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-   -   Iran V2.0 (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/672106-iran-v2-0-a.html)

Lonewolf_50 20th May 2026 15:56

Iran V2.0
 
FWIW, saw a news item this morning that the US has 'detected 10 Iranian mines' in the SoH.
Not a lot of detail, I'll check the CENTCOM web page later and see if there is more to that story.

BonnieLass 20th May 2026 17:44


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 12089156)
FWIW, saw a news item this morning that the US has 'detected 10 Iranian mines' in the SoH.
Not a lot of detail, I'll check the CENTCOM web page later and see if there is more to that story.

Would this be what you saw, Lonewolf_50 ?

US forces identified at least 10 mines planted by Iran in the , CBS News reported on Wednesday, citing US officials with knowledge of the matter.
The mines were discovered following a recent US intelligence assessment.
A previous CBS report from March said there were at least a dozen underwater mines in the Strait, according to US intelligence reports.
Officials had said the mines were Maham 3 and Maham 7 Limpet mines, both manufactured in Iran, CBS reported.
More detail here : At least ten mines discovered in Strait of Hormuz, US intelligence says - CBS (Jerusalem Post - May 20, 2026)

gums 20th May 2026 22:05

Salute!

Somehow, I have not been able to find the "international" maritime law/agreement/treaty specifying Iran as the nation responsible for ensuring safe passge thru the "international" sealanes of Hormuz.

Further, if we find that piece of paper, does it allow iran to distribute mines willy-nilly if they are involved in military action with states NOT signing said agreement/treaty/ whatever.

Gums asks.....

henra 20th May 2026 22:31


Originally Posted by gums (Post 12089286)
Salute!
Somehow, I have not been able to find the "international" maritime law/agreement/treaty specifying Iran as the nation responsible for ensuring safe passge thru the "international" sealanes of Hormuz.

??? They are responsible in the sense that they refrain from attacking. Is that nice? No. is that compliant with any international law? No. But for real estate people it is about: location, location, location. This also applies to military strategic real estate.In the case of the Strait of Hormus this means that for Iran even a modern howitzer would be enough to damage/sink an unwelcome ship trying to pass through the Strait. Good luck trying to eliminate every howitzer, drone, speed boat or missile on that rugged coast of Bandar Abbas. Short of Armageddon chances are you won't achieve that without invading with at least fifty or hundred thousand troops into the region. Do you reckon anyone willing to go that mile?

Further, if we find that piece of paper, does it allow iran to distribute mines willy-nilly if they are involved in military action with states NOT signing said agreement/treaty/ whatever.
Gums asks.....
No, but what does that change wrt the fact that there apparently now are mines and present a danger to Shipping?! No sternly worded memo will change that.

petit plateau 21st May 2026 07:09


Originally Posted by BonnieLass (Post 12089197)
Would this be what you saw, Lonewolf_50 ?

More detail here : At least ten mines discovered in Strait of Hormuz, US intelligence says - CBS (Jerusalem Post - May 20, 2026)

Some more info on the Maham 3 and Maham 7 mines here:

https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazard...-7-limpet-mine
https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazard...aham-3-seamine

I'm not sure I'd call them "limpet" mines, sounds to me like there is some confusion out there
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Limpet_mine

A swimmer-applied limpet mine may have been the cause of that underwater machinery space damage a few weeks ago to HMM NAMU.

The Ghadir class mini submarines appear to have the capability to deploy swimmers:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghadir-class_submarine

It is a lot easier for swimmers to be effective if their target vessels have been neatly rounded up into small stationary groups.

BonnieLass 21st May 2026 07:43

Todays updates from the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman and Bab-el-Mandab Strait.......plus the new pipeline to beat the Strait is ahead of schedule, checkpoints and cash in the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi oil shipments hit a 20 year low and another shadow fleet boarded and redirected by the USN


The new pipeline that will run alongside an existing one to Fujairah from the Persian Gulf is already 50% completed after the project was accelerated due to the hostilities. The existing pipeline carries an average of 1.8 million barrels per day, the new one once finished, slated to be early 2027, will double that capacity.The Abu Dhabi Media Office revealed the existence of the new West-East Pipeline project last week, saying Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed directed state-owned oil giant ADNOC to fast-track its construction in order to double export capacity via the port of Fujairah by 2027.

"Today, it's already almost 50 per cent complete, and we are accelerating its delivery towards 2027," Sultan Al Jaber said during a live-streamed Atlantic Council event, among his most extensive public remarks since the war began.

"Right now, too much of the world's energy still moves through too few choke points. That is exactly why the UAE made the decision more than a decade ago to invest in infrastructure that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz."

More of this : New UAE pipeline to beat Hormuz chokepoint now halfway to completion, ADNOC chief says (Baird Maritime - May 20, 2026)

The various ways and means that are being used by the Iranians to monitor and charge ships that wish to transit the Strait of Hormuz has been subject to close scrutiny, especially in regard to dodging the US sanctions and USN.

Outside of government agreements, the process to secure Iranian permission to transit involves a detailed vetting procedure conducted by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran’s elite fighting force, according to three Iranian sources and a European shipping source.

“The affiliation check is to identify if the vessel has any connection to the US or Israel,” said the European shipping source. It takes about a week for the Guards to review documentation, and during the process they may want to physically inspect the ship, the source said.

The IRGC requires ship owners to disclose details including the value of the ship’s cargo, the flag, its origin and destination, the registered owner and manager, and nationalities of the crew, according to documents reviewed by Reuters that were sent to shipping industry sources by Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority. The authority was set up in recent weeks to approve and tax vessel transits.

The vetting is carried out by Iranian state institutions including the Ports and Maritime Organisation, the Ministry of Industry, Mine and Trade, the national shipping organisation, and the security overseer of the Supreme National Security Council, according to the three senior Iranian officials. The IRGC, which has broad oversight over Iranian security, is also involved in evaluating the ships, the officials said.

Bilateral arrangements for passage include an additional step: Countries contact Iran’s foreign minister to request permission. The minister forwards these to the Supreme National Security Council, which includes the IRGC and representatives of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, one of the officials said.
More on this : FEATURE | Checkpoints and cash: Iran rewrites the rules for passing through Hormuz (Baird Maritime / Reuters - May 20, 2026)

As posted last week in relation to Iraqi oil movements having dropped due to the ongoing hostilities, so too has Saudi Arabia's. This has not been helped by the attacks on their main pipeline from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea. Oil prices are still fluctuating upwards despite the US administration holding off further attacks, attacks from within Iraq over the weekend unsettled the markets significantly



Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports dropped to a record low of 4.974 million barrels per day in March, based on data since January 2002, Joint Organisations Data Initiative (JODI) data showed on Wednesday.

Saudi production in March was about 6.967 million bpd, the JODI data showed, also the lowest on record, down from 10.882 million bpd in February.

Monthly export figures are provided by Riyadh and other members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to JODI, a data transparency initiative coordinated by energy organisations including OPEC and the IEA.

The Iran war has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, driving oil prices sharply higher.

"At the beginning of the conflict, flows via the Strait of Hormuz were completely disrupted, impacting exports from within the Persian Gulf. The ramp up of exports from the port of Yanbu in the Red Sea and using inventories stored abroad should have helped the Kingdom to recover exports later in the month," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

.............


Brent crude futures were trading at around $108 a barrel on Wednesday, while US West Texas Intermediate futures were near $101.46.

