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RN Trident failure

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RN Trident failure

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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 14:01
  #41 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Union Jack
Oh dear Mr Asturias, did you get out the wrong side of your civilian bed this morning? Not like you at all, especially coming from a welcome "honorary" member of this forum!

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Ad hominem...
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 14:25
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If I bought 3 vehicles and they all had reliability issues I'd be worried - so I think its reasonable to ask what is going on.

It is quite possible that lack of investment over the years in maintenance, in facilities and in people is a part of the problem

PS I wouldn't want to be Admiral Kay- Mr Shapps has a well deserved reputation for holding a grudge ......................
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 15:16
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Originally Posted by The Helpful Stacker
Ad hominem...
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No, not really, Stacks, especially when complete with the emoji concerned, and Asturias doesn't seem to be too bothered. I might also add that I write as someone who was in the control room of an SSBN when a similar event occurred - although the missile got a lot further before the destruct ordnance was initiated! - and so I am perhaps a little sensitive about the title of the thread, which should perhaps more realistically read "USN/RN Trident failure" in view of the missile's origin.

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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 15:35
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Originally Posted by Lomon
What we don't know is how many test article missiles have been launched successfully or not by the USN in that time?

Just because we have had two failures in 8 years the USN could have launched 10, 20 or even more with a 100% success rate. The weapons all come from a shared pool so it really could be just bad luck that we got two faulty units.
The U.S. rate of test successes (or failures) is not directly extensible to the UK. A Trident missile test is the ultimate end-to-end test (minus the “boom”) that depends on the entire system, not just the missile. While the U.S. and UK systems overlap almost entirely in hardware and software, there are also the system components of maintenance and operation where the U.S. and UK systems largely diverge. Any of these components can contribute to a missile test failure.

As to the quip in post #34 (it’s not our problem…), what a wonderful attitude from a partner in a 60-year program critical to UK strategic security. But the reality is that the U.S. likely will recover the dud missile simply because the U.S. can and the UK can not.
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 16:38
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How deep is it?

BTW we just recovered a Bell for you.

https://www.royalnavy.mod.uk/news-an...-to-its-owners

We have the capability down to 2,000 meters
https://www.janes.com/defence-news/n...wreck-recovery
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 17:17
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So, who wants to recover a solid fuelled booster stage where it’s uncertain what stopped it igniting, and what might restart the sequence?
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 17:22
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Off Target.

At least it didn't come down near Staines.
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 19:13
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Out of curiosity, would the sub firing the Trident be the one with the telemetry mast fitted, and can a Trident be launched from the surface, or would it be fired sub surface then the sub surface and the mast raised?

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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 20:18
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Originally Posted by Dan Gerous
Out of curiosity, would the sub firing the Trident be the one with the telemetry mast fitted, and can a Trident be launched from the surface, or would it be fired sub surface then the sub surface and the mast raised?
The DASO mast is not a normal piece of kit for either US or UK SSBNs. It is fitted only for the DASO missile test and then removed. Yes, the sub with the DASO mast so fitted is the sub that fires the missile. Launching from the surface defeats the whole purpose of being a submarine. For the DASO test, the sub is submerged at launch depth, which allows the top portion of the mast to remain about the surface providing connectivity with other test range assets. The DASO missile test is used only (at least for the US) for the ship/crew to gain/re-gain certification; i.e., new construction or after an overhaul.
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 20:48
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With the Norkers happily wanging missiles on a monthly basis towards Japan, there will be a lot of navel gazing in the West, while in Russia, China, Norkers and Iran, they will be laughing into their collective tea.
I am very much surprised that this was actually made public, after all, I can't see our collective foe being able to track our test launches.
Unless we let everyone know we are conducting a test and all they see on their monitors is a huge whale fart, a float popping to the surface and it all goes quiet.

Perhaps we could have spun this like the Kremlin and said that it was a test of our new Double-Secret Super-Hypersonic Trident that flies with such speed and stealth its invisible to radar and doesn't make a splash.
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Old 22nd Feb 2024, 21:49
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Incidentally, is it the case that German Tiffies and their future Dave As are/will be capable of carrying a nuclear device? B61 or whatever will follow it?!

