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Plane Down in Hudson River - NYC

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Old 21st Jan 2009, 21:32
  #1061 (permalink)  
 
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Previous post reminds me of another earlier question....
"How big the chance of both engines being hit?"

If the geese in a 'V formation' fly about three to four feet apart, and the diameter of an A320 engine inlet is about four to six feet (strictly my guess, without any googling, too late in the day), the chance is not that far from a hundred percent (elementary operational research....).

Maybe it's high time we taught those geese to go and fly and feed and roost elsewhere...?

Or maybe it needs a major crash in the Bronx, with a few hundred dead?

The threat is there, and reports quoted earlier indicate it's increasing.

The "miracle on the Hudson" should not blind us to the fact that the likeliness of this happening again is increasing steadily, and the next "incident" may well occur under less "miraculous" circumstances than this one...

CJ
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 21:34
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A question from the SLF gallery here: can any evasive action be taken in situations like that, and if yes, is it advisable? As others have shared in this discussion, geese (apparently) stick to their pre-selected heading, so it would fall upon the pilot to prevent a collision. Would the reaction of an A320 to control inputs (it's not a fighter jet, after all) allow it to change its trajectory sufficiently in 3 seconds to avoid a bird strike?
It kind of makes me think about you as a passenger being relocated from a left window seat to a right window seat in 3 secs. The aircraft weighing a lot more would have a great deal more resistance to moving that far.

Than of course those pesky bird weighing a lot less than you have a mind of their own to zig when you expected them to stay on course.
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 21:40
  #1063 (permalink)  
 
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B-1RD Kills B-1B

from wiki:

In September 1987, a B-1B (84-0052) from the 96th Bomb Wing, 338th Bomb Squadron, Dyess AFB crashed near La Junta, Colorado, while flying on a low-level training route...

The root cause of the accident was thought to be a bird strike on a wing's leading edge during the low-level flight. The impact was severe enough to sever the fuel and hydraulic lines running along the forward spar that served that side of the aircraft, whereas the other side and its two engines functioned long enough to enable the three crew members to eject. The B-1B fleet was later modified to protect the various supply lines, which lie along the edge.[50]

GB
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 21:47
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Slides/Rafts

I would like to know why they changed the colour of the slides to silver/grey as rather than the yellow that it was in the past???


Radiant heat protection to reduce damage from exposure to fire.
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 21:54
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A question from the SLF gallery here: can any evasive action be taken in situations like that, and if yes, is it advisable? As others have shared in this discussion, geese (apparently) stick to their pre-selected heading, so it would fall upon the pilot to prevent a collision. Would the reaction of an A320 to control inputs (it's not a fighter jet, after all) allow it to change its trajectory sufficiently in 3 seconds to avoid a bird strike?
And an answer from the SLF gallery. It probably all depends on how much time you have. I was on a USAir 737 coming from into PHL from ROC about 10 years ago. We had desended through a thin cloud deck, and as soon as we came out of it, the plane rolled violently to the right into an extremely steep bank angle. I was in a left window seat, and saw a string of birds fly by just below the wing. After we leveled off, the pilot came on to apologize and explain that, upon exiting the cloud deck, we were heading right into a large formation of geese...at 9,000 feet. Evidently he had enough time, but at that speed, we were just lucky. I don't think that 3 seconds from the time you spot them, especially a large formation, is enough to change the direction of an aircraft to avoid a large flock. One bird maybe, but I don't know how you react that fast.

Here is another YouTube video showing a bird strike that brought down a jet fighter, with the view being from the cockpit camera. Watch how fast the bird is upon him.

YouTube - F16 bird strike and eject

Not sure how you avoid that.
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 22:07
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galvonager,
I think part of the answer is in the answer to the question "how long does it take you to say ""OH SH!T"" ?

I'm serious. You've got to see first, and then assess.
That's at least a second gone (say "twenty" once.. under those circumstances seconds are very long...).

After that, whatever you do, push or pull, the aircraft you're flying DOES have a certain amount of inertia.

If you were not exactly on those birds' trajectory... you'll miss them. If you were, anything you will have done on the controls in the two remaining seconds before you hit them will not have made the slightest difference.

I often wonder here, how many people have counted "twenty, twenty, twenty" to roughly count off three second and have understood how short (or long) it can be... before answering certain posts?

CJ
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 22:13
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Jet engines cant digest birds well , would propeller aircraft generally fare better or would damage to the blades render them even worse in bird strikes?
from birdstrike.org
(Admittedly turbo-prop)
10 March 1960. A Lockheed Electra turbo-prop ingested European starlings into all 4 engines during takeoff from Boston Logan Airport (MA). The plane crashed into Boston Harbor, killing 62 people. Following this accident, the FAA initiated action to develop minimum bird ingestion standards for turbine-powered engines.
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 22:26
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It kind of makes me think about you as a passenger being relocated from a left window seat to a right window seat in 3 secs. The aircraft weighing a lot more would have a great deal more resistance to moving that far.
Well, yes, exactly - therefore my question - how much could be done? Thinking about it (and please correct me if I'm wrong), the biggest deviation could be achieved in the vertical direction, more specifically down, as aided by gravity. However, thinking further, it seems that in this particular instance, with flight 1549, it would be a bad idea to try to duck under the geese. Because, if unsuccessful, one would end w/o engines, at a lower altitude, worse off than if no action was taken.
So, is there consensus, that in cases like this, where you see the birds just small seconds before intersecting them, you can't realistically expect to be able to do anything to avoid them?
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 22:29
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avoidance

I don't think avoidance is a realistic possibility in all cases.

