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-   -   Cathay mulls 787-10 to replace A330s (https://www.pprune.org/fragrant-harbour/500590-cathay-mulls-787-10-replace-a330s.html)

akerosid 18th Nov 2012 18:54

It was also reported by FlightGlobal that CX expects to make a decision between the A380 and 747-8I in mid 2013. It remains interested in the 777X.

I guess a big question with regard to the 787-10 is whether CX goes 8 or 9 abreast in Y Class; many airlines, like UA for example, are going 9 abreast, while more "premium" carriers like BA and NH (on international routes) are going 8 abreastl obviously, on an aircraft that long, that's going to make a significant difference to the aircraft's economics.

Anotherday 19th Nov 2012 09:51


Heard of several rumours floating around about a -8i as well.
The i model? Is that the new one with fuel injection like my 1977 BMW 730i has got?

SOPS 19th Nov 2012 15:16

There is a lurking idiot at all times :ugh:

F_one 19th Nov 2012 20:10


Is that the new one with fuel injection like my 1977 BMW 730i has got?
No, don't be silly. This is a serious discussion. That's the one the iCadets will be flying...

betpump5 19th Nov 2012 20:30

I've not heard any rumors regarding the 8i, just facts based on real data. In summary, the 8i is the worst aircraft in Boeing's inventory.

This saddens me but I'm optimistic that cxorcist will provide data to the contrary.

Steve the Pirate 19th Nov 2012 20:48


In summary, the 8i is the worst aircraft in Boeing's inventory.
Wash you mouth out betpump! The words "worst" and "Boeing" are mutually exclusive. :)

STP

betpump5 19th Nov 2012 20:56

STP I hate myself for saying that - I promise. But having spoken with a Lufthansa pilot on the 8i ( a die hard Boeing guy who could be cxorcist himself) he didn't have too many nice things to say about it.

DropKnee 19th Nov 2012 22:34

Well if one LH pilot gives the 8I the thumbs down. That does it for me. The Germans are known for the well thought out and rational opinions
The only reason I want the 8I is to avoid 2 months in kitty city converting to the 777. That and the lav in the cockpit. You got to love that.

BuzzBox 19th Nov 2012 23:18


the lav in the cockpit
The beancounters have been trying to get rid of that little luxury for years. Perhaps they'll get their way if CX orders the -8I.

cxorcist 19th Nov 2012 23:43

Actually, I agree with the -8 LH pilot in that the pilot/airplane interface (cockpit) has a long way to go. The FMC and ECS systems need fixes desperately. Hopefully, they will come sooner rather than later.

From the company's economic perspective however, the airplane is extremely capable and efficient. A simple archived CFP check reveals that it carries 25-30T more freight than the -400ERF for the same fuel burn. That is approximately 25% more efficient with another few percent still to come from the engines and flight control changes. Granted, the airplane has only 16% more volume, but it is hard to argue with numbers like those.

swh,

I hope your A350 numbers are correct because CX seems to have placed a large bet on them. Based on history though, you'll have to excuse my pessimism. Airbus is well known for OPUD (over promise under deliver).

cxorcist 19th Nov 2012 23:47

akerosid,

CX would very likely put PEY into a prospective -10 making 9 abreast EY more likely. Don't like the smaller EY seat? Upgrade to PEY.

Pogie 20th Nov 2012 04:09


Yes thats right...what happened to the A380 gym and waterfall?
I just had an image of somebody struggling for the last few inches of their bench press, as the pilot reacts to a TCAS CLIMB RA!

cxorcist 21st Nov 2012 16:05

Where did all the Airbus fans / Boeing naysayers go?

Funny how the thread shuts down when factual data is supplied.

Swh, betpump, anyone... Bueller, Bueller, ... anyone? Crickets, all I hear are crickets chirping.

