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Sporty low

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Old 8th Mar 2008, 03:48
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Sporty low

This looks fun.
http://www.balloons.ie/met.html

I make the centre of the low for Monday lunch 948!
Might make Cheltenham interesting.
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Old 8th Mar 2008, 06:04
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Metcheck are estimating 935mb. And strongish winds

A mixed weekend on the cards for many areas as the UK continues to lay under the powerful influence of Cyclone Helga (what images does that conjure up in your mind?).

During this morning, so the cold front with its wind and patchy rain clears the South-east corner of the country. Behind it, so the skies clear and temperatures drop a little, however a good deal of sunshine for most. Into the weekend and Saturday will see a good deal of general cloud around. A cold front will once again march South-east during the day but not reaching Central and Eastern areas until after dark.

Sunday is the pick of the pop for all regions as sunshine breaks through to bring most a late Winters day with only hazy cloud spilling in from the West later in the day to ruin the party.

The story then continues on Monday as a deep and powerful storm is expected to hit the UK. At Metcheck we have to put a fine balance on features like this. Had it been expected next Wednesday we probably wouldn't have mentioned it until Sunday or Monday, however for many of you, you'll visit the site today, go off and have a wonderful weekend and next thing will be to check us out on Monday. This is why we have to mention the storm today, so that if you can't make it into work on Monday you'll know why.

Basically, on Monday we have, probably, the most intense storm of this Winter heading into the UK. At present, there is general agreement within all the model of the position and track of the low. The difference is in the intensity, however we'll give you the best fit at the moment.

The storm will wind up to the West of Ireland, bottoming out at around 935mb (incredibly impressive for this time of year). The storm will then push West into Ireland, the Irish Sea and then into the Midlands with gales, severe gales and even storm force winds wrapped around its core. Heavy rain pushing in from the West during Monday morning will also spread quickly across all regions with the damaging winds following on behind later in the day.

In short, Monday is looking pretty damn nasty and if you have any outside plans then please do follow forecasts over the weekend on the latest for this system.

That aside, have a fantastic weekend from all at Metcheck and don't forget to have a quick look around the garden for anything which could get blown around, otherwise you'll be asking Jim at number 48 for it back on Tuesday.
Any S92 drivers checked to see if the software can cope with low pressures, after the high pressure fiasco a few months ago?
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Old 10th Mar 2008, 01:55
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Looks a bit windy this morning:



Originally Posted by Metcheck
All eyes on the most powerful storm this winter - Storm Johanna.

Synoptic charts are showing this ~945hPa depression currently brining treacherous winds over the Atlantic Ocean, west of Ireland. Automated buoys are recording winds in excess of 70mph. Southerly / South-Westerly winds over the UK tonight as this storm progresses eastwards.

A miserable start as heavy showers hit the morning traffic across much of the UK. Blustery conditions will follow. Eventually, this depression will weaken furthermore before encountering the British Isles and predictions are showing a strong agreement that this storm will bisect. However, winds will amplify and remain strong around the perimeter of the UK while reduced magnitudes will be observed within these two pressure cores (around Northern England and Southern Scotland).

Warnings have been announced and the public are advised to take necessary precautions. The worst gales will be concentrated over the Southern coast and the Western/ Eastern flanks of Wales and England throughout much of the day. Maximum gusts could easily reach 70mph + in Devon, Cornwall and other coastal regions in the South while inland gusts lower and at 50mph + could bring down trees etc. Along with the severe gales, there will be heavy showers associated with the spiralling occluded front. Geographically elevated regions, i.e. the Highlands, may result in wintry precipitation as blizzard and drifting snow warnings have been announced.

40ft + waves generated by the combination of severe gales and high Spring tides may invade and breach coastal barriers. Scotland seems to have escaped the worst of these extra-tropical storms for once.

Dramatic changes in temperatures will be absent. Overall, mild to cool conditions over the UK with temperatures dipping slightly over night in Scotland.

Stay tuned for the latest reports and real-time images on this storm from Cape Cornwall.
and current winds
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