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Aircraft down in Nepal 18 dead

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Aircraft down in Nepal 18 dead

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Old 8th Oct 2008, 15:19
  #21 (permalink)  
 
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I have flown in there as a passenger - the video on youtube doesn't show the slope there - there is a serious upslope on landing (toward the mountain), and very little room - to the side of the runway at the uphill end is a small apron, big enough for maybe 3 small aircraft. Its not that long, has a serious slope, particularly at the top end and as mentioned, the go-around and overshoot options are pretty limited. However, there are many flights into Lukla and accidents do seem rare. But I can understand that you wouldn't want to land long and the approach is over a deep valley. Many flights come in here because above Lukla the only transport (certainly when I went there) was by Yak or by Porter. So all supplies for the higher villages get flown in to Lukla, as do trekkers, particularly those climbing up to the higher trails, like Everest Base Camp, because it saves time doing the lower stuff, and also it is used for flying out people who suffer altitude sickness, but its main thing is as a supplies airport. As soon as aircraft land, the local villagers all turn up to help unload and carry supplies to the village, from where, they are loaded onto Yaks (or Zopyos (don't know spelling! but cross between cow and Yak)) and taken up the mountainous paths to the outlying areas.
There were no roads above Lukla when I was there, only trails.
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Old 8th Oct 2008, 16:30
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Gee, whole families perished, according to the list of the deceased, the airline's boss lost a relative too (the CC).

As far as I know (not been there, I stand corrected) the decision point is way before short final, because there is no option to go around due to the mountainuous terrain. So, even with things getting massively wrong at the last seconds, you could end up "condemned to land", whatever the odds.

Said that, I can imagine that with the reportedly suddenly upcoming fog the pilots could have been faced with no other choice but to try to land, even when they already (did not) saw the runway obscured by local clouds. In one report I heard something like visibility 400 m, not confirmed...

RIP
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Old 8th Oct 2008, 17:07
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According to Aviation Herald the aircraft undershot and clipped the fence.

Warning: graphic image of crash site.
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Old 8th Oct 2008, 18:21
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Quote by AN2driver:
Once in a while things do go terribly wrong, be it on this airport or on 3000+ m runways with flatlands for the next tens of miles
You don't want to assume or imply that safety is the same in every type of operation? Traffic rate in those extreme airports is just so small because there is less traffic. If you would move as many pax as in the western world, you would have an accident every second day.

ecureilx, of course the PC-6 (Turbo Porter) is better suited for Lukla, but you cannot compare the Porter with the Twotter, that is about double in size.

Be it as it is, if it would work all the time, they would even build an airport in more remote areas, maybe if 600m and 10° upslope is enough, we can make it on 300m and 15°? Where is the limit? What do we want to accept as a "normal" accident rate?

I would never ever go on such a trip. OK, so I cannot visit Nepal. Well, I have to live with that. I also don't want to do Base Jumping or play russian roulette. What is worse is that every accident counts towards to normal airline operation, so people are afraid even if they have to board a plane that operates on standard airports. I wish the public would be more aware of the risks of out-of-area operation and difficult airports. It starts by saying "no, I don't go there". Period.

Dani
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Old 8th Oct 2008, 18:48
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Lukla

Too bad this happened. Sincere condolence and sympathies to the families of the depared souls. But This could have been avoided.

1. By holding
2. By making a missed approach.

When you turn final 06 to lukla and you are assured that you are going to land, then you take full flaps ( i.e. 37.5 degrees in twin otter). If you are not sure or you have doubts then you dont ask for full flaps. Even if you have selected full flaps, you can still make a missed approach (turning left) if you haven't crossed the river ( dudh Koshi river).

People say the runway is short etc. etc. however, if you are on profile, you dont select reverse after landing instead, you have to add power to go to the apron after landing. And when you are taxing, if you take a look at the VSI, u are climbing 500ft/min.

Moving fog is common in this place during this time however, like I mentioned above, you dont ask for full flaps if you are not sure or have doubts about the airfield and you can still make a missed approach if you havent crossed the river.

