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-   -   Post Galileo (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/608377-post-galileo.html)

ORAC 2nd May 2018 07:42

Post Galileo
 
The wierd thing is that the UK could launch a LEO GPS system within just a couple of years, based on the rapid advance in cubesat technology and U.K. expertise, along with the massive surge in cheap launch capability. The LEO GPS technology is there - and SpaceX alone intends to launch up to 20,000 cubesats by the middle 2020s. Galileo is becoming operational just as the era of large MEO orbit GPS satellites is becoming obsolete.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starli...constellation)

Innovation: Navigation from LEO : GPS World

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/u...ileo-8l27sl8fc

UK will launch satellite system to rival EU’s Galileo

Theresa May is to order the development of a British satellite navigation system after losing patience with Brussels over threats to freeze the UK out of the EU’s new Galileo programme after Brexit.

The European Commission wants to limit Britain’s access to Galileo, intended to rival the US-controlled Global Positioning System, even though the UK has been a major backer of its development since 2003. Brussels insists the UK cannot be trusted with sensitive data that provides a secure back-up for the new satellite system even though much of it has been developed in this country. A recent review suggested a failure of satellite systems and the millions of devices such as sat-navs that depend on them could cost the UK economy as much as £1 billion a day.

The dispute has even led to suggestions that the UK could sue for the return of the €1.4 billion so far invested in the €10 billion project. Downing Street stepped up the pressure yesterday, saying that Mrs May had reached the conclusion that the government should start work on a British system.

The UK Space Agency would lead a group to develop options for the new satellite system which would be a commercial rival to both Galileo and GPS, a No 10 source said. It would receive the same level of funding currently being spent on the UK contribution to the EU programme. It would use Britain’s overseas territories and crown dependencies to provide the necessary global terrestrial infrastructure — raising questions about where Galileo equipment, currently slated for the same locations, would be sited.

“The PM is clear our collective security is too important to haggle over,” the Downing Street source said. “We want full access to Galileo, including the crucial secure elements that will help guide British missiles should they be needed to keep us all safe. But if we don’t get access, we will find an alternative.”


BEagle 2nd May 2018 07:45

Brex****, the gift that keeps on giving....

KenV 2nd May 2018 17:46


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 10135826)
....The UK Space Agency would lead a group to develop options for the new satellite system which would be a commercial rival to both Galileo and GPS, a No 10 source said. It would receive the same level of funding currently being spent on the UK contribution to the EU programme. It would use Britain’s overseas territories and crown dependencies to provide the necessary global terrestrial infrastructure — raising questions about where Galileo equipment, currently slated for the same locations, would be sited.

Since the EU is dependent on using "British overseas territories and crown dependencies" for Galileo, could the UK not hold those locations hostage as bargaining chips to get Brussels to "play nice" with Galileo?

Pontius Navigator 2nd May 2018 19:07

Apart from giving the UK an independent referencing system should the US encrypt their system and lock others out, what does a 4th system bring to the party?

Are all current GPS similar to the original BBC TV - one channel and no ITV? Would new dual, tri, quad band devices be required for the millions of current users?

ORAC 2nd May 2018 19:24

I would imagine they would have to operate in the same band allocated by the ITU. In which case it should simply be a software update, in the same way your mobile phone receives updates to its carrier settings.

BEagle 2nd May 2018 19:25

Your ad hominem comment notwithstanding, Gilbert, it is the useless Davis, Fox, Gove, Johnson and the ridiculous Rees-Mogg who need to 'grow up' and listen to what the Upper House is telling them about this ridiculous plebiscite.

10 straight defeats over their absurd Bills should tell them something, except that they're too arrogant to listen.

wiggy 2nd May 2018 21:05


Since the EU is dependent on using "British overseas territories and crown dependencies" for Galileo, could the UK not hold those locations hostage as bargaining chips to get Brussels to "play nice" with Galileo?