1) Night
2) high altitude with high speeds.

Luckily, 1&2 are rarer cases.

Still, even low and slow and in daylight is not conducive to fast evasive action. Also there is the possibility of going the wrong way even if such action is taken (ryanair).
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 22:51
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Morbos, some factual corrections:

1. The bird strike rate is actually slightly higher at night.

2. High altitude events are not that rare either.

Those who choose to fly above 250 knots below 10,000 ft. are playing with fire.

Take a,long and hard look at the physics and the certification standards for aircraft and engines and you will most likely change your operating speeds.

Despite what many think bird behaviour can be managed to yield significant reduction in bird strike risks. Success requires an integrated apporach to the problem.

Unfortunately, wildlife management regulations are poor or non-existent and not science driven and performance based. The evolution in regulations is slow. Canada has enacted decent regulations, but it still requires that all the stakeholders buy in to make a difference.
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Old 21st Jan 2009, 23:49
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galvonager

as a pilot, I think your question is quite valid. I learned to fly 34 years ago at a small airport right next to a bird sanctuary. I learned how to avoid birds as some learn cross wind landings...part of the routine.

Contrary to the other answers you received, I believe the answer is yes, you can maneuver an airliner and avoid birds. I've even reminded my colleagues of the maneuver and they seem to agree. I've decided not to publish my maneuver here, but should the need arise, I would certainly use it. I think it would be quite easy if you had a true 3 seconds.

It was a good question and the answers you have received don't do it justice.


For those of you wondering what the maneuver is and why I don't publish it here, if I were wrong, I wouldn't want it on my shoulders. But I would do it in a heartbeat and changing, even a few feet, might save you.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 00:17
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I was under the impression most birds are only day VFR most don't fly at night or in cloud. The occasional owl or predatory bird might fly at night.

You rarely see common species of birds flying past dusk, I see them all heading for their nests to rest and avoid predators.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 00:31
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For those of you wondering what the maneuver is and why I don't publish it here, if I were wrong, I wouldn't want it on my shoulders.
I wholeheartedly agree with that.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 00:57
  #1074 (permalink)  
 
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Birds Fly at Night

I hit a Mallard Duck at 12,000ft., IMC in a DC-3 while picking up light rime ice.

Being warm bodied, I guess the Duck wasn't worried about the icing. He had hot wings; all I had were boots and prop alcohol that I could smell when it was on.

Feet and feathers in the right windshield wiper were the identifying parts.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 01:11
  #1075 (permalink)  
 
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I've had one at night at 9,500 feet in VMC. There is nothing I wouldn't believe in aviation!! Birds are a problem, but "playing with fire", I'm not so certain. I could see a day where we do what Dover AFB does during migration seasons, have a "controller" who can see birds on a radar tuned to see birds and perhaps restrict ops during peak times. But will airlines and passengers stand for waiting for an hour to avoid birds or, as Dover does, close down during sunrise and sunset hours.

GF
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 01:19
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Bird RADAR

I've already come to that conclusion. Get an old WX RADAR dedicated to bird watching at certain airports.

The DC-3s I flew in the 70s didn't have RADAR, however, we were often successful in getting the bored Center Controllers to tune their sets to paint weather when there was T'storm activity. At 2 or 3AM they didn't have much to do.

Occasionally, a controller was "too busy". I ended up flying through large cells on three occasions. All I can say is that the DC-3 is well built.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 01:52
  #1077 (permalink)  

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Multiple bird strikes flying into Timika in West Irian (WABP) on two consecutive Friday evenings some years ago.

Both resulted in #4 coming off the wing, one was cooked, the other not.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 04:47
  #1078 (permalink)  
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more birds at night

On Jul 29, 2007, at 4:16 in the morning, an An-12 hit a flock of birds on climb-out from UUDD at between 220' and 250' AGL. No.3&4 quit, no.1&2 weren't enough to maintain altitude. The aircraft hit trees and crashed. All 7 crew perished.
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 06:46
  #1079 (permalink)  
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Migrating geese tend to fly at night, at high altitude above cloud or at least in clear air. They will happily climb, india mike, to reach clear air. The climb can take an hour or more.

On avoidance, at 300 kts the aircraft is flying at approximately 1500 feet in 3 seconds or just over a quarter mile. If it takes one second to appreciate the potential for collision you are just 1000 feet away.

In this instance the aircraft was in a climb at possibly 30 feet per second rate of climb. The perception problem is in 3 dimensions and the PF believed they would pass over the birds.

You have 2 seconds left . . .
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Old 22nd Jan 2009, 06:46
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Here is another example of a birdstrike at night!







21 Oct 2007 Nocturnal birdstrike with a song thrush (c.73 g)
British Mediterranean (BMed), A320, struck en route in the UK on 21 Oct 2007.
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