramble the state of the IRS and necessitate manual realignment, and there may not be anybody in the cockpit to do this.)

slats11 3rd Sep 2014 10:22

Thanks for that. I had understood about the satellite not being truly stationary. However I had forgotten the bit about the aircraft correcting for its own speed.

I wonder if the BFO for the final partial handshake was wildly different to the previous ones, which is what you might expect if the correction was not available for this final event. The graph I have seen (included in link below) does not seem to show this final 0019 UTC event.

MH370: What does Inmarsat ping data reveal? | Air Traffic Management | Air Traffic Management - ATM and CMS Industry online, the latest air traffic control industry, CAA, ANSP, SESAR and NEXTGEN news, events, supplier directory and magazine

This link also gives the 0011 data but not the 0019 data

Aqqa on MH370

One thing I noted in this graph is the progressive increase in BFO over time. Presumably this is not because of increasing ground speed, but because the plane was flying an arc. That is, as the plane flew further south and the satellite became progressively lower in the sky, the relative velocity between plane and satellite progressively increased (even though ground speed may have remained constant).

Paulena 5th Sep 2014 07:49

Hard objects on seabed found in search for MH370

roninmission 5th Sep 2014 15:20

The spokesman was very careful not to overstate the significance. Faced with a phenomenon like this, is it likely that they will investigate this immediately or simply wait until they get to that location with the search plan?

SnarfOscarBoondoggle 5th Sep 2014 20:21

investigate now
 
i highly doubt that there would be any delay in immediately investigating this particular site much more closely.

onetrack 6th Sep 2014 00:59

The preliminary sea-bed mapping of the area has found areas where the water depth is as shallow as 600 metres and within a couple of kilometres, it has gone to 6000 metres. It has also found undersea volcanoes. "Challenging" is the understatement of the month for this piece of seabed, and the location and recovery of any critical MH370 wreckage is going to be one of the most difficult undersea operations ever mounted.

Downwind Lander 11th Sep 2014 14:03

Today, it is precisely 13 years since a nutbag islamist on board United 93 switched off his transponder and caused problems for ATC tracking staff.

Earlier this year, the same appears to have happened to MH370.

I have heard various excuses varying between "far fetched" and "daft" for why this switch should not be capable of being disabled from the flight deck. Will the regulators ever wake up?

If they do, they could also consider why FDR and CVR batteries are so inadequate and why these should not operate in passive transponder mode.

wiggy 11th Sep 2014 15:52

Smoke Removal and various versions of Cabin and/or flight deck Smoke and Fire drills often call at some point for electrical power to be removed from items (either by a switch or by disconnecting busbars) in order to try isolate the source of the problem.

Do you consider such drills " "far fetched" or "daft"?

Downwind Lander 11th Sep 2014 16:04

wiggy says: "Smoke Removal and various versions of Cabin and/or flight deck Smoke and Fire drills often call at some point for electrical power to be removed from items (either by a switch or by disconnecting busbars) in order to try isolate the source of the problem.

Do you consider such drills 'far fetched' or 'daft'? "


So far, we have lost two aircraft and their passengers. That is a high price to pay. We may have lost them anyway. Certainly, this crucial circuit should not interfere with drills; with good design, it does not need to.

formulaben 11th Sep 2014 16:10


Today, it is precisely 13 years since a nutbag islamist on board United 93 switched off his transponder and caused problems for ATC tracking staff.

Earlier this year, the same appears to have happened to MH370.

I have heard various excuses varying between "far fetched" and "daft" for why this switch should not be capable of being disabled from the flight deck. Will the regulators ever wake up?

If they do, they could also consider why FDR and CVR batteries are so inadequate and why these should not operate in passive transponder mode.
Precisely how would souls have been saved if either UA93 or MH370 would have continued to squawk during its doomed flight? :rolleyes:

Downwind Lander 11th Sep 2014 16:23

formulaban says:
"Precisely how would souls have been saved if either UA93 or MH370 would have continued to squawk during its doomed flight?"


ATC couldn't find UA93. The F-16s did not know where to go. As for MH370, the signals would have been of immense value, if only for investigative purposes.

Ian W 11th Sep 2014 18:57


Originally Posted by formulaben (Post 8651613)
Precisely how would souls have been saved if either UA93 or MH370 would have continued to squawk during its doomed flight? :rolleyes:

UA93 was in an area (sort box) that was only secondary radar so disappeared. Continual tracking would have enabled some kind of fighter response - whether that would have saved anyone nobody can know.

MH370 appears to have deliberately stopped squawk. Had it continued there would not have been a wasted effort searching the South China Sea for the aircraft and it would have been apparent that it had flown across the straits of Malacca and around the northern tip of Indonesia. Again, there is no way that anyone can know whether that would have led to people being saved, but it certainly would have reduced fruitless searches and some 'dark' satellites may well have tracked it to its final demise allowing recovery efforts to commence in the right place before the barely useful FDR/CVR locator batteries died. Again saving huge amounts of time and effort.

Finally, knowing that whatever is done in the cockpit the aircraft will be continually tracked _may_ act as a deterrent for certain planned hijacks in the future.

formulaben 11th Sep 2014 20:42

So we have established it will help find wreckage or aid in an intercept (shootdown) of a hijack in progress. Time and money might be saved in S&R ops, but zero souls saved with a transponder that is unable to turn off. Perhaps that is why regulators have not "woken up"?

susier 12th Sep 2014 06:13

It's not just S&R, it's a massive issue across the board. If you can't find the AC you don't have answers and it affects just about every aspect of the industry from SLF confidence to technical R&D. Thought that was obvious.

mixture 12th Sep 2014 07:23


So far, we have lost two aircraft and their passengers. That is a high price to pay. We may have lost them anyway. Certainly, this crucial circuit should not interfere with drills; with good design, it does not need to.
Its quite frankly ludicrous that you say its perfectly acceptable to make it impossible to turn off a piece of electrical equipment during Smoke and Fire drills.

All you are doing is replacing one major problem (the tracking question), with another major problem (sending those on board to their early demise through smoke inhalation and/or fire).

Quite frankly, I don't give a damn how good you think your circuit design skills are.....there will always be instances where the brown stuff hits the fan and unforeseen (or impossible to avoid) scenarios lead to the need to turn a piece of equipment off.


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