The wording in the Times piece was “ It would use Britain’s overseas territories and crown dependencies to provide.. “ , not that these were the only plots of land on earth that were suitable or that the project falls apart without them .

I suspect If the U.K. drops out the EU will change plans (if they haven’t already) and use other territories (e.g.French ) as required, so no, the U.K. can’t use their own territories as sure fire bargaining chips.

ImageGear 2nd May 2018 21:26


10 straight defeats over their absurd Bills should tell them something, except that they're too arrogant to listen.
Might it be that their Lordships, not to mention members of the lower house, are no longer listening to the spoken will of the people. While the path to Brexit will be strewed with difficult decisions and compromises, it is nevertheless inexorable.
I did not vote for Brexit, however it was the decision of the people which, uninformed or informed, for better or worse, must be respected, else what is democracy.

IG

pr00ne 2nd May 2018 21:48

Er, isn’t the entire British space industry owned by EU companies? Airbus Space, Surrey Satellite etc?

Melchett01 2nd May 2018 22:28


Originally Posted by pr00ne (Post 10136547)
Er, isn’t the entire British space industry owned by EU companies? Airbus Space, Surrey Satellite etc?


Probably - certainly at least a big chunk of it. I think Surrey Satellites actually sits within the Airbus family of companies. At that's part of the problem, as much as we might like to trumpet a UK space capability, I think the cost and infrastructure is simply too much to generate an entirely sovereign capability. We will always be reliant on partners for funding or payload delivery which presents a raft of issues complicating UK ambition. We put a Carbonite 2 based imaging system up into orbit recently for a trial, will be interesting to see how it goes, but knowing what is out there already, I think we've a long way to catch up.

BEagle 3rd May 2018 06:18

Perhaps Mother MayDay should visit the UK's 'National Space Centre'.....??

It's a museum just off the Leicester ring road :rolleyes:

EASA, ESA, Euratom - even Airbus D&S are pan-European organisations in which the UK is a major participant. As for trying to develop a commercial alternative to GPS, Galileo or GLONASS, whichever idiot thought that up needs to look further at the costs! It's taken a long time for EGNOS to get to its current state - and who would bother with some UK-specific BritNav system given the wide range of current GNSS SatNav receivers?

Another daft utterance from an increasingly desperate government...

Heathrow Harry 3rd May 2018 08:13

I think thePM has only asked for a study of feasibility and options TBF

no doubt it'll cost zillions and will be quietly forgotten...

Pontius Navigator 3rd May 2018 08:23


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 10136417)
I would imagine they would have to operate in the same band allocated by the ITU. In which case it should simply be a software update, in the same way your mobile phone receives updates to its carrier settings.

ORAC, really? Have you ever known British industry to make something to an international standard that wasn't invented here? :O

Aerials 3rd May 2018 15:20

Back to satellite navigation systems, I wish the UK would put up their own system and make it "free to air".

It'll be a lot cheaper than coding everything so that the system operating company can screw different groups of users for ever more. Furthermore, it'll chop the legs off the Galileo operator, making their (and our, it is agreed) investment absolutely worthless.

I'd just like to see a bit of pushback to the 'user pays' philosophy and Government investment benefitting everyone who lives on our group of islands.

Pontius Navigator 3rd May 2018 18:18

Aerials, the only reason HMG would countenance free GPS would be from free competition. Late to the party, we would have no competitive advantage.

ORAC 4th May 2018 06:13

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/e...-row-7gc6pczzv

Ex-MI6 head attacks ‘disloyal’ civil servants in satellites row

Britain has been outwitted by the EU over the Galileo satellite system because ministers believed “incompetently ignorant or at worst disloyal” civil servants, according to the former head of MI6. Sir Richard Dearlove wants Theresa May to carry out her threat to leave the £8 billion programme and begin work on a UK-only system before becoming trapped in a Brussels “spider’s web”.

