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Old 8th Jun 2017, 06:38
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European Army

Been mocked as a fantasy many times, now...........

Brussels reveals vision for European army to supersede Nato

Plans for the foundation of a European “security and defence union” by 2025 to rival Nato as Europe’s military defender were set out in Brussels yesterday.

The blueprint envisages the organisation taking over from the established American-led alliance as Europe’s first line of defence in a political landscape changed by Brexit and President Trump. Federica Mogherini, the EU’s foreign affairs commissioner, echoed comments made by Angela Merkel that Europe could no longer “completely depend” on the US. The proposals, she said, were “linked to a certain unpredictability of positions in Washington” — a reference to Mr Trump’s failure publicly to back Nato’s mutual-defence clause in Brussels a fortnight ago.

Manfred Weber, head of the biggest bloc of MEPs in the European parliament, hailed the plan as the biggest leap in integration since the single currency. “Europe needs to grow up and to be able to defend itself. A common EU defence is a must. It is the second major development for EU after the euro,” he said.

Europe’s defence ambitions have been dogged in the past by British vetoes, German reluctance to commit military forces to operations and a reliance on the US in the Libya bombing campaign. Britain’s decision to leave the EU and Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 have revived enthusiasm for common defence structures; plans that have been accelerated by the result of the American presidential election last year.

Yesterday’s “reflection paper” envisages an EU military force that can act independently of Nato to run “high-end operations to better protect Europe, potentially including operations against terrorist groups, naval operations in hostile environments and cyberdefence actions”. To begin with the “EU would take more decisive action in dealing with threats and challenges falling below the threshold” of Nato’s Article 5 collective defence clause. In the longer term, the objective will be “fully synchronised” defence planning, shared intelligence and “agreed priorities” on military capabilities with “a greater level of integration of states’ defence forces”.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 06:53
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Plans for the foundation of a European “security and defence union” by 2025 to rival Nato as Europe’s military defender were set out in Brussels yesterday.
Why must it rival it/exist in parallel? Why not as a replacement and a euro answer to euro security needs and concerns.

From a practical standpoint, getting many euro nations to fund the existing structure at agreed upon rates has been a bridge too far. Do you really think they'll fund both? Me, not so much.

Mix in varying geo political priorities, agendas and sensitivities. Can say Italy veto unified military or police actions by this force when Germany believes to be in euroland's collective best interests?

The facade of a homogeneous Europe makes this tenuous at best.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 07:45
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A European army to exist alongside NATO, and weaken both? Whether Europe likes it or not, it is dependent on the USA, and Trump will only be in power until 2024 at the latest. NATO works, has worked and will continue to work.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 08:01
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Guys (and girls) in Brussels seem to loose the ground completely :-)
Putting away obvious technical/military and cost aspects, there will additionally arise a political tension because the "new leader" will either be Germany (irritating France and some southern countries) or France (irritating Germany and its new east-european vassals). Can hardly believe they (F and D) will find a stable balance.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 08:20
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The way things are looking across the pond, Trump won't be in power beyond the Summer, but on the European Army, I take it this includes a European Navy and Air Force to boot! Well we all knew no matter that it was denied in the run up to Brexit. But as has been said, without the USA, this is a phoney token gesture. None of the West European countries certainly, have any chance, public reaction nor political will to spend the amount on Defence to offset the American departure which may well follow.

FB
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 11:24
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Colour me cynical, but the EU crumpled and all fell out, broadly going their own way over open borders, at the first sign of pressure.


Italy and Greece have very much been left to it.


I can't see Brussels facing down the Russian military and acting on a widespread and coordinated scale. Many of them talk big, but add nothing (Luxembourg???), the Germans don't leave bases and many of the Eastern states seem to exist to keep the DFAC in business.


The Dutch, Danes, Poles and Estonians will end up doing the hard work, with the French making a valuable contribution, if they are in the mood.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 11:36
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If the Germans are in charge of equipment, the French get catering, the Dutch get finance and the Italians sort out the uniforms, it would be a great idea. The reality will be that the Italians get strategy, the French get organisation, the Greeks get finance and the Germans get public relations.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 12:39
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Originally Posted by Herod
A European army to exist alongside NATO, and weaken both? Whether Europe likes it or not, it is dependent on the USA, and Trump will only be in power until 2024 at the latest. NATO works, has worked and will continue to work.

Why did you insinuate is it trumps "fault"?

If anyone it's those countries that have been free-loading for years if not decades.

