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Continental to Furlough 12,000 Employees

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Old 15th Sep 2001, 19:48
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Unhappy Continental to Furlough 12,000 Employees

Just the first of many such announcements expected this weekend...

_________________________________________

Continental making major cuts in wake of attacks

September 15, 2001 Posted: 11:39 AM EDT (1539 GMT)

HOUSTON, Texas (CNN) -- The effects on the airline industry from Tuesday's terrorist attacks became more evident Saturday, as Continental Airlines announced major reductions in its flight schedule and staffing.

Continental, in a press release, said it will immediately reduce its long-term flight schedule by approximately 20 percent, and will be forced to furlough some 12,000 employees.

The airline said these cutbacks "are a direct result of the current and anticipated adverse effects on the demand for air travel caused by this weeks terrorist attacks on the United States, and the operational and financial costs of dramatically increased security requirements."

The airline scheduled a 2 p.m. EDT press conference.

"The U.S. airline industry is in an unprecedented financial crisis. We call on the President and members of Congress to take immediate action to restore the stability of this vital industry, on which our nation's economy heavily depends," said Gordon Bethune, Continental chairman and chief executive officer. "Our industry needs immediate Congressional action if the nation's air transportation system is to survive."
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 19:50
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Just heard the same news on the BBC.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:14
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No.

Tell me it ain't true.

I expected the economic slowdown to grind our fortunes (and dreams) down a bit, but this is looking like a professional distaster for all pilots all the way around. The U.S., we've got plenty of problems already, just ask anyone who worked for Kitty Hawk, Emery, and more other woebegon operators than I care to think about right now.

If things now are going to be as tough as they were 10 or 12 years ago, it will flush a lot of pilots out of the profession for good, I fear.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:20
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Continental and other US aircarriers cannot blame the cost of "enhanced security procedures" for the increased cost of doing business. Most of these same airlines have in the recent past bought or leased far more aircraft than the traffic dictated, only to find now that increased traffic simply is not there.
So, their reaction is to blame "someone else" when in actual fact the airline managements have way overestimated aircraft needs...big time. This is to say nothing of excessive pilot unions' salary demands. The other shoe has now dropped.

[ 15 September 2001: Message edited by: 411A ]
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:23
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Unhappy

There's talk of Northwest and ALPA have been in communications of NWA furloughs.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:33
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The US airlines will right now be seeing massive reservation cancellations and future bookings dwindling drastically. None have made these figures public and with good reason, they must surely be disastrous.
Given the narrow profit margins in good times, it doesn't take much of a downturn in demand to see them disappear, and the upcoming downturn will be of unprecedented proportions IMO. Some big names may go to the wall.

Hope I'm wrong.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:36
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411A--
I just jumped back into the U.S. fixed wing market and can't afford a misstep now. Any ideas which realms might weather the storm the best out here? I'm in ground school for an airline but casting an eye towards corporate if I can find something. The worries, they are mounting.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:46
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We're operating to a target of 70% today, with no flights to the U.S.A. as of yet. There has been an incremental increase of operations day by day.

I do not understand the alleged, projected, dismal consequences to commercial aviation.

This was a totally horrific and cowardly act.

But people are resiliant and air travel is a fact of life and surrender to terrorism is not conceivable.

In the industry, we have been hammered by the recession but we should not cower to these acts. Fly, show confidence, be vigilant. The only workable defence, instantly, is to prevent assasins getting on board. On the larger scale, root out and destroy the mechanism of terrorism with purpose.

No one is taking the train or bus JFKLHR, YVRYHZ , LAXNRT etc. etc. The destinations are safe, the flights are safe, a price will have to be paid for increased security (it's only damn money) but air transport will continue strongly.

imho

edited for the usual

[ 15 September 2001: Message edited by: Rollingthunder ]
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 20:54
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RollingThunder, I don't think the viability of air transport is being questioned. Rather, the incremental effect on the industry is what is at issue. An industry's sales can go down, say, ten percent, and drive companies that were in a profit into a loss and/or bankruptcy. If and when this happens, the number of pilots on the streets looking for work can increase by vast multiples. I remember the days when 3,500 hour pilots were scrapping for CFI jobs. Anybody who says those days can't resume if the airline demand for pilots hiccups is, I think, mistaken.