Saudi Arabia's refinery crude throughput in March fell by 0.746 million bpd to 2.266 million bpd from February's 3.012 million bpd, the JODI data showed, while direct crude burning increased by 82,000 bpd to 330,000 bpd.
More of this : Saudi Arabia oil shipments hit a over two-decade low in March (Baird Maritime / Reuters - May 20, 2026)

Oil products tanker, Celestial Sea, was boarded by USN on May 20, 2026 off Muscat, Oman. There were suspicions that she was heading towards Iran despite having Khor Fakkan on her AIS as destination. The ship was released after a full inspection and told to change her course.

U.S. Marines boarded the tanker from helicopters while it was in the Gulf of Oman. According to CENTCOM, the vessel was searched redicted before it was released.

The Celestial Sea is well-known as one of Iran’s shadow fleet vessels. The United States sanctioned the tanker in April 2025 while it was operating under the name Harmony. The NGO UANI (United Against Nuclear Iran) reports it blacklisted the vessel in 2023.
More of this, including video : Video: U.S. Forces Board and Redirect Iranian Product Tanker (Maritime Executive - May 20, 2026)

Her current position :


https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a4db6f8b9f.png


So onto the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandab Strait

The line of small cargo ships seems to have reformed tween Khasab and Ramchah / Larak Island. As a result the route south of Larak has gone quiet...or perhaps dark. Traffic is down again and at time of writing there have been no reports of incidents


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....756cbd7544.png

The Bab-el-Mandab Strait is very busy this morning, free flowing and as above, no reported incidents as yet this morning


https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....c95031cbec.png

The Persian Gulf anchorages and ports are all operating well, anchorages are congested but much of the larger ship traffic has gone dark. There is a queue forming to go to Umm Qasr in Iraq, Doha anchorage is almost empty again. The large fishing fleets of the Persian Gulf (small orangey red dots and arrows are off Saudi Arabia and have been largely static, likely due to the extreme oil contamination along the Iranian shoreline and islands


https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....764db4a290.png

The anchorages off Ras-al-Khaimah, Mina Saqr, Umm Quwain and Dubai, there has been some very heavy clustering going on, all of the ships from Das Island anchorage have been pushed / herded together by the Iranians which is not a good sign


https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....e98bf28258.png

On the Gulf of Oman, once again Dibba, Furjairah and Khor Fakkan ports and anchorages appear to have been cleared, ships from those areas now anchored, against very heavy clustering with Iranian babysitters close by, off Al Widyyat and Sohar anchorages. Again this is somewhat indicative of possible attack or other issues forthcoming. Muscat, just about viewable to the bottom right of the screenshot is, once again busy.


https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....1e0ddb136e.png

Still no active AIS for CMA CGM San Antonio nor further updates on her crew. It does seem that she has, infact, been lost. Hoping to get updates on her injured crew when they become available.

That's it for now....more updates tomorrow.

jolihokistix 21st May 2026 07:45

'... some confusion' indeed.
Just hoping the announcement of mines is not a false flag in order to kick something off again. I would want to see proof of what they found, and dated credibly in order to distinguish the 'latest' finds from the 'twelve' detected earlier, back in March.

[email protected] 21st May 2026 08:41


Originally Posted by jolihokistix (Post 12089451)
'... some confusion' indeed.
Just hoping the announcement of mines is not a false flag in order to kick something off again. I would want to see proof of what they found, and dated credibly in order to distinguish the 'latest' finds from the 'twelve' detected earlier, back in March.

False flag? Like the claim that Iran could hit mainland Europe and Diego Garcia with missiles that helped fuel the 'Defeat Iran at all costs' debate?

Surely not...........

Bfah 21st May 2026 20:27

10 mines discovered.
US forces identified at least 10 mines planted by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, CBS News reported on Wednesday, citing US officials with knowledge of the matter.

No photo's. No video's, no screen shots of the 'detection' monitor screens...!
"Citing US officials with knowledge of the matter..". - probably their friend who has a friend who is close to the source who wants to remain anonymous...

Anyway:
Aljazeera running with that Iran is offering to 'Downblend' it's nuclear material.

Iran war live: Tehran reviews US peace proposal as fear of war rises | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeera

BonnieLass 22nd May 2026 09:27

Todays updates on the Strait of Homuz and Bab-el-Mandab and all anchorages in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman........plus Mother Nature is causing problems for stranded ships and empty skies, spoofing and diversions


Mother Nature, it seems is getting her own back on the hundreds of stranded ships in the Persian Gulf. Heavy contamination from barnacles, jellyfish and algae is building on the hulls, propellers and inside the sea chests. This build up, over time, will slow the ships down when they do eventually move, contamination inside the sea chests that take water into the enginerooms and onboard desalination equipment will cause issues that will eventually damage those systems, sometimes rendering them inoperable. There is also the potential cross-contamination of algae and creatures moving from one area into another that might not have that specific variety. Ecologically speaking significant damage can be done when a ship passes from one area to another if that ship has excessive invasive species on the hull or within the stern / bow thrusters and sea chests.

According to the Financial Times, at least 800 merchant ships remain stranded in Gulf waters after fighting broke out on February 28, leaving around 20,000 seafarers on board carrying out basic maintenance as they wait.

But long periods at anchor in the Gulf’s warm, shallow waters are now creating a fresh operational challenge.

“When you don’t move… you have a lot of fouling growing,” said Lasse Kristoffersen, chief executive of Wallenius Wilhelmsen, which has one ship currently stuck in the Gulf.

Marine growth such as barnacles, algae and jellyfish can clog protective gratings and interfere with pipe systems.

It can also attach to ship hulls and propellers, creating drag that slows vessels down and increases fuel use.
Also with the heat increasing as summer establishes, that will take its toll on the crew....it has already been explained how difficulties in getting fresh water, fresh food are causing problems, as the weather gets hotter those problems will inevitably multiply.



The longer ships remain stranded, the greater the pressure on crews.

Seafarers told industry groups they are struggling to get replacement parts for broken systems because ship owners are finding it difficult to arrange transport to vessels waiting offshore.

Manoj Yadav, general secretary of the Forward Seamen’s Union of India, said one ship had been waiting 15 days for a replacement GPS part that would normally have arrived within one or two days.

“In this situation the owners are not feeling comfortable to find a charter boat to take the material up to anchorage,” he said.

Yadav said the psychological strain on crews is also growing after some have spent more than 70 days on stationary ships.

“Their mind is upset because there is no job on board… It’s a kind of jail for them,” he said.

With Gulf summer heat intensifying and no clear resolution in sight, shipping companies are now dealing with an unusual reality: ships that are not moving are slowly becoming harder to move.
More on this : Ships stuck in Gulf face barnacles, jellyfish threat: Reports (Gulf News - May 21, 2026)

Commercial flights over Iran have dropped significantly with aircraft diverting to avoid Iranian airspace, especially where threats of further attack exist

Commercial air traffic over Iran has thinned dramatically, reviving fears of a possible new military escalation in the Middle East even as regional powers intensify diplomatic efforts to salvage fragile negotiations between Washington and Tehran.

The unusually empty skies above Iran — coupled with widespread electronic navigation disruptions reported in the Arabian Gulf — have triggered speculation among military observers and analysts that preparations for possible strikes may already be underway.

............


Marine and aviation monitoring platforms, including MarineTraffic and Flightradar24, have shown what analysts described as large-scale AIS and transponder spoofing activity northwest of Dubai.