There are other Airports in Nepal which are equally or slightly more challenging than Lukla (ex. Dolpa, Simikot,Taplejung, Manang etc.)
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Old 9th Oct 2008, 05:09
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Sad news indeed.. RIP

With 2000+ hrs in the twotter it would be interesting to try this strip ONCE but to do this on a daily basis, no thanks . Brave guys operating down there..

Looking at the u-tube links in the article I noticed them entering the rwy before the landing traffic had exited. Is the ramp not big enough, or is this simply a common procedure to save time? If so, not worth it IMO. Things can go wrong so easily and it wouldn't be worth a few seconds of saved time.
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Old 9th Oct 2008, 21:02
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In fact FlyTCI, a single visit could be the most dangerous!

If part of a regular series it could be possible to experience all of the variables at least enough to know when to throw the approach away at a safe stage?!
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 09:20
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I departed Lukla (as a passenger) the morning before the accident. I did find it a little unnerving that they had an aircraft in position on runway 24 while another aircraft was landing on runway 6. Missed approaches need to be decided rather early due to the terrain. A Twin Otter does not take much space to turn around at the speeds they fly on approach, however the airport is VFR only and to try a missed approach in the clouds one would have to feel really, really lucky. It is a safe bet that the aircraft was not equipped with EGPWS. DO-228s are also common at Tenzing-Hillary Field.
Wikipedia has the runway length at 527M (1,600 feet), an upslope of 11.75 degrees (20%), and elevation of 2,800M or 9,380 feet.
On one of my previous trips, the pilot was scud-running due to low ceilings and we had to climb to get to the threshold of the runway.
It also seems like takeoffs would be very scary with an engine failure. The runway is so steep that I don't know if the brakes and one prop in reverse would stop the aircraft prior to the accelerate-go speed.
Getting stoppped on landing is guaranteed as there is a 30 foot solid wall at the end of the runway that has the mass of an 18,000 foot mountain behind it.
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 10:53
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Aircraft down in Nepal 18 dead

Does aynbody know or can remember whether the pilots in LUKLA use GPS-Devices (Garmins) for their navigation and orientation?
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 11:48
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Hi Dani
There is always a certain level of risk we face in life, accident is not limited to third world countries. Even swiss air MD11 in Halifax.

Flying to lukla is all visual(no papi or vasi), one way landing whith about 11%upslope TDZH 9000 feet rwy length 1700 feet.Twin otter is most suitable for these operations. In this accident weather may have contributed major role, marginal weather due to drifting cloud(fog). Flying to Lukla in marginal weather require ducking below the cloud and climb to land or timing to aim the runway while fog is drifting away(it seems like runway is doing a hide and seek in drifting fog rising from the valley below the airfield). Local knowledge is vital and all PIC must have landed there many many times before cleared to solo.
As any accident there are more than one reason what has happened at Lukla.
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 11:58
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BL 553!

On your question

QUOTE
Does aynbody know or can remember whether the pilots in LUKLA use GPS-Devices (Garmins) for their navigation and orientation?
UNQUOTE

They do. On a Yeti Twin-Otter I saw an held one taped on the yoke. It was a Garmin GPSMAP 195. By clear weather, the pilots know the terrain. In IMC, they use the GPS to find their way.
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 17:34
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In IMC with high ground all around I'd be somewhat nervous depending on a Garmin GPS - those boys are certainly braver than I am. Can't an unstable GPS signal give Map Shift?
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 18:21
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no GPS approaches though, in this part of the planet.
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 19:34
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Twinotter down.

Like I mentioned earlier, You have to decide before you cross the river on the final approach whether landing is possible or not. If you feel landing is confirmed then only you ask for full flaps and you proceed. There is no looking back after this point.

However, if you feel you are high or rwy is not completely clear (due to fog or other aircraft) or you have any doubts then you make a missed approach before crossing the river. Which is perfectly possible.