Galileo is a satellite-based navigation system created by the EU which aims to free European nations from having to rely on Russian, Chinese or US GPS systems. It is intended to be accurate within a metre and is considered crucial to UK military and intelligence needs. The European Commission insists that the UK must be blocked from Galileo’s back-up system, needed by the military, as only EU members can have access to sensitive encrypted signal. That has infuriated Mrs May and senior ministers, even those such as Philip Hammond who support keeping the UK closely aligned with the EU. A Downing Street source said the so-called “war cabinet” was united in its determination to force Brussels to back down.

Britain has contributed about 12 per cent of the cost of Galileo, with overseas territories such as the Falklands providing some of the ground stations. The chancellor has now authorised the effective sabotage of Galileo’s development by seeking to disrupt the transfer of encryption technology from a firm in the UK to France.

However, Sir Richard and Professor Gwythian Prins, a former adviser to the chief of the defence staff, believe ministers were naive ever to believe they could force the EU to allow the UK full access to the critical system.

“The idea that the EU might agree to the UK participating on its own terms was always totally unrealistic. British civil servants who sold this idea to their ministers were at best incompetently ignorant or, at worst, disloyal,” they write in a paper to be published on the Briefings for Brexit website. “In the world of EU officials, there can be no deviation from the rulebook . . . So the EU was not ‘playing hardball’ on Galileo . . . It is merely operating within the strictures of its own vast and inflexible acquis of directives and treaties, just as it will do on all aspects of our ‘negotiations’. EU officials will already have assessed the impact of additional running costs, new tenders, recruiting new expertise, restarting work, new ground stations and the legal and technical issues of Galileo without the UK.

“They will have grasped that the UK’s departure means that a considerable chunk of finance, most of the expertise and several ground stations will be lost from the project . . . So they need to trap the UK fly in a spider’s web so that after Brexit we are powerless, but still contributing money and the essential skills the EU needs. Since so much of Galileo is British, the UK might do as the prime minister is reported to be considering seriously, namely develop its own global navigation network. We strongly encourage her to take this prudent step in the interests of our national security.”........






VinRouge 4th May 2018 15:52


Originally Posted by Heathrow Harry (Post 10136826)
I think thePM has only asked for a study of feasibility and options TBF

no doubt it'll cost zillions and will be quietly forgotten...

plus the power output of a cube sat will mean it will be utterly useless in a contested environment.

ORAC 4th May 2018 16:19

VinRouge.

Inverse square rule applies. Read the second link in my original post. LEO cubesat GPS will generate a received power between 300-2400 times that received by the current MEO GPS satellites.....

ion_berkley 5th May 2018 07:39


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 10138078)
VinRouge.

Inverse square rule applies. Read the second link in my original post. LEO cubesat GPS will generate a received power between 300-2400 times that received by the current MEO GPS satellites.....

Orac,
Just for the record since you keep quoting from this magazine article which is not exactly "neutral" in what it's selling....
Free Space Path Loss = -10 * log10((4*pi*distance/wavelength)^2)
Distance from GPS orbit to 0 degree elevation on Earth (assuming average earth diameter of 12,734,000m) = square root (20200000*(20200000+12734000)) = ~25792766m
Distance form Iridium Orbit to 0 degree elevation on Earth (assuming average earth diameter of 12,734,000m) = square root (781000*(20200000+781000)) = ~3248879m
L1 GPS frequency of 1575MHz

That gives path loss of -184.6dB for GPS and -166.6dB for Iridium, so a difference of ~18dB... or 63x in pprune layman terms.
And that's assuming all other things are equal....a "cubesat" and a Block III GPS satellite are most definitely *not* equal on more points than I'd care to enumerate on pprune.
I'll stop now before this becomes a rant about skewed math to support agenda's...wait, there's a perfect segue back to Brexit....