Hundreds of ships and aircraft appeared to transmit false or overlapping location data simultaneously, creating confusion across tracking systems.

Electronic warfare specialists say such spoofing can occur during periods of heightened military tension, though experts cautioned that similar disruptions may also result from defensive countermeasures, cyber activity or regional military exercises.

No government has publicly linked the spoofing activity to an imminent strike.

At the same time, diplomatic efforts to prevent another conflict have intensified.

According to Axios, regional mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt have been working to bridge gaps between US and Iranian negotiators.


More on this : 'Spoofing': Empty skies over Iran fuel fears of new strikes as Trump says nuclear talks near ‘collapse’ (Gulf News - May 21, 2026)

Onto the Strait, ports and anchorages.....

There is a fair amount of ship movements for the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandab Strait is running freely


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....3dec13afef.png
https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....cf033fffba.png

Therer has been one report of suspicious activity off Socotra


https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....d289bf469b.png


The ports and anchorages of Doha, Damamm, Al Faw and Kuwait are still very congested and busy


https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....d298e47c4d.png

Clusters of ships still present off the UAE ports and they still have their herders milling around them


https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....4500784dab.png

Fujairah, Khor Fakkan and Dibba ports and anchorages have thinned down again today with most shipos now off Al Widiyyat, Liwa and Sohar


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....4fab4172eb.png

Still no updates on the remaining crew of CMA CGM San Antonio

That's all for today...back tomorrow

AirScotia 22nd May 2026 12:08

Thanks, BonnieLass , but I'm wondering whether Marine Traffic is a reliable source for Hormuz at the moment, if so many vessels are co-ordinating their spoofing?

BonnieLass 22nd May 2026 12:54


Originally Posted by AirScotia (Post 12090093)
Thanks, BonnieLass , but I'm wondering whether Marine Traffic is a reliable source for Hormuz at the moment, if so many vessels are co-ordinating their spoofing?

I have mentioned a few times on past updates that ships are still passing through dark (AIS turned off). Reasons for going dark vary from company orders to wanting to escape any issues with the USN / shadow fleet. Quite often the shipping company orders their Captain to go dark when passing through anywhere risky...such as the two Straits........the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandab Strait, they are also frequently dark as the sail the Gulf of Aden from Salalah to well into the Red Sea so that they are essentially hidden from potential pirates (I have experienced that myself when sailing from Salalah into the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz, all external lighting off apart from basic navigation lights and AIS off. Both Straits will have a lot of preparation done on the ships....heavy wire cages welded to lower decks, armed guards, high pressure hoses and LRAD.)

Edited to add a couple of photos from one of my trips in the region...one of the armed guards and the cage welded onto the lower deck areas to prevent climbing / access by "uninvited guests"


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....9c44a8deff.png
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....6444755543.png

petit plateau 22nd May 2026 15:30

A set of slides by John Kemp re LNG situation.

https://jkempenergy.wordpress.com/wp...2026-05-20.pdf

gums 22nd May 2026 17:08

Salute!

Excuse me, but this comment almost made me spit my coffee on the keyboard...
"My post was just a comment, just about on topic, not intended for forensic dissection."

Beam me up!

Many folks on this forum consider U.S. news media comments as official policy and/or rartionale for military or economic action by the U.S. administration. Likewise, it's hard determining whether many comments here are actually re-phrased official policies or plain old opinions by the poster.

From now on, consider 57.45% of what I post is opinion based upon real world experience, then about 30.64% as re-phrased official policy that has been expressed publically and remaining about 10% as pure BS!

Gums sends...

Gums sends...

Lonewolf_50 22nd May 2026 17:13

gums, I will take as given that the other 1.1% will be Jeremiah Weed. ;)
(A crazed USAF Major who was flying Tweets in Laughlin AFB (Del Rio) introduced me to that fine tipple...)

Latest news from Iran / Pakistan / Washington on the topic of peace talks...

Originally Posted by CBS news
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Friday that indirect negotiations over a potential deal to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran had seen "a little bit of movement, and that's good."
  • Rubio has tempered expectations for a peace agreement, however, alluding to unresolved differences over Iran's nuclear enrichment and calling Iranian efforts to "create a tolling system" in the Strait of Hormuz "not acceptable."
  • He said the U.S. and its partners must "have a Plan B" if Iran refuses to reopen the strait.
  • Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, a key mediator between Iran and the U.S., is heading to Tehran, security sources tell CBS News. Munir is expected to meet with Iranian officials as his nation continues efforts to broker a peace deal.


BonnieLass 23rd May 2026 08:13

Todays updates for the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab Strait, all Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman ports and anchorages........plus Iran has rewritten its map of the Strait of Hormuz again, another Socotra warning and France drafting up a UN resolution

So once again Iran has been rewriting the Strait of Hormuz charts and maps and causing yet more anguish for the crews aboard the stranded ships who are rapidly running out of basic supplies.

Iran's publication of a new map asserting its control over the Strait of Hormuz risks extending an already punishing ordeal for thousands of mariners trapped on ships in the Persian Gulf.

More than 20,000 sailors are stuck on around 2,000 vessels in the gulf, many of them unable to leave ship, lacking adequate supplies of food and fresh water, and fearful of an uncertain future at sea in a war zone. Sailors interviewed by Reuters in recent weeks have described the hardships and anxieties of their experience, and a federation representing them warns of dire conditions.

"The only thing we do here is plan how to spend the night and pray to God that we do not get hit during an attack," Indian sailor Salman Siddiqui said by phone from his stranded ship last month.

..........


From the Saudi port of Dammam, about seven large ships were visible moored out at sea - an unusually large number in normal times. As the resupply ship bobbed alongside the tanker in a stiff wind, the sailors aboard called out across the water while they winched aboard large sacks of medical goods.

Mohit Kohli, the captain of a large cargo vessel caught in the gulf when the war began after sailing from Singapore, said that when he first heard the Strait could be closed he, "could not even fathom that this was remotely possible".

His German-owned ship managed to secure a safe anchor off Dammam, but just over a week into the war the crew started to see and hear the missiles and drones Iran was directing at gulf states.

"The crew who was usually loud and happy were now silent. Meals got shorter. Conversations were more guarded," he said, describing the atmosphere on board in a Reuters interview this month after his return to India.


More of this : FEATURE | Iran's newest assertion means more trouble for thousands of trapped mariners in Persian Gulf (Baird Maritime / Reuters - May 22, 2026)

Another incident off Socotra has been reported. The ship's armed guards force the interloper to sail away from the ship.


https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....92f59be987.png

France has pushed forward with a UN resolution to deal with the Strait of Hormuz situation, this one will join another resolution brought about by Bahrain and the US which has been in discussion for two weeks but delayed due to potential veto by China and Russia



France has drafted a UN Security Council resolution on setting up an international mission to restore movement in the Strait of Hormuz and could submit it if conditions are right, the foreign ministry said on Friday, as Washington struggles to bring to a vote a text Russia and China may say is biased against Tehran.

Control of the narrow waterway, a vital artery for global energy trade whose virtual closure has led to spiralling oil prices, is a major obstacle in talks to end the three-month-old US-Iran war.