FB
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Old 23rd Feb 2024, 00:25
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Originally Posted by Spunky Monkey
I am very much surprised that this was actually made public, after all, I can't see our collective foe being able to track our test launches. Unless we let everyone know we are conducting a test and all they see on their monitors is a huge whale fart, a float popping to the surface and it all goes quiet.
Impossible to keep a missile test “quiet” for several reasons:

1. For U.S. missile tests, the U.S. still provides notifications to Russia under the 1988 Ballistic Missile Launch Notification Agreement.
2. For U.S. and UK sub missile tests, Notice to Mariners (and NOTAM) are announced with closure areas for the launch zone.
3. A large ballistic missile after launch makes a highly detectable thermal signature. Any country with the appropriate space-based assets can detect such an event.

Easier to keep the results of a missile test quiet, which is what the Brits did for the 2016 test.
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Old 23rd Feb 2024, 04:26
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The comments re the DASO telemetry monitoring are interesting, but surely highlight that the “ nothing to see here, we were only really testing the bit about spitting it out of the boat” is somewhat disingenuous.
Of course tests sometimes don’t work, but two in a row is for sure concerning, the more so given the suggestion that the rounds are selected at random from a pool . Based on what has been said about the demonstrated reliability levels of the pool, the statistics would tend to point at the launcher rather than the launchee, so to speak.
Still, I suppose it’s not the end of the world…..
Hat, coat……!
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Old 23rd Feb 2024, 19:05
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Originally Posted by BFSGrad
Impossible to keep a missile test “quiet” for several reasons:

1. For U.S. missile tests, the U.S. still provides notifications to Russia under the 1988 Ballistic Missile Launch Notification Agreement.
2. For U.S. and UK sub missile tests, Notice to Mariners (and NOTAM) are announced with closure areas for the launch zone.
3. A large ballistic missile after launch makes a highly detectable thermal signature. Any country with the appropriate space-based assets can detect such an event.

Easier to keep the results of a missile test quiet, which is what the Brits did for the 2016 test.
There is also the issue that you need to let people know you're doing it, lest the other side mistake it for an actual attack and respond in kind .

Granted, NK has never been worried about that part, although I suspect they think of that more of a feature than a bug...
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 09:20
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Many years ago Senora A was at a conference in Las Vegas (that's her story...) when the breakfast table was set a-jingling.

"Earthquake?" she asked the waiter - "yes & no ma'am - it's the Brits testing one of their nuclear warheads underground".................. ahh the good old days..............
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 10:26
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Originally Posted by The Helpful Stacker
Ad hominem...
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If Asturias were a female would that be an ad womanem?
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 13:19
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Originally Posted by Dan Gerous
Out of curiosity, would the sub firing the Trident be the one with the telemetry mast fitted, and can a Trident be launched from the surface, or would it be fired sub surface then the sub surface and the mast raised?
Don't think so. Chemical motor ignition occurs after the missile has breached the surface; the force which ejects the missile from its tube and clear of the water is in the form of a massive bubble of steam, assisted to some extent by the missile's bouyancy. Can't see that happening if the sub is on the surface and the silo is dry.
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 13:33
  #58 (permalink)  
 
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So how do/did Russian SLBMs work?

I seem to remember talk of Typhoon SSBNs lurking beneath the polar ice cap for safety, behind a protective screen of SSNs and where they can't be reached by aircraft/helos, but surfacing, breaking through the ice, to launch their missiles.

So presumably they could fire while surfaced?
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 18:55
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Not my speciallist subject I must add, but I can't see it happening. Terrestrial based ICBMs are housed in concrete silos which can tolerate the high temperatures and pressures of an initial boost-phase motor, as well as accommodating ducting for the exhaust gasses. Can't see that on a surfaced sub where the weapons are packed in like sardines, and I don't know how else you are going to get the missile far enough from the host vessel to avoid damage.
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Old 24th Feb 2024, 19:00
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German Tiffies and their future Dave As
Please don't contaminate this thread with spotter slang!

I assume you mean Eurofighters and F-35As?
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