VinRouge 5th May 2018 07:54


Originally Posted by ion_berkley (Post 10138552)
Orac,
Just for the record since you keep quoting from this magazine article which is not exactly "neutral" in what it's selling....
Free Space Path Loss = -10 * log10((4*pi*distance/wavelength)^2)
Distance from GPS orbit to 0 degree elevation on Earth (assuming average earth diameter of 12,734,000m) = square root (20200000*(20200000+12734000)) = ~25792766m
Distance form Iridium Orbit to 0 degree elevation on Earth (assuming average earth diameter of 12,734,000m) = square root (781000*(20200000+781000)) = ~3248879m
L1 GPS frequency of 1575MHz

That gives path loss of -184.6dB for GPS and -166.6dB for Iridium, so a difference of ~18dB... or 63x in pprune layman terms.
And that's assuming all other things are equal....a "cubesat" and a Block III GPS satellite are most definitely *not* equal on more points than I'd care to enumerate on pprune.
I'll stop now before this becomes a rant about skewed math to support agenda's...wait, there's a perfect segue back to Brexit....

I would love to see how they would squeeze the antennae in there for a start. One with a semi decent SNR. How you are supposed to fit a decent atomic clock, transponder, processor and the rest of the gubbins in something smaller than a packet of rice crispies, only the gubnermint can explain.

ORAC 5th May 2018 16:41

ion-Berkeley
​​​​​​
Block III GPS May be the bees knees, though the program seems well behind schedule and over budget, but it’s not something the UK could ever afford. If there is an alternative it would seem to be LEO based.

https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/487...20a948ec23.pdf

Navigation from LEO: Current capability and future promise : GPS World

Satelles shows improved PNT accuracy from LEO constellation : GPS World

VinRouge, who needs them all? The idea is to leverage the existence of the LEO constellation, not build mini GPS satellites each providing a service.



Flugplatz 5th May 2018 20:36

Surely Britain's security relies on NATO which presumably relies on the US GPS? Is it planned to switch to Galileo or somehow incorporate it as as a substitute? If not, then I presume this is more about losing future work-share and the benefits of the what has already been invested?

Or are other there other 'security' concerns that most aren't generally aware of?

ORAC 25th May 2018 19:55

The Times:

”......Britain is ready to go it alone or team up with another power to set up a competing military satellite system if the European Union excludes it from Galileo, Philip Hammond said this morning.

The chancellor, who is due to meet other finance ministers in Brussels, said that Britain needed full military access to a satellite positioning system in the national interest.

“We need access to a satellite system of this kind. A plan has always been to work as a core member of the Galileo project, contributing financially and technically to the project,” he said. “If that proves impossible then Britain will have to go it alone, possibly with other partners outside Europe and the US, to build a third competing system. But for national security strategic reasons we need access to a system and will ensure that we get it.”......

Heathrow Harry 26th May 2018 08:06


Originally Posted by Brat (Post 10157146)
The EU, the entity that keeps on giving the UK ****!

Which we brought upon ourselves of course - people were warned what would happen but they preferred Blue Passports and £ 350 mm a week for the NHS - or maybe a new plane for Boris................

VinRouge 26th May 2018 08:44

Plus an annual customs bill to business that is alone 4 billion more than the cost of membership.

Icare9 26th May 2018 09:36

Is there really a need for more Sat Nav systems?
I can understand that some satellites may reach their life expectancy or orbit decay, but what we have now isn't instantly up to date for every new road, either in the UK, Europe or elsewhere....
as for in car systems, you usually pay through the nose for "updates" which aren't current, simply the latest possibly months old) updates.

Currently, there are several manufacturers each with a range of models, some with better clarity, size of screen or specialised for HGV's motor bikes etc....

Do they get their mapping from different satellites?

As for the Brexit comments, I'll just say that I believe democracy to be the will of the majority. We can all speculate but it ought to be concomitant that a majority decision should then be supported by the minority to make it work in the easiest way possible for the good of the Country, not snipe and obfuscate every step of the way.. 'nuff said.

drustsonoferp 27th May 2018 08:48


Originally Posted by air pig (Post 10157729)
The referendum was subsequently ratified by an overwhelming majority in the House of Commons in a vote by MPs

More or less my point: the urge to forge ahead, and above all not to be painted as somehow undemocratic has prevented any meaningful debate of either what the meaning of the referendum result was, or what our future options are.