A US-Bahraini resolution on the strait has been under discussion for more than two weeks, with a vote repeatedly delayed as China and Russia signal they could veto it.
More of this : France drafts UN resolution for Strait of Hormuz mission (Baird Maritime / Reuters - May 22, 2026)

To the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandab Strait

The Strait of Hormuz appears busy but most of the green and blue arrows milling around are Iranian vessels, there are no significant foreign ships making transit so far today.


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....ca7b924364.png

Down at the other choke point, Bab-el-Mandab Strait, it is fairly busy, everything currently flowing well


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a62b7e0070.png


Ports and anchorages from Doha to Umm Qasr are mainly static with many ships just milling about rather than anchored


https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....25fddb1d8b.png

Ports and anchorages from Mina Saqr have thinned out a little and there are fewer Iranian herders. However it has to be remembered that many ships will be AIS dark for a variety of reasons


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....ac247fa29a.png

On the other side, all ports are up and running normally and there is some heavy congestion at the anchorages at Dibba, Khor Fakkan, Fujairah, Al Widyyat and Liwa. Iranian herders are more in evidence in the area


https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....dae1527d3b.png

As has been the case for the last week or so, no new news about CMA CGM San Antonio at this time.

That's all for now....back tomorrow.

albatross 23rd May 2026 12:58

Truth at last.
Finally…someone has confirmed my theory that many problems in this War / excursion / military operation are caused by “Spineless Jellyfish” and other mindless bottom feeders!

[ “According to the Financial Times, at least 800 merchant ships remain stranded in Gulf waters after fighting broke out on February 28, leaving around 20,000 seafarers on board carrying out basic maintenance as they wait.

But long periods at anchor in the Gulf’s warm, shallow waters are now creating a fresh operational challenge.

“When you don’t move… you have a lot of fouling growing,” said Lasse Kristoffersen, chief executive of Wallenius Wilhelmsen, which has one ship currently stuck in the Gulf.

Marine growth such as barnacles, algae and jellyfish can clog protective gratings and interfere with pipe systems.

It can also attach to ship hulls and propellers, creating drag that slows vessels down and increases fuel use.”]


BonnieLass 23rd May 2026 14:11

A spot of wartime irony, if you will......

Bearing in mind that upwards of 40 ships are now deemed beyond economical repair and others may still follow due to age and damage received by fouling or attacks within the Persian Gulf...a couple of days ago a contract was finally signed after months of negotiation. The Indian ship recycling firm Prya Blue and Bahrain's ASRY are starting a joint venture to recycle ships using the latest ecological and environmental standards.

Arabian Gulf’s maritime repair and fabrication facilityASRY and India’s Priya Blue Group have joined forces to create a ship recycling venture in Bahrain.

The deal brings together the Arab Shipbuilding & Repair Yard Company (ASRY) with India’s ship recycling yard Priya Blue, establishing what the companies describe as the Middle East’s largest ship recycling facility.

“Together, we will deliver dry dock, slipway and alongside recycling for vessels up to ULCC size, alongside FPSOs, FSOs, rigs and complex offshore assets,” Priya Blue Group said in a statement Tuesday.

Anchored in Bahrain, the partnership gives Priya Blue a global footprint beyond South Asia. “This is not an experiment,” the company claims and describes the move as “a deliberate expansion of a proven operation.”

The two partners have formally launched their joint venture following the arrival of the first vessel for recycling in Bahrain.
More of this : Priya Blue joins with ASRY to create Bahrain ship recycling venture (Shipping Telegraph - May 21, 2026)

Timing is everything......especially in war.



BonnieLass 24th May 2026 08:38

Today's updates on the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab Strait, Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman ports and anchorages........plus a troubling question for shipowners and checks & balances in the oil and gas markets

With the return to normal transit levels of the Strait of Hormuz taking so long, shipowners are now having to consider placing ships that are stuck in the Persian Gulf into lay-up and repatriating crews and leaving smaller, crews aboard the ships to keep the systems running. With the chances of a safe transit diminishing and the potential of hostilities increasing, the shipowners are in a difficult situation and their crews are in an even worse situation by virtue of being stuck in a warzone and running out of basic commodities and their ships being fouled up.

How long will these 20,000 innocent seafarers who did not sign up to be on ships in conflict zone have to endure being stranded thousands of miles from home from their families who wait helplessly?

At the same time the very ships they are sitting on remain possible targets even if they are not trying to exit the Strait, especially if the uneasy ceasefire between the US and Iran fails and bombing starts again in earnest.

This leaves essentially two options - take the risk of exiting the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz or evacuate seafarers on ships currently stranded and put those vessels into a more permanent form of lay-up.

On the first option the publication this week of Industry Guidance on the Safe Management of Vessel Transit through the Strait of Hormuz produced and supported by the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS), IMCA, Intercargo, Bimco, Intertanko, and OCIMF, hardly made for comforting reading for those planning a transit. And as attempts at transits have shown while some may end safely, others have ended in missile strikes with severely injured crew or vessels being seized by Iran.

In the second option by moving to warm or cold lay-up the majority or all of the crew onboard vessels stranded in the Gulf could be brought ashore and repatriated.
More on this : Time for owners to evacuate crew stranded by Hormuz stalemate (Seatrade Maritime - May 22, 2026)


Something that needs to be explained about the fouling of the hull and other below waterline areas of a ship. If a ship that has been stuck in the Gulf for months, not moved apart from an occasional swing on the anchors, the build up will be significant. The problem is that every area of the world has its own species of friendly and not friendly / invasive fouling. For example if the Strait opened for normal business tomorrow the ships would not only move much slower and use more fuel due to the fouling but if they were destined to go somewhere that has protected waters...such as the Maldives or the GBR area of Australia, they would need to be drydocked and have all of the fouling removed before they could sail.....essentially they cannot enter another area with what is seen as contamination of their hulls, seachests, rudders and propellers. So leaving a ship static whether laid up or simply unable to move away is not an easy task to deal with once that opportunity to leave arises, you have serious ecological and environmental issues to consider too.

The oil and gas markets have understandably been twitchy during the hostilities and now when you have the potential for an agreement or more hostilities looming. Countries around the world have made various arrangements to try and be mindful of oil and gas use, and the industry heads have tried to keep things controlled as best that they can...


Whether the conflict is settled within the next few days or not, the shipping community needs to be ready. The loss of 14 million barrels per day of oil, which used to come through the Strait of Hormuz, has been calculated by Reuters and Kpler to be worth more than US$50 billion since the beginning of the war, sufficient to keep global shipping fueled for 4 months, and a hole that is going to take some filling. Should the war end this week, there will be a rush to restock to avoid imminent shortages, with oil afloat in the Gulf the first to get on the move. Conversely, a resumption of warfare will generate further safety concerns for ships in the danger area, but also put increased focus on oil stocks held afloat, particularly in Southeast Asia.

..............U.S. production of both oil and gas has soared to maximum available capacity, placing a strain on the infrastructure, particularly so when maintenance is delayed to exploit the high prices, which are likely to fall back when the crisis abates. Higher prices in the West have curtailed demand to an extent, with alternative energy sources being used where these are available. Sanctions against imports from Russia have been relaxed in some narrowly-defined shortage areas as a contingency. The same is very much true of China, where reserves estimated at 1.1 billion barrels remain healthy, and consumption has been reduced in the light of higher prices. Politically, China is not so badly affected by shortages that it felt any need to help President Trump out with the issue on his recent visit to Beijing. For the moment, President Xi Jinping is comfortable enough to sit on the sidelines and let the United States sort the mess out on its own.

