If you were a betting man...
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Join Date: Jul 2000
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If you were a betting man...
OK.
It's 5pm in the afternoon, CBs and rainshowers all over the place, and tomorrow morning at 9am you're planning on doing a cross country nav from Stapleford to Northampton Sywell to Cambridge and back.
The low level chart for today shows a warm front heading in from the West. The pressure seems to be slowly, if temporarily, rising.
If you were a betting man (or woman), what you would say your chances were?
It's 5pm in the afternoon, CBs and rainshowers all over the place, and tomorrow morning at 9am you're planning on doing a cross country nav from Stapleford to Northampton Sywell to Cambridge and back.
The low level chart for today shows a warm front heading in from the West. The pressure seems to be slowly, if temporarily, rising.
If you were a betting man (or woman), what you would say your chances were?
High Flying Bird
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Dunno... but I'm hoping to pop over to Sywell later this week, so if you don't do it tomorrow we could meet up for an orange juice 
Now, ain't that a good reason for the wx to be ***** for you?
Now, ain't that a good reason for the wx to be ***** for you?
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Well, I am a betting woman (occasionally).
Sorry, but I would give you odds of about 10:1 against
But, on the other hand, I am an eternal optimist, so I would probably go to the airfield, & hope that the weather is better than forecast.
Looking at the forecasts, I would guess it will be as follows:-
Wait around until about 0900 to 1000Z for mist to clear.
Get airborne ASAP, before the fairly solid 6-8/8 cloud arrives at around lunchtime.
Wait at Sywell or Cambridge, till mid afternoon, when hopefully the cloud should have thined out, to enable a quick dash home.
Stapleford, Sywell & Cambridge all have a choice of runways, but even so check cross-wind limits, as the 18 hour TAF (for Stanstead) gives:-
TEMPO 1217 17016G26KT
OR ..... wait till the weekend, when the weather is forecast to be much better.
BUT ... of course, it won't be, 'cos its a Bank Holiday!
Happy & Safe Flying
Sorry, but I would give you odds of about 10:1 against
But, on the other hand, I am an eternal optimist, so I would probably go to the airfield, & hope that the weather is better than forecast.
Looking at the forecasts, I would guess it will be as follows:-
Wait around until about 0900 to 1000Z for mist to clear.
Get airborne ASAP, before the fairly solid 6-8/8 cloud arrives at around lunchtime.
Wait at Sywell or Cambridge, till mid afternoon, when hopefully the cloud should have thined out, to enable a quick dash home.
Stapleford, Sywell & Cambridge all have a choice of runways, but even so check cross-wind limits, as the 18 hour TAF (for Stanstead) gives:-
TEMPO 1217 17016G26KT
OR ..... wait till the weekend, when the weather is forecast to be much better.
BUT ... of course, it won't be, 'cos its a Bank Holiday!
Happy & Safe Flying
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Frustrating.....
I'm supposed to be doing my QXC on Sunday, so it probably will be a complete washout. Typical - I wait for months to get a week off work, stuck in the office through blue skies and calm winds, and then when I eventually do get some time off the clouds gather, the wind picks up, rain pours and my spirits fall....
Still, I think I'll join you in being an eternal optimist and go up to the airfield anyway. At worst I'll get a cup of tea and a day off work.
Still, I think I'll join you in being an eternal optimist and go up to the airfield anyway. At worst I'll get a cup of tea and a day off work.
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Lawyerboy, don't give up.
The weather REALLY is forecast to improve over the next few days!
If you have got the week off, then you should be able to get a nav practice in before the weekend, & perhaps still have a go at the QXC on Sunday.
The weather REALLY is forecast to improve over the next few days!
If you have got the week off, then you should be able to get a nav practice in before the weekend, & perhaps still have a go at the QXC on Sunday.
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LONDON/STANSTED EGSS 28/07-16Z 17010KT 9999 SCT020 BKN040 TEMPO 0708 9000 BKN012 BECMG 0912 7000 -RA TEMPO 1116 17017G27KT 4000 RA BKN012=
Humbug. Try again tomorrow...
Humbug. Try again tomorrow...
Simplicate and Add Lightness
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Sorry LB,
I booked 2 XC's this week (Weds & Thurs mornings), so it's bound to either snow, sleet or thunder...
Florida is looking more attractive by the week
Over 50 hours now, hardly any solo, school sold old training fleet after 30 hours so had to convert, weather, work, weather, grumble, grumble.
I booked 2 XC's this week (Weds & Thurs mornings), so it's bound to either snow, sleet or thunder...
Florida is looking more attractive by the week
Over 50 hours now, hardly any solo, school sold old training fleet after 30 hours so had to convert, weather, work, weather, grumble, grumble.
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Man after my own heart, Bloke. 50 hours plus, just over 4 solo, since 1996. Same old story, work, weather, money, weather, work, etc 
Thank you, Evo7, and no, no more luck at all. 18G26KT put me right off the idea today, so next flight will probably be on Sunday. At this rate I should probably take up an alternative career as a weatherman: I just let you know when I'm planning on flying and you know it's time to get your brolleys out...
Thank you, Evo7, and no, no more luck at all. 18G26KT put me right off the idea today, so next flight will probably be on Sunday. At this rate I should probably take up an alternative career as a weatherman: I just let you know when I'm planning on flying and you know it's time to get your brolleys out...
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Weather's terrible, isn't it? I've been booked in for two hours a week since Feb and have logged less than two hours a month. 
Today - well 24020G30KT, but at least it was straight down a runway so I got to fly circuits. Made for an 'interesting' glide approach though...
Today - well 24020G30KT, but at least it was straight down a runway so I got to fly circuits. Made for an 'interesting' glide approach though...
High Flying Bird
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Yeah... pretty ***** I've not flown at all this month - longest I've been grounded since I started learning.
Friday looks promising though, so I'm off for lunch at Sywell! Woohoooo!!! Need to practise bouncing down grass strips before I take Velvet to Popham.... :o
I've not flown at all this month - longest I've been grounded since I started learning.Friday looks promising though, so I'm off for lunch at Sywell! Woohoooo!!! Need to practise bouncing down grass strips before I take Velvet to Popham.... :o