I cannot imagine history treating this period of British politics kindly.

However, if this results in a long overdue wake up call to the UK government of the importance of preserving domestic strengths, and capabilities which have been allowed to wither because apparently the market will always be infallible in knowing best, then maybe something good might come of it.

Heathrow Harry 28th May 2018 07:29

This whole shambles makes losing the American Colonies look like a master stroke IMHO - as for cutting off your nose to spite your face you'd have to go back to Troy I think for as bad an example of lunacy..................

[email protected] 28th May 2018 07:44

drustsonorerp - agreed - most MPs knew it was a crap result but felt they had to honour their less well informed constituents views. Lack of moral courage.

Top West 50 28th May 2018 18:16

There is a good appraisal of the issues in the current Aerospace

KenV 29th May 2018 12:46


Originally Posted by Icare9 (Post 10157259)
As for the Brexit comments, I'll just say that I believe democracy to be the will of the majority..

It depends a LOT on the nature of the "democracy". What you say is true of a pure democracy. The majority rules. But that can be very very bad if the majority decide to do something stupid or something evil. In the US we have a Constitutional Republic, with the people's representatives democratically elected and bound/limited by the Constitution. There's a vast difference.

Mil-26Man 29th May 2018 13:57


As for the Brexit comments, I'll just say that I believe democracy to be the will of the majority. We can all speculate but it ought to be concomitant that a majority decision should then be supported by the minority to make it work in the easiest way possible for the good of the Country, not snipe and obfuscate every step of the way.. 'nuff said.
I agree, as evidenced by the way in which everyone, in particular reactionary Tories and the right-wing media, got behind the democratic will of the people to join the precursor to the European Union in 1975, and how since then they have all worked together in a selfless spirit of national unity for the good of the country. Oh, wait...

Top West 50 30th May 2018 21:08

Parliament voted for a referendum and agreed to be bound by the result. Parliament voted, overwhelmingly, to send the article 50 letter.
Now, can we please resume the GPS discussion?

Brat 30th May 2018 23:47


Originally Posted by Heathrow Harry (Post 10157183)
Which we brought upon ourselves of course - people were warned what would happen but they preferred Blue Passports and £ 350 mm a week for the NHS - or maybe a new plane for Boris................

What a load of bollocks.

glad rag 31st May 2018 11:26

Indeed <insert Mel Gibson meme here> the fallout for NOT following the majority vote will make Brexit look like a piece of cake....

FlightlessParrot 31st May 2018 21:54


Originally Posted by Icare9 (Post 10157259)
Is there really a need for more Sat Nav systems?
I can understand that some satellites may reach their life expectancy or orbit decay, but what we have now isn't instantly up to date for every new road, either in the UK, Europe or elsewhere....
as for in car systems, you usually pay through the nose for "updates" which aren't current, simply the latest possibly months old) updates.

Currently, there are several manufacturers each with a range of models, some with better clarity, size of screen or specialised for HGV's motor bikes etc....

Do they get their mapping from different satellites?

The mapping does NOT come from the satellites. The satellites, and the local receiver, give a position in space--latitude and longitude, and height above some calculated datum. The maps that translate that into a position on the road, or wherever, are held on the device, and the frequency of their updating (and their accuracy) depends on the map supplier. This is why, on the whole, Google maps wins, because you download a map pretty much every time you use it, and they keep their maps up to date.

Another set of satellites won't affect this situation, nor is it being proposed for the convenience of motorists.

rlsbutler 1st Jun 2018 01:40

ORAC talks of Galileo becoming obsolete.

We hear a lot of the Russians and Chinese developing anti-satellite weaponry. Is this what really makes Galileo obsolete and are all three current GPSs equally vulnerable ?

Can our successor system be designed to defeat or avoid this threat ? – or must off-the-shelf technology and low orbit leave our proposed system as vulnerable as the others ?