The most significant pinch-points are firstly in Japan and Korea, where even though strategic reserves are substantial, there is a high dependency on imports – up to 85 percent in the case of Japan, in part a failure to replace indigenous energy generation following the closure of nuclear plants in the wake of the Fukushima disaster in 2011.
More on this : Stock Check on Global Oil & Gas on Cusp of War Decision (Maritime Executive - May 23, 2026)

Onto the Strait of Hormuz.....there has been an increase in traffic, albeit very slight in the last 24 hours. Mostly Chinese ships with stated Chinese crews on their AIS using the Strait in both directions.


https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....46bd7e1a63.png

The Bab-el-Mandab Strait is running well and at time of writing no further incidents reported


https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....972514e70d.png


Very little movement from or to ports within the Persian Gulf from Umm Qasr in Iraq down to Doha, Qatar. The vast number of pleasure craft in Bahrain seems to have switched off their AIS and perhaps given up leaving the region for now, especially as temperatures start to soar, probably easier to wait things out in the hotels and villas....something that, of course, is not available to the seafarers.


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....c487900094.png

On the Mina Qasr to Dubai ports and anchorages, the Iranian herders are back and keeping the majority of the ships in a very tight huddle offshore...one of the herders shown below


https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....6a84312753.png
https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....7a572d14e8.png

On the Gulf of Oman side, all ports are still running to capacity, the anchorages of Dibba, Khor Fakkan, Fujairah, Liwa and Al Widyyat are extremely congested once again but with very few herders present


https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....dac85f26de.png

No news regarding the CMA CGM San Antonio crew, the ship has not been on AIS for almost 3 weeks now. No further repatriation of her injured crew as yet.

That's it for today....back tomorrow.

ORAC 25th May 2026 04:40

Isw:

https://x.com/thestudyofwar/status/2...090173701?s=20

iran update special report, may 24, 2026: Conflicting us, iranian, and regional reporting indicates that the contours of a possible us-iran memorandum of understanding (mou) remain unresolved and may not yet represent a final agreement.

More key takeaways:

Iranian officials, islamic revolutionary guards corps (irgc)-affiliated outlets, and iranian sources speaking to western and regional media are presenting the possible mou as conditional on us concessions and continued iranian leverage.

Irgc-affiliated reporting has identified frozen assets, sanctions relief, the naval blockade, lebanon, and the strait of hormuz as the main unresolved issues. This is every issue in the first stage of the agreement, before talks on the nuclear program.

Mediators appear to be trying to preserve momentum toward a us-iran mou by sequencing unresolved issues and developing technical arrangements for the strait of hormuz, but iranian reporting suggests that iran has rejected efforts to defer its core demands.

Iran appears to believe that it is negotiating from a stronger position than the united states and is accordingly attempting to remake the regional order in a way that benefits iran.

Iran has not publicly accepted meaningful nuclear concessions in the possible mou, and iran believes that the draft defers nuclear talks until after iran secures relief from military and economic pressure.

Iranian officials have stated that the us-iran mou must end the war “on all fronts,” including in lebanon. The united states supports continued israeli operations against hezbollah, however, to prevent threats to israel.

Israeli officials have reportedly called on the united states to allow the israel defense forces (idf) to continue its operations in lebanon, in accordance with the current temporary ceasefire in lebanon, and president trump agreed with this position.

Hezbollah officials have continuously reiterated that the group will continue to engage the idf in southern lebanon and launch attacks against northern israel until the idf completely halts its activity in lebanon and withdraws from southern lebanese territory.

Read the full report, may 24, 2026: https://understandingwar.org/researc...t-may-24-2026/

​​​​​​​

Wyntor 25th May 2026 06:28

One cannot help but feel that Iran is playing a good long game from a tough corner. If has been postulated, they have preserved a material part of their missile and drone capability, the Gulf will be under Iranian threat going forward. The last two months have ably demonstrated that they don't need a conventional Navy or Air Force to dominate the Strait or hold the region under threat.

How a military balance is established in the short term is difficult to see. Certainly, the Gulf states will need to invest heavily in counter ballistic missiles and counter drone capability. They will need to be able to defend forward, have persistent surveillance and interception systems and hold their defence forces at high readiness for protracted periods.

When the US retires its mass from the field, it is going to be a vulnerable security challenge.


BonnieLass 25th May 2026 07:57

Today's updates on the Strait of Hormuz, the Bab-el-Mandab Strait and all Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman ports and anchorages......including caution as the Strait of Hormuz traffic increases a little, hopeful signs that normality is returning in Iraq and its Hajj season where despite the conflict and raging sandstorms all flights are operating normally


There are signs and hopes that the Strait of Homuz might be starting to ease a little with the increased traffic consisting of oil and gas ships. Although total agreement is not yet done and dusted, there is a sense of optimism across the region that there is perhaps a light at the end of the tunnel at last. However, the uptick in activity is still being treated with caution due to the fragility of the situation.

Iran’s expanded control over the area has stretched beyond the narrow Hormuz passage itself. Reuters reported that Tehran now considers parts of the UAE’s Gulf of Oman coastline within its operational oversight, increasing pressure on alternative export routes.

That includes the UAE’s Fujairah oil export corridor, which has become a critical outlet allowing some Emirati crude shipments to bypass Hormuz entirely.

Jaber called the blockade a “dangerous precedent” for global trade and maritime security. “Once you accept that a single country can hold the world’s most important waterway hostage, freedom of navigation as we know it is just finished,” he said.

For now, the movement of a small number of LNG tankers and crude carriers suggests that the Strait of Hormuz is no longer completely paralysed.
(My bolding....I think Jaber's last sentence is absolutely on the money......tbh..and this is imho....losing the Strait of Hormuz and the potential to lose the Bab-el-Mandab Strait via Iranian proxy (Houthi) is possibly far more damaging long term financially and in a global sense than the wish to control or halt Iran's nuclear ambitions and dreams....there are many such choke points around the world that, just like the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandab Strait, are absolutely critical to keeping the world moving and trading and working. Once this is over, it must never be allowed to happen again...anywhere.)

More on this Is Strait of Hormuz now open? More oil, LNG tankers cross Gulf chokepoint (Gulf News - May 25, 2026)

Iraq is reopening many of its oil refinery facilities and in negotiations to get back the foreign investment that was lost as a result of the hostilities. Aiding this aim is the reopening of the pipelines to Ceyhan in Turkey that will allow shipments to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and get the region shipping oil back to customers again. However, the foreign companies need to be enticed back as the country cannot go it alone.



The spokesperson for the Oil Ministry, Saheb Bazoun, said that the government is in negotiations with foreign oil firms operating in the country to resume activities at closed oil fields. Furthermore, preparations are underway to restart oil shipments through the Turkish port of Ceyhan in the coming days.

The Iraqi government is focusing on oil earnings, activating export outlets, and reaching agreements to maintain the smooth flow of exports.

Bazoun underlined that Iraq’s oil production remains intact despite recent setbacks in the industry.

The majority of foreign corporations operating in Iraq have recently withdrawn, leading to the closure of certain oil fields. However, the government has managed to maintain the oil reservoirs and operational infrastructure while actively working to encourage these companies to resume their activities and complete ongoing development plans.