Seems to be a lot of people jumping on a particular bandwagon these days...

https://youtu.be/westm8bmf2E

Last edited by glad rag; 8th Jun 2017 at 12:53.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 13:02
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glad rag. I didn't insinuate anything of the sort. What I was pointing out is that NATO (read Europe) is dependent on the US, and until recently Article 5 was taken as a given. If a certain president wishes to suggest that may not be the case, then that is just a fact. No need to "insinuate" anything.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 15:40
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glad rag. I didn't insinuate anything of the sort. What I was pointing out is that NATO (read Europe) is dependent on the US, and until recently Article 5 was taken as a given. If a certain president wishes to suggest that may not be the case, then that is just a fact. No need to "insinuate" anything.
While I agree, the question I ask, is why is euro security dependent upon the US? I'm skeptical of a stand alone euro army, but very much in favor as it makes the ones with the greatest concerns the ones leading.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 17:08
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West Coast. Simple numbers. The US is a superpower, whatever that may mean. If a certain occupant of the Kremlin decided to invade one of the Baltic States, he would be much more confident if the US wasn't going to come to the rescue. Despite what some people may say, the US saved Europe's bacon twice in the last century, and I'd like to think they would be prepared to stand up if needed in this. Given the power of the US, simply being there is probably deterrent enough. "Speak softly and carry a big stick" Theodore Roosevelt I believe.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 17:30
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I don't disagree, but you're not dealing with the red menace anymore, Vlad isn't a superpower. A unified Euro force can oppose any threat to its security.

What I and others in the US tire of is shouldering the burden of Europe's defense while many euro nations refuse to pay their share. This despite the threat being far greater to them than it is to the US. Europe has become far too comfortable and expectant of US commitment to the point that it was viewed as inappropriate when Trump (and I Believe Obama previously) asked NATO nations to wedge their wallet open and quit being free riders.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 17:48
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Brussels currently drawing up a draft treaty amendment that member states will have to sign agreeing to the EU army entering their territory any time it wants. Seriously scarey. So glad the UK is on the way out just in time.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 18:12
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I agree with your gripe about the cost, West Coast. There are too many free-riders on this side of the Pond. Both Trump and Obama made it very clear that the US expects European states to pay their way.
I'm afraid though that a unified Euro force would never happen. There is never, at least in the lifetime of most of us on this forum, going to be a United States of Europe. There are big cultural differences in the way the USA and any USE were/would be formed. You could do it; I don't think we can...and anyway it would be without us now.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 18:42
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The EU pushed through the Euro without the necessary political and technical measures in order for it to succeed - i. e. Fiscal union, a joint budget etc - on the supposition that crises would arrive that would mean these could then be put in place. Good luck with that, see Greece, Italy and the German resistance for that.

The current European army is another example of the EU Commission seeing no crisis as to good to waste - namely Brexit and Trump's omission of support for Article 5 - and attempting to do the same for an integrated military force. As stated the numerous problems of funding, procurement, chain of command - let alone a joint agreed foreign policy - is ignored.

The difference being Euro problems can be kicked down the road - a military emergency such as an invasion of a member nation being slightly more pressing.

IRRC it was Kissinger who asked, when there is an emergency, who in Europe do I call? In this case, if there is an emergency in Europe, who makes the call?
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 18:51
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With Brexit, an advantage for the French is that they can lobby for the EU force to have an official language of French for the EU Armed Forces, since they don't have to accept the official language of NATO being English (oh, yeah, and French, OTAN) any more.
Good luck with that, though.
I think Herod's on the right track.
My only question is: how do you feel that Article V no longer applies? What leads you to that conclusion? I've not seen the US withdraw form the treaty, nor that language amended.
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Old 8th Jun 2017, 19:28
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We're in agreement Herrod, for me specifically wrt a unified political will to use a notional euro army. One need only look at the paralysis in Europe's capitals during the 90s with genocide occurring in Europe itself. How much hand wringing occurred till Clinton forced the issue. To be clear, I think a Euro army would be superbly trained and led but would lack the cohesion needed, and of course would be logistically inadequate.

One can dream though.
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Old 4th Jul 2017, 09:14
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UK slated to lead EU military mission after Brexit - POLITICO
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Old 6th Jul 2017, 09:08
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ORAC, the piece that you link to perfectly illustrates the dichotomy that exists between the EU concept of defence and that of the NATO/UK one of European Defence. The former is mumbo jumbo that would not survive first contact. I wouldn't want to fight and die for the EU, and suspect that goes for many in the armed forces of European States. In contrast the armed forces of the UK and USA have fought repeatedly for European freedom, and sadly not for the last time I fear.

The EU carries the seeds of its own destruction. If it continues pushing for ever closer unity then "unforeseen consequences" will follow as sure as night follows day. The UK will be well out of it, as will others who choose to follow our example.
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Old 6th Jul 2017, 12:01
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Chug

Without descending to Jet Blast I'd only observe that for the last 65 years people in the UK have been forecasting the "imminent" collapse of the EU but it seems to carry on and even grow - and grow closer ............

I don't think it's jealousy or envy - I just think we see the world in different ways and we REALLY don't understand their commitment to the idea
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