Lascaille 1st Jun 2018 08:28


Originally Posted by rlsbutler (Post 10161969)
We hear a lot of the Russians and Chinese developing anti-satellite weaponry.

We do? Sorry I didn't realise it was 1969 again. Russian ASAT program dates back at least that far. The Americans have one which launches off a F-15 following a zoom climb, the Russian one launches from a site like an ICBM.

This thing about these cubesats replacing Galileo or dedicated satellites is just BS.

(Listen in now sis 'cos I like you, we've got a lot in common.)

To pick up a signal on the ground using a nondirectional antenna mandates a directional antenna on the satellite _or_ a very very porky transmitter. The current GPS signals go out at 25w and a directional antenna is used. The antenna gain gives a directed power equivalence of about 300w. (That means, if you had no directional antenna you'd need to transmit with 300w to achieve the same signal strength at any given receiver.) A cubesat can generate about 20w max. So the generated power budget doesn't even cover the required transmit power, let alone the much greater input power needed into the transmitter and then the power for all the other electronics, computer, clock, stabilisation etc.

There's also a very real question as to whether all the required components would physically fit into a cubesat.

The altitude of a cubesat is also very low which results in an orbital period of only a couple of hours. Assuming a 45 degree orbital inclination and an observer on the equator any cubesat will be visible for approximately 10 minutes per orbit. The current system results in a Doppler shift at the receiver of +/- 10KHz changing over a ~6h satellite visibility window. Cubesat altitudes make that +/- 80KHz over 8 minutes. So compared with 'standard GPS' the signal must be found in a frequency range 8x the size and within 1.25% of the time (= 80x faster). For a modern receiver that's trivial but it's just one example of how changing the satellite configuration can make a problem 8x80 = 640x harder.

In addition, cubesat LEO orbits are unstable - air drag is significant. Altitude losses of up to 10m per orbit have been measured. A 2m satellite altitude loss between entering and leaving a ground receiver's field of view is feasible. The ephemeris would have a usable lifespan of minutes. You would need a ground tracking/control facility in each sector where people would be using the system - because ephemeris data for a satellite that's just come over the horizon would almost certainly be outdated. With the satellites being so low the ground visibility radius would be ~1700km - so your ground station would have to be at least that close to your forces in order to be able to update at least 50% of the satellites they'd have in sight with one good ephemeris value.

The only thing that makes it objectively impossible is the power requirement. If we handwave that away - nuclear cubesats! - okay so then our GPScubes dont need orientation (a prereq for directional antennas) as they'll just belt out 10kw in all directions. The satellite's working parts then have to fit... And not melt... And the receivers have to be full of Xilinx's FPGA wonderfulness and able to apply a 500hz bin FFT to a 160khz range in five microseconds... And it's still all for nothing because the satellites themselves have unstable orbits. And our best case location is the sum of the best case orbital variance for each satellite we're using, factored for receiver aspect.... So each satellite could lose up to 10m alt per period, which of course means a reduced orbital speed... Starting at 450.01km altitude a 10m drop to 450.00 would mean the orbital speed would decrease by 0.559 cm/sec... Final orbital period would be 01h33m35.2s. Assume the ephemeris was updated one period before we gain sight of it, then during that period say it'll lose 10m alt and 0.559cm/sec orbital speed... so our average speed variance during that period will be half that so it'll have not-travelled 5615.2s x 0.2795cm/sec = 15.7m retrograde mean anomaly position error... then 10m altitude position error... So worst case pseudorange error...Satellite rises coming basically straight at you fudge the cosine error to zero for both terms so 15.7m error. You need 4 for a location so worst case = 4 satellites coming straight at you = position uncertainty a circle radius 15.7m = 31.4m. Then add all the errors that affect GPS. Splendid system. Solid gold.

Dunno why you can't figure this stuff out for yourself really it's not rocket science, just a bit of trig and some light reading.

rlsbutler 1st Jun 2018 09:16

Sorry I asked


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