In any case you must be completely VFR. If anyone approaches Lukla when it is partially VFR then the pilot is putting everyones lives at great danger.

Approaching Lukla when you are not completely visual or not on profile or using GPS is a suicide for sure.

here are my observations

A. Pressure to complete the mission.
B. 2 other twinotters landed minutes earlier from the same airline
C. Corporate culture
D. Qualifications and knowledge of the PIC


It just hurts so much to see innocent people losing their lives. God bless their souls
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Old 10th Oct 2008, 20:27
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Originally Posted by bad_attitude
no GPS approaches though, in this part of the planet.
I would suspect that there are homemade GPS approaches in this part of the world.
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Old 11th Oct 2008, 08:12
  #36 (permalink)  
 
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Hi Dani

excuse me for saying this, are you from CH? do you speak Deutsch?
The world we live is so beautiful because we are all bit different.
Ciao
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Old 11th Oct 2008, 08:13
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@himalaya

question.

I saw an approach chart to Lukla, only it did not look very official. However, it was some sort of an instrument let down, starting at an IAF named Fluffy, then proceeding north to a missed approach point at DME 4 Lukla (I did not realize Lukla HAD a DME, does it or is that a GPS fix?

Do you know if there is an official such chart or is there a source for this? Is the Nepali AIP online and open?

@Dani

You don't want to assume or imply that safety is the same in every type of operation? Traffic rate in those extreme airports is just so small because there is less traffic. If you would move as many pax as in the western world, you would have an accident every second day.
There are many such operations, not only in Nepal, which certainly would not gain your seal of approval. Have you ever been to the Maldives? The "barefoot pilots" there and their Twin Otters do a great job flying their seaplanes, yet also there you have other standards than on the flight deck of a jet over Europe. Their accident rate is minimal, in terms of loss of life it's basically zero. Would you fly with them? At the same time, would you fly with airlines who are perfectly modern equipped, fly only airways and huge airports but have smashed several jets over the last few years?

ecureilx, of course the PC-6 (Turbo Porter) is better suited for Lukla, but you cannot compare the Porter with the Twotter, that is about double in size.
Hmm. Would I be more comfortable flying in this terrain with a single or a twin? I like the Porter, but in this environment I'd prefer to take a Twin Otter anytime. Maybe you know but as we write here, a Turbo Porter IS up there, they operate from Syangboche, which in comparison with Lukla is one step further into the land you don't want to go. I know one of the guys and frankly, at the moment I take on a slight shade of green with envy not to be there with them.

Be it as it is, if it would work all the time, they would even build an airport in more remote areas, maybe if 600m and 10° upslope is enough, we can make it on 300m and 15°? Where is the limit? What do we want to accept as a "normal" accident rate?
Look, here in Europe there is no need for this, even tough I can tell you I have taken the aircraft mentioned in my user name to some places where I would have appreciated the "comforts" of Lukla, not in our common homecountry, but "interesting" nevertheless. The fact is, there are people who climb mountains or who simply want to have a look at the Himalaya. I personally think the ops into Lukla is a sight safer than maybe a road-bound ops in this area, not to speak of going up there by Yak (the animal, not the plane ). Also, for the people who live up there, it is a lifeline.

I would never ever go on such a trip. OK, so I cannot visit Nepal. Well, I have to live with that.
That is your decision to which you are perfectly entitled. I would not climb Everest or even the Säntis on foot, because I am not a mountaineer. Does not mean I tell everyone else they should not do it either.

I also don't want to do Base Jumping or play russian roulette.
Interesting comparison.

What is worse is that every accident counts towards to normal airline operation, so people are afraid even if they have to board a plane that operates on standard airports.
So do I get this right, because you are concerned about the PR of YOUR airline, you'd like regulators to ban places like Lukla? I don't think that many people who go up to Lukla are the pax you have on your European city hoppers, not many anyhow. Who goes up there will have other things to worry about, the flight maybe being the least dangerous of them all.

