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WW2, what if Hitler had started in 1938

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WW2, what if Hitler had started in 1938

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Old 4th Jul 2018, 12:27
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Originally Posted by Martin the Martian
Even in wartime the German atomic bomb project was far behind that of the Allies west AND east. Under peacetime rules I think it would have been a nonstarter.
That may be so, but Hitler didn't play by the rules. The Manhattan Project only came about due to WW2, so if the Americans had not entered, then the development would have been a non starter.
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Old 4th Jul 2018, 12:55
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If Hitler had waited till the U-Boaft Fleet was complete....perhaps all this other talk would be moot.

He almost won as it was but lost the Naval War due to having far too few Subs at the start.

Llkewise.....had FDR not violated the Neutrality Act....by providing resources, ships, tanks, and other armaments, and naval units for escorts.....the outcome of the early part of the War would have been altered as well.

Consider Hitler could have not declared War on the United States and probably we would have been delayed further from getting involved.
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Old 4th Jul 2018, 14:24
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Agree with SASless - one of my relatives was in the Kriegsmarine in the late '30s and he told me that the plan was to begin hostilities in '42 when the U-boot fleet was at the required strength. Earlier start would have meant even less capability to interrupt supply chains.
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Old 4th Jul 2018, 14:53
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As the tread has drifted to a delayed start, what if they had organised the Reichsmarine into a fleet rather than a commerce raiders? Bismarck and Tirpitz, together with the heavy cruisers could have posed a considerable threat to the RN. To add an air element, they might have had an aircraft carrier too, but what aircraft?
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Old 4th Jul 2018, 17:39
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Originally Posted by Pontius Navigator
As the tread has drifted to a delayed start, what if they had organised the Reichsmarine into a fleet rather than a commerce raiders? Bismarck and Tirpitz, together with the heavy cruisers could have posed a considerable threat to the RN. To add an air element, they might have had an aircraft carrier too, but what aircraft?
I seem to remember they were looking at JU87's for the strike element
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Old 4th Jul 2018, 17:43
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What Harry said. The Hindenburg(?) I think was also going to have Fw-190's as the fighter. I wonder if they would have gone with a jet also/instead?
 
Old 4th Jul 2018, 18:59
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SASless (#22),

Has put the finger spot on it. We were fortunate that Hitler (and Kaiser Bill before him) were both land animals, and could not see that Britain could be brought to its knees without the need for invasion or mass bombing. Simply cut our ocean supply lines - the "Western Approaches" - and we starve in a few months.

Kipling warned about this a century ago (in "Big Steamers"):

"The sweets that you suck, and the joints that you carve
Are brought to you daily by all us Big Steamers
And if anyone hinders our coming, you'll starve".


Churchill said it was his worst worry of the War (and in '41 we were in danger of losing it - tonnage was being sunk far faster than it could be replaced). The convoy system - together with Bletchley Park was our eventual salvation IMHO.

Could we defend our lifeline again today, with what's left of our Navy and maritime
anti -submarine Squadrons ?
 
Old 4th Jul 2018, 20:17
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Originally Posted by Pontius Navigator
As the tread has drifted to a delayed start, what if they had organised the Reichsmarine into a fleet rather than a commerce raiders? Bismarck and Tirpitz, together with the heavy cruisers could have posed a considerable threat to the RN. To add an air element, they might have had an aircraft carrier too, but what aircraft?
They could have fielded commerce raiders in '38, and they would have caused some damage, a la the Graf Spee, until the Royal Navy hunted them down. Adding the carrier is changing the rules somewhat though, it's not 'what if WW2 had started in 1938' it's now 'what if Germany had the armed forces it planned for the mid-1940s in 1938' which isn't an invalid question, but in fairness you'd have to assume the UK and France were similarly better prepared as Germany would have been breaking various treaties to get to that point.
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 02:40
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I am sensitive to the U-Boat thing as I live on the North Carolina coast very close to Cape Lookout which is part of what was known as the most dangerous waters in the entire World during 1942.

Ships were torpedoed within sight of land here very frequently in those days.....particularly tankers.

Millions of gallons of oil washed up along the shoreline along with bodies, empty lift boats, and other wreckage.

The wrecks make for good fishing and diving these days.

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Old 5th Jul 2018, 19:57
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Originally Posted by Green Flash
What Harry said. The Hindenburg(?) I think was also going to have Fw-190's as the fighter. I wonder if they would have gone with a jet also/instead?
Germany's first Carrier was named Graf Zeppelin, she was launched in 1938 but never completed for many reasons, not least passive aggressive opposition from Goering's Luftwaffe. She was intended to be the first of four, a second vessel was laid down (to be named Peter Strasser according to some reports) but eventually scrapped on the slip to divert resources into U Boat production. Graf Zeppelin was captured by the Soviets in Poland at the end of the war, and eventually sunk in the Baltic as a target in 1947.

The air group would have been a sqn of Bf-109T fighters, with extended wings that folded, and a sqn of JU-87C Stukas for both Dive and Torpedo Bombing, also with folding wings. The aircraft were built, but were just absorbed into the Luftwaffe. Ultimately we can thank Herr Goering for preventing the Kriegsmarine from acquiring any carriers; as commerce raiders they would have been a lot more effective than Battleships.
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