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-   -   No aerobatics by Red Arrows at Farnborough! (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/580359-no-aerobatics-red-arrows-farnborough.html)

Heathrow Harry 20th Jun 2016 17:43

Today's Flight points out that there have been a number of accidents recently involving national display teams.........................

Momoe 20th Jun 2016 18:12

Flight may have pointed out the incidents involving other display teams, however this is about the Reds and their very impressive safety record.

I could compare Greek and British driving standards, we're all part of the EU (presently) and we drive the same mix of cars, however would you ever suggest that Greek roads are safer?

My point is statistically, the Reds are less likely to have an accident wherever they perform, comparisons and most definitely conclusions drawn from Shoreham do not take into account all the metrics.

melmothtw 20th Jun 2016 18:22


Originally Posted by Momoe (Post 9414262)
Flight may have pointed out the incidents involving other display teams, however this is about the Reds and their very impressive safety record.

I could compare Greek and British driving standards, we're all part of the EU (presently) and we drive the same mix of cars, however would you ever suggest that Greek roads are safer?

My point is statistically, the Reds are less likely to have an accident wherever they perform, comparisons and most definitely conclusions drawn from Shoreham do not take into account all the metrics.

3 serious accidents in the last 5 years with 2 pilots and 2 aircraft lost isn't the best safety record.

andytug 20th Jun 2016 18:43

Be interesting to see what happens up this neck of the woods with Blackpool and Southport airshows, although both are over the sea in the main a lot of the turning is done over residential areas. I've been caught out more than once while trying to take pics from the extension roof by a bright red Hawk sneaking up behind me....and going directly over the house at low level!
Blackpool same, they seem to be on a level with the water tower at Warbreck as they turn.
Guess they'll have to amend the display to stay to seaward.

MSOCS 20th Jun 2016 18:50

I think you'll be just fine!

Tourist 20th Jun 2016 19:24


Originally Posted by melmothtw (Post 9414274)
3 serious accidents in the last 5 years with 2 pilots and 2 aircraft lost isn't the best safety record.

And how many were during actual close formation in displays?

ie, has removing the display portion and just doing a flypast removed that risk in any way?

Tourist 20th Jun 2016 19:25


Originally Posted by tucumseh (Post 9414189)
While I agree with Tourist that this seems an over the top reaction, I wonder if there might be a deeper concern within MoD. Lord alone knows how it avoided prosecution in the Flt Lt Cunningham case and it would be interesting to see if the organisational failures revealed there have been corrected. After all, the same failures have kept the ATC fleets grounded (or paused) for over two years. Could it be Shoreham is a convenient excuse?

This may be a first, but I think tuc may be correct.

MSOCS 20th Jun 2016 19:48

No Tourist, it doesn't remove the risk but it does reduce it. That's the point!

Simplythebeast 20th Jun 2016 20:46

Minehead and Whitby displays by Reds now also cancelled and they are both over water?

Pontius Navigator 20th Jun 2016 20:53

Tourist, again i agree but suggest it is Media Ops with, as you say What a Way to run a War Machine.

Pontius Navigator 20th Jun 2016 20:58


Originally Posted by Simplythebeast (Post 9414386)
Minehead and Whitby displays by Reds now also cancelled and they are both over water?

But Cleethorpes is going ahead. Just hope they get the display line sorted. A couple of years ago we watched a great display (not Reds) but we were 2 miles south of the display centre :)

Finningley Boy 21st Jun 2016 08:44

I've just seen this thread and haven't had the time to read through to see if the point has already been made, but here goes. It struck me back in August last year that the remedy for Shoreham was to ensure that all future airshows, where possible,take place over big enough airfields; i.e. Waddington, Scampton, Fairford, Leuchars, Yeovilton, Culdrose, all these places have the airfield space with sufficiently low infrastructure in the area around the airfields/display areas themselves. I've often wondered but had an idea why the Red Arrows have never given a full display at Shoreham, just looking around the area tells you all you need to know. I've also wondered when the organisers of Farnborough will eventually accept the situation today and plan to move the event somewhere else; i.e. Boscombe Down?

Of course it comes as no surprise to read that the official remedy to the incident at Shoreham is the Bottom Line as always. Pay more money to those who's permission is required and all problems solved. Result, further restrictions, higher gate prices, more faffing about i.e. tickets (including carpark tickets, charged separately in some cases now) in advance only, fewer events, some have already been lost due to the heftier levies imposed, and, of course, much reduced quality, and eroded interest. God help us from Bureaucrats.

FB:)

airpolice 21st Jun 2016 08:51

FB, I'm not aware of any UK airfield big enough for the Red Arrows to do a full display over.

The dynamic nature of the display involves moves with a large turn radius and high speed passes. That's never going to be contained inside the footprint of an airfield.

Tourist 21st Jun 2016 08:57

Certainly Culdrose, Yeovs, and Fairford unavoidably involve flying over plenty of houses even in the rather less zippy things I have displayed at them.

Thomas coupling 21st Jun 2016 17:36

It's not the size of the area it's what's in it. Airfields or display venues are now required to present a catchment area within which the display item will be required to strut its stuff. If the participating item cannot comply due to difficulties circumnavigating obstructions etc within that arena then that participant will probably decline the offer to attend. Or the organiser will refuse entry.
It's a direct fallout from Shoreham. It's all about lawyers wanting their pound of flesh when the wheel comes off. Forget the CAA and the AAIB - think lawyers, law suits, writs, compensation, reputation. Write your risk assessment but make sure it really has reduced it to ALARP when the crunch comes buddy!

Finningley Boy 21st Jun 2016 20:18

Thanks Thomas, that was the point I was actually making, the airfields themselves are much larger than Shoreham to start with, but the local environs aren't as built up. No likely venue is free of surrounding infrastructure, but there is less likelihood of the Shoreham incident having the same tragic impact at any one of the places I've mentioned. If the same incident occurred at any of them, in relation to the centre of the runway, the most likely outcome would be a gouge in the grass on the field.

FB:)

Pontius Navigator 22nd Jun 2016 06:46

FB or air show goers departing early on the roads
I think often the Reds are a signal to leave and watch from the car.

Chugalug2 22nd Jun 2016 07:59

tuc:-

After all, the same failures have kept the ATC fleets grounded (or paused) for over two years. Could it be Shoreham is a convenient excuse?
Like Tourist, I think that tuc has a valid point. A broken UK airworthiness system causes the entire Air Cadets fleet of gliders and powered gliders to be grounded for over two years and counting, yet the same broken system leads to the Reds' Hawk MB Mk 10 seat killing its pilot, and investigation reveals that it had no Safety Case and was thus by definition unairworthy. Unlike the Air Cadets, the Reds go on flying although in a more restricted way. Both fleets are non-operational and PR orientated, but when found to be unairworthy they are treated in different ways. Could it be that there is much crossing of fingers going on here?

NutLoose 22nd Jun 2016 12:21

Their flat display at Cosford due to weather wasn't half bad , I take it that is what they would intend to be doing at Farnborough.


https://c7.staticflickr.com/8/7445/2...0710d56f_c.jpg

https://c3.staticflickr.com/8/7427/2...4b7491ca_c.jpg

https://c7.staticflickr.com/8/7613/2...1c25a084_c.jpg

Martin the Martian 22nd Jun 2016 12:36

melmothtw, on the contrary; one aircraft loss in 4,700 public displays is excellent and possibly the best safety record of any of the national teams.

And with regard to Culdrose, there is a cottage hospital almost directly below the display line, so I do wonder how much longer the air show there wil continue now.


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