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Old 20th Sep 2011, 03:32
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Share Price

The Hang Seng's off 18% yoy, CX down close to 40% yoy. Cathay on the nose for investors?
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 03:36
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Can't wait for it be around $9 again!

(...though I might be tempted at anything under $10 this time...)

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Old 21st Sep 2011, 04:16
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...heading to $5. The world economy is about to tank in the biggest way possible. There is a 'shaking of the tree' coming that will leave people breathless.
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 04:43
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Jed,
Don't sh*t where you eat.
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 05:32
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Very true.. $5 if they're (we're) lucky.

Sadly, i'd be surprised if 1/2 of us have jobs in 12-18 months.
World economy is girding to debt driven halt..
China will outlast most, but CX is gonna take a big hit in all cabins.
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 07:08
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Oval,

Are you saying I shouldn't buy and sell shares in the company that employs me? Or that I shouldn't make a profit from them?

Or that perhaps I should buy them at any price, even if (like Air Profit) I believe that they're heading south for the next few years?
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 16:47
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Jed,

Maybe it's not applicable to the everlasting CX, but, many people have lost everything when they have depended on their employers for both a salary and investment and their employers have gone bust.

Since CX would never go bust, I guess it's OK for an employee of CX to invest in CX shares without worry.
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 17:01
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YET.

All in good time.
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Old 21st Sep 2011, 17:34
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....if you love CX stock at $9......you'll love it at $5...! Patience and judgement, all that is needed to consistently make money in the markets. Most of you buy when you should be selling and sell when you should be buying. Follow the 'Profit'.....!!
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Old 22nd Sep 2011, 10:41
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Where is Numero crunchero in these times??? A wise voice if ever there were one.....

U out there Numereo??? Long time no hear....

b.
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Old 26th Sep 2011, 10:47
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Warren Buffet on the subject of airline stocks:

If a capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk back in the early 1900s, he should have shot Orville Wright. He would have saved his progeny money. But seriously, the airline business has been extraordinary. It has eaten up capital over the past century like almost no other business because people seem to keep coming back to it and putting fresh money in.

You've got huge fixed costs, you've got strong labor unions, and you've got commodity pricing. That is not a great recipe for success. I have an 800 number now that I call if I get the urge to buy an airline stock. I call at 2 in the morning and I say: 'My name is Warren, and I'm an aeroholic.' And then they talk me down.
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Old 26th Sep 2011, 21:13
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HKPax,

Not too far from the truth, I'll grant you that.

The issue is that CX is not really a true airline stock. The talking heads and other mainstream media may think that it is, but in reality it is but a useful money-go-round machine for Swire.

I can't think of any other private airline that has never lost money (I'm ignoring the "manufactured" losses recently).
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Old 27th Sep 2011, 05:03
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Jed is right on the money.

Swire company share movements, changes in ownership etc are often just shuffling of money between different parts of the company. For example: just recently Swire Pacific still went ahead with its spinoff of Swire property with share prices heading south, when everyone else was postponing theirs public offerings. But wait....The 'public offering' was a special rights issue moving 17% of Swire property to John Swire and Sons. Essentially the start of giving the boss enough of a shareholding to control the new spun off Swire properties. So not a very public offering is it!

This is classic Swire, classic Hong Kong taipan stuff. Always look below the surface with share movements in these companies. Not all is what it often seems to be.

Cathay is no different. They use it to move losses and profits as required, just like any other part of Swire. Wouldn't be surprise if there wasn't a fair amout of transfer pricing also occuring within the group to accomodate this.
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Old 28th Sep 2011, 17:15
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There is a LARGE drop in the share price coming. It it hits $6 or lower, buy. Otherwise, don't even consider investing in airline stocks.
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Old 28th Sep 2011, 22:08
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Since pprune began there have been a bunch of crackpots heralding the collapse of the world economy and CX at $4.36 a share. Funny they can never get an actual date, bit like the hkg met office and their Tempo, it just keeps getting moved along since surely sometime it must actually happen.

Anyone talked to baby jesus "with his tiny hands all omnipotent" and got an actual date where the share price will tank?
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