I wish the public would be more aware of the risks of out-of-area operation and difficult airports. It starts by saying "no, I don't go there". Period.
Again, it is up to you to decide for yourself. But to imply that because YOU feel that anything with less than a 10'000 ft runway with CAT IIIc installed is hazardous and for cowboys only, does not mean everyone else should be prohibited to go where they want to go. Sir Hillary and all the folks crawling up to mountains or other explorers must be nitwits in your picture then? Well, be happy with what you do, just do me a favour and don't think of a career change to work with EASA, even tough you'd fit perfectly. After all, they are the reason I most probably need to put an EX- in front of my username if they get their way quite soon....


Best regards
AN2 Driver
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Old 11th Oct 2008, 10:15
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GPS approach

There no GPS approach for Lukla and there should never be one.

Unfortunately and fortunately, GPS is being used very widely in this part to fly/Approach in marginal weather somtime really getting pilots and aircraft out of trouble and sometimes inviting more trouble and putting everyone in great danger. Sadly, there are more cases of the later part.

After GPS was introduced, Pilots started developing their own waypoints and It used be very common to fly (IMC) before entering Lukla Valley from lamjura Pass to DudhKoshi river DECENDING up to a certain altitude and if you are not VFR by then, make a climbing right turn towards Lamidada Airport. It stopped for a while When the other yeti Air crashed at the mountain left of Lamjura pass in 2004.

There is a technique with nepalese Pilots flying DHC-6, they only select full flaps only when landing is assured (i.e. runway completely visible, clear,on profile and wind favorable). As airports like, Lukla, Simikot have point of no return, meaning to say if you decided to continue, and then you feel something is not right and want to make a missed approach, then there is no way you can make a missed approach. However, missed approach is perefectly possible on approach if you have not crossed the point of no return.

As you approach near the airport , landing become so very tempting this is when a pilot starts to get into the trap. The time is so short, you are so preoccupied with landing and runway that you just dont realise that you are high or low and that you have crossed the point of no return.

Thats is where your qualifications,skills and experience comes in handy, you never get in to a situation where there is even a bit of a doubt about landing due to altitude, visibility, and wind.

However, people do make mistakes knowingly and thats sad.

Otherwise, Lukla is just like any other airport, if flown without deviating from SOPs its pefectly safe and the risks are minimized. Infact, for a person in love with flying, this is one of the most beautiful runways to take off and land.
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Old 11th Oct 2008, 10:48
  #39 (permalink)  
 
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Pics on AVHERALD ???

"The subscription requires, that you sign up for an account first, then subscribe from your account. The subscription is only 240 € including 20% VAT per year, subscribers outside of the European Union save the VAT and pay only 200 €."

Is there any other site with pics ?
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Old 11th Oct 2008, 12:02
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An2driver, I cannot and wont answer all your posts because it would be going very long, but:

- I know that Lukla is quite a solid and safe base compared to the others in Nepal. That doesn't mean that it compares well to the western world.

- I agree that in Nepal, there has to be some sort of aviation, especially for the local population. You cannot ban such airports. I just want to WARN all people from abroad, people with maybe little knowledge of aviation and its application, to consider very carefully a trip like this. If you are climbing up an 8000m peak, you have to take that way, because everything else is way more dangerous, including your final goal. But if you are just one of the 1000's of normal trekking tourists, think about it.

- How can you say that the Twotter is more safe than the porter? Because it has two engines? A B777 is even more safe, there is no single casualty until now, still I wouldn't operate it in Lukla. The problem is the size of this airport, and the smaller you are the better your chances. It's not only the wing span and the number of engines, but also the approach speed and the turn rate. While you are unable to turn back into the valley with a full loaded Twotter, you still can try it with an overpowered PC6.

- contrary to your opinion, we also have airports like this in Europe. Mainly in the Western Alps. There are certain efforts to do line oriented commercial flights to those airports. But I as a normal tourist would also go the same risk analysis like for Nepal.

Dani
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