The Iraqi official explained that the Iraqi government is currently attempting to diversify export channels in light of the challenges posed by recent geopolitical developments.
More on this : Iraq in negotiations with foreign firm to resume oil production (Iraqi News - May 24, 2026)

Hajj season has begun and Saudi Arabia are reporting that despite bad weather, sandstorms and the hostilities there have not been any problems getting pilgrims into the country. All flights have been running and there are no issues expected to cause problems during the 6 days of Hajj and subsequent departures of the pilgrims.


Over 1.5 million pilgrims have arrived in Saudi Arabia from outside the kingdom for Hajj, according to a Saudi official, exceeding the number of international visitors last year despite the war in the Middle East.

The conflict triggered by the US and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February saw Tehran order waves of strikes on targets in Saudi Arabia and across the Gulf, prompting widespread air traffic disruptions and causing travel costs to surge.

Major Gulf airlines in the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain have worked to quickly restore much of their operational capacity after weeks of airspace closures and flight cancelations.

Despite the complications, pilgrims have continued to flock to Saudi Arabia to participate in this year’s Hajj.

“The total number of pilgrims arriving from abroad has reached 1,518,153,” Saleh Al-Murabba, the commander of Saudi Arabia’s Hajj Passport Forces, told a press conference late Friday.
More on this : Hajj pilgrim numbers surpass 2025 arrivals despite Middle East war (Arab News - May 24, 2026)

So onto the waterways.......the Strait of Hormuz is active, albeit quietly, at time of typing, there have been no reported incidents


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....03f57e8673.png

Likewise with the Bab-el-Mandab Strait, traffic is flowing well and no reported incidents


https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....867d7c62fe.png


Onto Persian Gulf from Umm Qasr to Doha....increased activity throughout the area. A cautious sign of hope perhaps


https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a3b9b65e87.png

Mina Saqr to Dubai is still congested, Das Island anchorage is empty. The Iranian herders are still making heavy clusters of ships, tightly packed together


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....e44e86fc5a.png

On the Gulf of Oman side, again extremely busy in the ports and on the anchorages from Dibba to Sohar with the usual Iranian herders close by


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....aafa3073cc.png

No updates available regarding the remaining crew who were seriously injured aboard CMA CGM San Antonio during Project Freedom.

Thats it for now...back tomorrow

henra 25th May 2026 09:58


Originally Posted by Wyntor (Post 12091205)
The last two months have ably demonstrated that they don't need a conventional Navy or Air Force to dominate the Strait or hold the region under threat.

Indeed! And there are similarities to Ukraine and the Black Sea. Currently, Land based assets plus small, fast USVs are enough to effectively close off relatively large Waterways to commercial and partly even to Military Shipping. And as Ukraine shows are very difficult to impossible to eliminate.

BonnieLass 25th May 2026 10:46

With, hopefully, the mods allowance....as a layperson, I have a question regarding the Ghadir (which I mentioned and profiled up thread)...something, tbh, that has concerned me

At last count, which was around 2020, it is said that Iran had at least 20 Ghadir in service, though no actual figures have been available officially from Iran. Given that they can be built pretty much anywhere and appear, on the face of it at least, to be relatively quick and inexpensive to build and seen as a very offensive, and thus dangerous, item in the Iranian Navy.

With just a 125 ton submerged displacement and being 95ft long x 9ft wide and with a crew of 7, they are not easy to find on sonar, often they will hide under or around the natural rocky outcrops and wait for their "prey" before firing their complement of 2 x 21 inch torpedoes.

As stated before the attack on HMM Namu has been slated by the ship's Korean owners as a mine......or was it...maybe...a Ghadir.....

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....bbc73e220c.png

My question is this....

Given that the USN has some very large and sophisticated ships currently in the Gulf of Oman working the Iranian port blockade......is it / would it be possible for a group of Ghadir to position themselves underneath one of the larger USN ships and be able to punch a hole into the aft end, just as with HMM Namu above, and potentially sink that USN ship?

Reason for asking......

If the current round of talks fail and hostilities restart, surely the time tween the ceasefire beginning and the potential failure of the talks would be more than enough time to have the Ghadir fleet (or a portion of it) find and shadow the USN ships in readiness to attack should things kick off again. They can remain submerged for several days at a time, so even if the wait is a long one, theoretically there are enough Ghadir to roster and to keep watch on the USN fleet full time and without being spotted on sonar. Trying to enter the minds of the various planners and plotters should hostilities kick off again, could the threat of the Ghadir have been overlooked or dismissed or simply not known about. The Iranians have no reason not to carry out such an attack. They are tenacious and even if they died in the attempt they would be seen as heroes and martyrs. Taking out a principle USN ship in this way would change everything...and not in a good way for anyone.

jolihokistix 26th May 2026 00:28

Not wanting to click on a link to find I've already read the information.
Can you give a three-word summary of 'here we go again!' to give us fair warning?
Thank you.

BANANASBANANAS 26th May 2026 03:14


Originally Posted by jolihokistix (Post 12091705)
Not wanting to click on a link to find I've already read the information.
Can you give a three-word summary of 'here we go again!' to give us fair warning?
Thank you.

US attacks Southern Iran.

petit plateau 26th May 2026 06:53


Originally Posted by BonnieLass (Post 12091325)
With, hopefully, the mods allowance....as a layperson, I have a question regarding the Ghadir (which I mentioned and profiled up thread)...something, tbh, that has concerned me

At last count, which was around 2020, it is said that Iran had at least 20 Ghadir in service, though no actual figures have been available officially from Iran. Given that they can be built pretty much anywhere and appear, on the face of it at least, to be relatively quick and inexpensive to build and seen as a very offensive, and thus dangerous, item in the Iranian Navy.

With just a 125 ton submerged displacement and being 95ft long x 9ft wide and with a crew of 7, they are not easy to find on sonar, often they will hide under or around the natural rocky outcrops and wait for their "prey" before firing their complement of 2 x 21 inch torpedoes.

As stated before the attack on HMM Namu has been slated by the ship's Korean owners as a mine......or was it...maybe...a Ghadir.....

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....bbc73e220c.png

My question is this....

Given that the USN has some very large and sophisticated ships currently in the Gulf of Oman working the Iranian port blockade......is it / would it be possible for a group of Ghadir to position themselves underneath one of the larger USN ships and be able to punch a hole into the aft end, just as with HMM Namu above, and potentially sink that USN ship?

Reason for asking......

If the current round of talks fail and hostilities restart, surely the time tween the ceasefire beginning and the potential failure of the talks would be more than enough time to have the Ghadir fleet (or a portion of it) find and shadow the USN ships in readiness to attack should things kick off again. They can remain submerged for several days at a time, so even if the wait is a long one, theoretically there are enough Ghadir to roster and to keep watch on the USN fleet full time and without being spotted on sonar. Trying to enter the minds of the various planners and plotters should hostilities kick off again, could the threat of the Ghadir have been overlooked or dismissed or simply not known about. The Iranians have no reason not to carry out such an attack. They are tenacious and even if they died in the attempt they would be seen as heroes and martyrs. Taking out a principle USN ship in this way would change everything...and not in a good way for anyone.

These small Iranian Ghadir subs are low speed vessels. It is likely that any professional naval vessels will not be at low speeds in a predictable manner long enough for a Ghadir to get underneath one. And whenever the naval vessels stop they will be in presumably well protected locations that the Ghadirs cannot reasonably penetrate. But for merchant shipping it is a different matter. It is quite likely that merchant vessels that have been herded into stationary dense clusters are vulnerable to (deniable) swimmer attacks, or for that matter many other less deniable attack types.

