Spanish Aircraft down in Turkey?

[S76Heavy]

I cannot speak for Turkey, but around the North sea actual do not always depict the weather as it is actually there..forecasts have been seen to be amended AFTER the WX has changed for the worse..would not be surprised if something similar happened here.

[btmtdi]

I understand that time of the crash was closer to 01:45 GMT so this report is closer

LTCG 260150Z 27010KT 230V310 9999 -SHRA SCT008 BKN030 18/17 Q1013 NOSIG RMK RWY29 27011KT=

Now from my understanding of METAR reports that suggests scattered clouds (1/8-1/4 coverage) at 800 feet altitude at the airport - which is pretty low - given the crash site was inland some distance in quite a mountainous area don't see any problems here

[S76Heavy]

But why go around TWICE in SCT 008? It reads 800'over Airport elevation, ans I expect the ILS minimums to be lower than that.

[Konkordski]

btmtdi:

I could be wrong, but I believe that the early reports mentioned an 0145Z time while later information from Turkish ATC stated that the last approach was made at 0110Z and that radar contact was lost at 0120Z.

[scanscanscan]

Costal airport at dawn, temp and dew one degree spread, wind falling off before dawn.
Such airports can go zero zero from 9999 in a flash as the fog rolls in.
IMHO...Poor arrival time planning badly served the crew and troops.
A later arrival time after any fog would have burned off would have seen them better placed.