Captain Dart 21st Nov 2012 20:11

It's because most of us find the posts from these unpaid publicity consultants doing charity work in aid of the Boeing Company and Airbus Industrie very, very boring.

cxorcist 22nd Nov 2012 16:31

Very sensible post Silverfuchs. The only point I take issue with is that the 787-10 is unknown in terms of actual performance (paper airplane). While that is technically correct (in fact its production has not even been approved by Boeing's board yet), it is not difficult to extrapolate from the 787-8 which flies today and arrive at very reliable numbers for the -10. That is how the 25% more efficient than the A333 figure is derived. I suppose it's possible that there could be fuselage-extension engineering hiccups along the way, but Boeing will probably work through any of those on the -9 model before the -10 is produced. So the only real questions are when will it be available and how much will it cost.

Dart,

If this is so boring to you, feel free to stop reading, much less posting on the topic. Your attempts to insult are meaningless. I happen to like airplanes and discussing them on this site. Every once in a while I actually learn something, and I hope some of my posts allow others to do the same. Does it matter that I prefer Boeing over Airbus and write accordingly? Not PC enough for you?

Steve the Pirate 22nd Nov 2012 22:26

I'm sure it's possible to extrapolate 787-10 performance figures from the 787-8 but a couple of things crossed my mind, viz:


Boeing is confident that improvements it is implementing on the 747-8 will recover performance to beyond customer guarantees and bring it "very close" to the original brochure claims made at the time of launch.

Boeing deactivated the 747-8I's horizontal stabiliser fuel tanks prior to certification last year after analysis showed that a failure of the wing-to-strut join fitting could allow flutter in the horizontal stabiliser when the fuel tanks on either side are filled to more than 15% of their capacity.
I'm not sure the latter quote could be classified as a "hiccup" as it has an impact on employability of the aircraft. That said, I'm sure Boeing will fix it. So it's not only Airbus that makes performance predictions which look great in computer simulations but then turn out to be overly optimistic when the aircraft actually flies.

Discussions such as this one might be interesting for some and boring for others but, at the end of the day, are entirely academic as I venture to suggest that the overwhelming majority of pilots would base their equipment choice (if they were to have one) on the route network and the lifestyle it affords, not the manufacturer.

If Boeing were to extrapolate the 787-10 performance from the 787-8, do you think the extrapolation of the delay in delivery should be linear or exponential? :)

STP

Steve the Pirate 24th Nov 2012 08:49

Where did all the Boeing fans / Airbus naysayers go?

Funny how the thread shuts down when the odd "inconvenient truth" is supplied.

cxorcist, anyone... Bueller, Bueller, ... anyone? Grillons, tout ce que j'entends c'est le gazouillis des grillons. :)

STP

cxorcist 27th Nov 2012 00:59

STP-

Your use of frog makes me want to puke!!!

Seriously, what's to argue with in your post? Yes, the 787 was late. Boeing learned a lot of difficult and expensive lessons wrt production on the 787. Fortunately for them they have a great airplane with a very bright future (especially considering that the -9/-10 are sure to outsell the smallest version being produced now), but they have a lot of ground to make up. The production rate is up to 5 per month after only 1 year. By contrast, the A380 is only being produced at a rate of 3 per month after 5 years in service.

WRT the 747-8I tail tank deactivation, it is really a non-event. LF does not need it for any of the routes that it flies the aircraft on, and you are correct that it will be corrected well before any customers do require it. CX would need it for JFK and LAX/SFO-HKG in the winter were it to buy or lease them.

SMOC 27th Nov 2012 02:50

Looks like CX has picked up a few more -8Fs


Air China Cargo airplanes changed to Cathay Pacific.

LN 1483, 747- 8FTF, RC631, Air China Cargo #1 is now 747-867F, RC561, Cathay #11
LN 1484, 747- 8FTF, RC632, Air China Cargo #2 is now 747-867F, RC562, Cathay #12
LN 1486, 747- 8FTF, RC633, Air China Cargo #3 is now 747-867F, RC563, Cathay #13.

Frogman1484 27th Nov 2012 02:51

Hey leave the frogs out of this!

Cherrs Frogman1484


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