BonnieLass 26th May 2026 07:21

For today's updates for the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab Strait, Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.........plus a skirmish off Bandar Abbas and a wider humanitarian crisis looming due to choking the Strait of Hormuz....and a place to stay offered to Iran's footballers

It will not have escaped many people's notice that several skirmishes within the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on land targets within Iran have been going on overnight. Several fast boats operated by Iran were fired upon by USN who have accused Iran of laying more mines within the Strait. Attacks by the USN were also aimed at various sites tween Bandar Abbas and Jask said to be missile launching areas.

“Targets included missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines. US Central Command continues to defend our forces while using restraint during the ongoing ceasefire,” US Central Command spokesman Timothy Hawkins was quoted as saying by CNN.

The missile strikes were reported to have targeted an area near the port city of Bandar Abbas where an Iranian naval base is located.

Iran has previously claimed to have mined the Strait of Hormuz in area that includes the normal traffic separation scheme for commercial shipping although the presence of mines has not been confirmed.

The latest US strikes come as peace talks between the US and Iran are reported to be progressing around a Memorandum of Understanding which would extend the ceasefire for another 60 days and a re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz, although the two sides have differed on how close they are to an agreement.
More on this : US strikes Iranian boats attempting to lay mines - The US says the attacks on missile sites and boats in southern Iran were in “self-defense” (Seatrade Maritime - May 26, 2026)

The ongoing hostilities have caused a growing humanitarian crisis in countries such as Sudan where a dependency of not just oil but fertiliser too. Every country that uses fertilisers have had supply issues since the hostilities began, most can weather the delays and price increases but many cannot. Sudan, which is also going through its own hostilities, is now becoming desperate for fertiliser which has become too expensive for many farmers to buy. Sudan is not alone in this, there are many nations who were below the poverty line before the hostilities who are now experiencing very real humanitarian issues that will last much longer than the hostilities in the Gulf region...


Farmers across Sudan say the hike in global fuel and fertilizer costs resulting from the Iran conflict will force them to cut back on planting this summer, restricting food production in a ​country where war has caused acute hunger.

Eight farmers from different parts of Sudan, as well as experts working in the sector, told Reuters that fuel and fertilizer price increases would compound problems caused by a civil war, hitting staple domestic crops such as sorghum and millet as well as exports like sesame.

Sudan is particularly vulnerable to the fallout from the Iran crisis as it relies on the Gulf for more than half of its fertilizer needs, according to UN data, while the war between the Sudanese army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces has left it entirely dependent on fuel imports.
More on this : Iran war poses new threat to harvests in hunger-stricken Sudan (Arab News Saudi Arabia - May 25, 2026)

Onto the upcoming football.....the Iranian team have been refused permission to stay in the US during their games, despite assurances just a few weeks ago that they would be welcome. However Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has said that the team will be more than welcome to stay in Mexico for the duration of their participation



Sheinbaum said football's governing body Fifa approached her government after the US said it did not want Iran's squad to stay in the country throughout the tournament, despite Iran playing all three of its group matches there.

"We have no reason to deny them the possibility of staying in Mexico," Sheinbaum said during her daily press conference.
More on this : Mexico to host Iran's World Cup team after US refusal, president says (Khaleej Times - May 25, 2025)

So onto the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandab Strait....

All quiet in the Strait of Hormuz this morning, at time of writing there are no reported incidents


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....d68e2474b3.png

Fairly quiet on the Bab-el-Mandab Strait also this morning, again no reported incidents


https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....29f9890a74.png


Persian Gulf ports and anchorages from Umm Qasr to Doha....a noticeable shift for the shipping towards the Saudi and Kuwaiti coastlines and away from the Iranian coast. Iranian herders are out in force today


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....596d05aa29.png

The area from Mina Saqr to Dubai has really changed significantly with smaller huddles of ships, vast open areas on the main anchorages (possibly ships gone dark to avoid being hit again)......the Iranian herders again are out in force


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....ea575eed1f.png

Again the same thing is clear to see outside of the Strait of Hormuz in the Gulf of Oman. The main anchorages and ports are very quiet, with ships moving about tween Sohar and Muscat, with Muscat itself becoming quite congested. Not so much evidence of Iranian herders but certainly a change in the way that ships are positioning


https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....1216a6a31d.png

That's it for now...back tomorrow



BANANASBANANAS 26th May 2026 08:12

US strikes Southern Iran. see: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgzzn4y1n8o


The US said it launched new strikes on southern Iran, targeting Iranian missile sites and boats attempting to place mines.

The strikes were taken in "self-defense"and were designed "to protect our troops from threats posed by Iranian forces", US Central Command said in a statement.

Central Command spokesperson Capt Tim Hawkins said the US military "continues to defend our forces while using restraint during the ongoing ceasefire" between the two countries.

Iran is yet to respond to the US attack. However, Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baqai earlier said that while some progress had been made in talks to end the war, a deal "is not imminent".

It is unclear what impact the strikes will have on any potential peace agreement between the US and Iran.

Following the strikes, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said a deal was still possible and pointed to talks on Tuesday between Iran's top negotiator and foreign minister and Qatar's prime minister.

"We'll see if we can make progress. I think it's a lot of talking back and forth going on about specific language in the initial document, so it'll take a few days," Rubio told reporters during an official visit to India.

He said President Donald Trump had "expressed his desire to make it".



"He's either going to make a good deal or no deal," Rubio said.

Asked again later about Monday's strikes, Rubio said: "The straits have to be open. They're going to be open one way or the other, so they need to be open. What's happening there is unlawful, it's illegal, it's unsustainable for the world, it's unacceptable."

Capt Hawkins said the US strikes targeted an area near Bandar Abbas, a southern port city and home of an Iranian naval base that sits on the Strait of Hormuz, according to the New York Times.

Iranian state media had earlier reported that local officials in Bandar Abbas were investigating after explosions were heard.



Earlier in May, a clash between Iranian and US naval destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz - for which each side blamed the other - led Trump to insist a ceasefire was still in place.

At the weekend, Trump had suggested the sides were close to a deal, but later said he had instructed negotiators "not to rush into" one, while Rubio had said an agreement could possibly be reached on Monday.

But Baqai responded: "It is correct to say that we have reached a conclusion on a large portion of the issues under discussion... But to say that this means the signing of an agreement is imminent - no-one can make such a claim."



The memorandum of understanding being discussed reportedly involves a 60-day ceasefire extension, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a plan for further negotiations over Iran's nuclear programme.

CBS News, the BBC's US partner, has reported that US intelligence believes Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei - who was injured in an Israeli strike on the first day of the war which killed his father and predecessor - is holed up in an undisclosed location, making communication with his envoys difficult and therefore delaying pace of talks with the US.

According to US media, the discussions will not immediately lead to a final settlement. Contentious issues will likely be negotiated later, including details of Iranian sanctions relief, the release of frozen Iranian funds, and US demands for Iran to curb its nuclear ambitions.

At the start of the war, Iran is thought to have had about 440kg (970 lbs) of uranium that was enriched up to 60% purity - a short process away from being enriched further to the weapons-grade 90%, which theoretically could allow it to create a nuclear bomb.

On Monday night, Trump said the enriched uranium would either be "immediately" turned over to the US, or "preferably, in conjunction and co-ordination with the Islamic Republic of Iran, destroyed in place".