It's reasonable to assume that we were up an organic economic slowdown to begin with. Plenty of folks idled already. The issue, therefore, is how the fallout from the events of this week is going to mesh with all this. It can't be good. Finance is very sensitive to small changes, and we're now looking at the specter of big changes.

That's just my outlook, from where I sit here in the U.S.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 21:05
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I highly doubt that the slowdown in the industry will amount to the number spoken of before. However, I do believe there is a possibility, and that is exactly what Continental is preparing for. They are insuring that they won´t be overstaffed if the industry suffers. Remember, most employees will have a couple of months to find work before the layoffs take effect. I think a majority of these layoffs will not go through.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 21:11
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Overcapacity is the bane of all airlines, something RT probably does need reminding of. In a stable situation, matching capacity to anticipated demand is more of an educated guess than a science and I agree some got it wrong. Some consistently get it wrong.

Of course commercial aviation will survive (absent World War III), I just don't expect it to return to pre-WTC levels for a while.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 21:24
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Thanks PaperTiger. I figure I've been dealing with the business component - capacity - most of my life. CPAir, Canadian Pacific Airlines, Canadian Airlines International, Air Canada.

There is a difference between short term (days?)over capacity and long term over capacity. I don't think it will be problem in the long term.

with all due respect to a retired collegue.

[ 16 September 2001: Message edited by: Rollingthunder ]
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 21:29
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Remember, many weekend warriors wil be activated. A lot of pilots will find themselves on active duty, and those on active duty that thought they were getting out, will not. We are in interesting times.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 21:53
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We are all focused on the immediate impact to the tragedy, the humanity lost and the effect to the economy and commercial aviation. There will be a downside. If the business does not display confidence in the future instead of dispair,.... an imagined future may come true. Focus on a positive target.

[ 15 September 2001: Message edited by: Rollingthunder ]
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 22:30
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During the Gulf War, the load factor was really pitiful. I flew a DC10 at the time and at worst, we had 10 pax with 13 air crew. Hope it's going to be better this time.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 23:01
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Unfortuantely, the news from Midway and Continental is probably just the start of a long series of similar announcements on both sides of the pond. Thanks Osama. Hope one lands right in you lap.
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Old 15th Sep 2001, 23:27
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Vsf--
If I were you I would look for a position in the time-share execjet market. There will certainly be increased demand for this service due to security and destination concerns. Another avenue that will increase will be cargo, many airlines (and not just US) are limiting belly cargo as a security risk. We have just today received a request for an additional L10 freighter for SE Asia for this service, more to follow i'm sure. The scheduled pax market will experience a severe downturn IMHO.
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Old 16th Sep 2001, 00:37
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Sincere apologies to Rollingthunder. I posted
Overcapacity is the bane of all airlines, something RT probably does need reminding of.
which of course should have been ...probably does not need reminding of...

Changed the whole sense unfortunately.
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Old 16th Sep 2001, 01:55
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411A--
Thanks for the insights. They jibe with my inclinations, so I guess I am on the right track.

SE Asia is where I'd like to wind up, and I wish you well placing your plane out there. I lived in the general region for years. I'm hoping to work my way back there after I add some jet time to my turboprop experience. I don't eat bread any more; it's rice now. Egads, the far east did grow on me.

I'll send an email your way. I did email you a few months ago, though I dunno if you remember. Your address as listed here a good one?
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Old 16th Sep 2001, 10:51
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411-A(hole)...

I must say that your recent coment on this thread finally got my goat...

It amazes me that you can be so cynical even in the face of such a calamity....I think that I can safely say that no decent pilot is interested in your opinion; Take a hint and blow it out your butt!

There are alot of us facing furlough @ the majors over here and the last thing we need to see on an otherwise good forum is your relentless stupidity posted here....
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