US and Iranian forces have observed a ceasefire since 8 April. Iran has maintained controls on Gulf shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and the US Navy has sought to blockade Iran's ports.

The US and Israel launched wide-ranging strikes on Iran on 28 February, sparking conflict across the Middle East. Iran responded by attacking Israel and US-allied states in the Gulf, and effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. The move sent oil prices soaring globally.


ORAC 26th May 2026 08:39


Iran is yet to respond to the US attack.
Tasnim news agency retorting response - but they would say that anyway.


​​​​​​​https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/2059...524990753?s=20

The IRGC shot down an US MQ-9 Reaper drone & fired at an F-35 and an RQ-4. — Tasnim

"The terrorist US army, continuing its interventionist adventures and aggressive behaviors, entered Iranian airspace in the Persian Gulf region, and the IRGC air defense units, in defense of our country's territorial integrity and after precise intelligence monitoring, identified and shot down an MQ9 drone.

"They also fired at an RQ4 drone and the invading F35 fighter jet, forcing them to flee and exit the territorial airspace."


BonnieLass 26th May 2026 08:53

There is a very mixed reaction towards the hostilities as a whole from inside Iran...it is becoming very obvious that at street level, ie the Iranian people, that they are losing both respect and trust for both the US and their own government. It is hard...almost impossible...for them to speak out publicly due to a very real fear of retribution by their own government. The internet across Iran has been shut down for the entire time that hostilities have been present, though some within Iran are managing to relay messages to the outside world, they are very few and far between. The concensus seems to be that they do feel like pawns and that they simply cannot trust anyone.

As speculation over renewed diplomacy between Tehran and Washington intensifies, several citizens described the prospect of a deal not as a path toward stability but as another political arrangement reached at the expense of ordinary Iranians.

“We no longer have hope in Trump… we will finish the job ourselves,” one citizen wrote. Another added: “Trump’s decisions should not matter to us. We ourselves must bring down the Islamic Republic from inside the country.”

The messages come amid continued economic pressure inside Iran, where inflation, unemployment and political repression remain key public grievances.

...........


Some viewers voiced direct opposition to any temporary ceasefire or agreement involving the Islamic Republic.

“We the people of Iran do not want a 60-day ceasefire or agreement,” one citizen wrote. Another described life in Iran as “impossible” and said they were waiting for “another call from the prince,” referring to exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi.

Several messages also urged US President Donald Trump not to strike a deal with Tehran, arguing that the Islamic Republic has systematically deprived citizens of the ability to organize or protest freely over the past decades.

Ongoing executions and repression of free thought and speech have effectively worn down the Iranian people to the extent that many simply are too exhausted mentally and physically to try and fight back.

More on this : VOICES FROM IRAN Citizens voice anger, distrust over possible US-Iran deal (Iran International - May 24, 2026)

ORAC 26th May 2026 10:06


https://x.com/clashreport/status/205...977079892?s=20

A second battle-damaged KC-135 tanker has been spotted at RAF Mildenhall in the UK.

The aircraft, tail number 63-8028 from the Alaska Air National Guard's 168th Wing, arrived from Tel Aviv with extensive shrapnel repair patches on the tail, vertical stabilizer, flaps, and spoilers, and is missing its refueling boom entirely.

At least five KC-135s were damaged in the March 2026 Iranian strike on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia.

Source: TWZ, Andrew McKelvey

https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....5bf72e49b9.png

https://www.twz.com/news-features/an...raf-mildenhall


Another Battle Damaged KC-135 Tanker Seen Passing Through RAF Mildenhall

In another visible sign of the damage inflicted by Iran during the now-paused war, a KC-135 Stratotanker was spotted over the weekend at RAF Mildenhall in the United Kingdom peppered with temporary shrapnel damage repairs. The aircraft is at least the second to transit through the installation with damage from the war.

The photographs, from aviation photographer Andrew McKelvey, show the KC-135 heavily speckled with shrapnel damage to the tail, its vertical stabilizer as well as its flaps. It is also missing its refueling boom entirely.

It is unclear where this jet was struck. There were five tankers reportedly damaged in the Iranian long-range strike on Prince Sultan Air Base (PSAB) in Saudi Arabia on March 14. However, data from FlightRadar24 shows that the jet was taking off and arriving at Ben Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv Israel on the day before and after the attack on PSAB. In addition, that data shows it was still flying missions after that incident, which seems highly unlikely. The KC-135 could have been hit somewhere else or the data is wrong. We just don’t know at the moment.

“It’s still here and parked on the visitors ramps on the north side of the base,” McKelvey told us Monday morning EDT.

This jet, tail number 63-8028, belongs to the Alaska Air National Guard’s 168th Wing. It arrived at Mildenhall from Ben Gurion on Saturday, according to data from FlightRadar24.

As we have reported in the past, dozens of U.S. Air Force refueling aircraft now deployed to Ben Gurion Airport are expected to stay in Israel at least until the end of this year, Israel’s N12 News reported on X.

“The presence of the aircraft—not the U.S. military—is causing significant operational difficulties at Ben Gurion Airport, as they are parked almost everywhere possible at the port,” the outlet added.

As noted earlier, this is at least the second KC-135 that has visited Mildenhall sporting shrapnel damage and temporary repairs. Last month, McKelvey shared images with us of a KC-135 from the Ohio Air National Guard’s (OANG) 121st Air Refueling Wing covered from nose to tail with these repairs. However, additional ones could have transited to Mildenhall or other installations in Europe before flying to Tinker Air Force Base in Oklahoma for far more comprehensive repair work. Tinker is home to the Oklahoma City Air Logistics Complex, which performs programmed depot maintenance and modifications on KC-46, KC-135, B-1B, B-52, E-3 and Navy E-6 aircraft.......

Lonewolf_50 26th May 2026 12:18

A little bondo, and a little paint...that's buff out. :}

A note on the latest armed incidents: as has happened during previous talks, shooting started. In this case it's a bit different. It appears to be confined to the locale of the Straits as regards maritime interception and mine laying. (And some of the Iranian navy's shore establishment).

ORAC 26th May 2026 16:44


https://x.com/UKArmaments/status/205...177564216?s=20

RFA Lyme Bay has sailed from Gibraltar carrying state-of-the-art minehunting kit and 100+ specialist personnel, ahead of a potential mission to safeguard freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.

Here’s what’s on board...

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....9e65c09023.png
​​​​​​​

larssnowpharter 26th May 2026 20:41

The RFA Lyme Bay acts as a mother ship for the kit listed which, I suspect, has already been deployed by air to the theatre where it can operate independently.


DogTailRed2 26th May 2026 21:54

Listening to the Rest Is Politics US podcast it was mentioned that the US lost an aircraft in the recent attacks?

Herc15 27th May 2026 05:04


Originally Posted by DogTailRed2 (Post 12092219)
Listening to the Rest Is Politics US podcast it was mentioned that the US lost an aircraft in the recent attacks?

Believe there is also a MQ-4C that went down in the strait.
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....74cb26a62c.jpg

[email protected] 27th May 2026 06:01

The bill for this war just keeps on rising......$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

jolihokistix 27th May 2026 06:19

Herc15’s infographic says ‘as of April 10 2026’.

Toadstool 27th May 2026 06:39

https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/ir...article-897319

Iranians say it was an MQ9. Perhaps this was the reason for the recent defensive actions.


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