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-   -   Project Sunrise (https://www.pprune.org/australia-new-zealand-pacific/624819-project-sunrise.html)

CurtainTwitcher 19th Oct 2019 22:27

Sunfish, you've fallen straight into the trap many airline managers did, fuel consumption is not a linear function. *cough* Boston Bruce pointed out why LCC couldn't work economically as sector length increased for this reason. He was "choosen" to go to the cosmetics industry as a consequence.

Jet transport fuel consumption is a function of time (Fuel economy in aircraft). You consume around 3% per hour per hour to carry it, this is, an exponential function. We could split hairs about the actual number (2.75 ~ 3.0 ~ 3.25%), but all it really does is change the inflection point in time before going exponential. For a A380 that inflection point is around 8 hours, for the B787 it may be 10 or 12 hours, I haven't seen the exact data.

This is why all the manufactures are trying to do everything they can to reduce airframe weight, to lower the burn % per hour to shift the inflection point.

The bottom line is the is not about reducing fuel costs, rather trying to increase the premium with direct point-to-point between high value financial centres. If there is a premium direct service it could potentially create an economic moat as there won't be enough traffic for a competitor on these routes.

Originally Posted by wikipedia

Flight distance

For long-haul flights, the airplane needs to carry additional fuel, leading to higher fuel consumption. Above a certain distance it becomes more fuel-efficient to make a halfway stop to refuel, despite the energy losses in descent and climb. For example, a Boeing 777-300 reaches that point at 3,000 nautical miles (5,600 km). It is more fuel-efficient to make a non-stop flight at less than this distance and to make a stop when covering a greater total distance.[5]

Example: The specific range of a Boeing 777-200 per distance
FUEL CONSUMPTION Pounds per Nautical mile as function of distance

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....b81f14a388.png
source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_economy_in_aircraft

rjtjrt 19th Oct 2019 22:32


Originally Posted by mmmbop (Post 10598694)
QF 787s have a pitch of 32.

For me it is not seat pitch that is decider, but seat width.
17.2inch seat width is far too narrow, especially for 6ft+ passenger.
It is shoulder room that is missing.

mmmbop 19th Oct 2019 23:09

I agree rjtjrt. Trying to sit in the narrow space without encroaching or being encroached upon by another is worse.

Dragon Man, not the point. If Square Bear wants to slag off a product, then be accurate and don't exaggerate. That is all.

chuboy 19th Oct 2019 23:38


Originally Posted by rjtjrt (Post 10598707)


For me it is not seat pitch that is decider, but seat width.
17.2inch seat width is far too narrow, especially for 6ft+ passenger.

While it is true that 9-abreast in a 787, and 10-abreast in the 77W, require narrow seats, I'll point out two things
  1. ​​​​​​It hasn't stopped pax buying flights on PER-LHR or MEL-LAX
  2. Both of the aircraft under consideration for sunrise will have wider cabins which can accommodate 9/10 abreast at 18 inch seat width.

PPRuNeUser0198 20th Oct 2019 00:40


Due to the low passenger load, each passenger was allocated a business class seat that could convert into a bed, although passengers were encouraged to spend time in the coach cabin in order to balance the plane. “I feel better than I usually do,” Nick Mole, one of the passengers in the research study, told Business Insider about 17 hours into the flight. Mr. Mole often flies in business class, but said that he feels better rested after an ultra-long-haul direct flight, rather than one with a connection, including Qantas’ service to New York via Los Angeles. “I’m not sure I’d want to do 20 hours in the back of the plane, though,” he added.

Exactly. Fine in a premium cabin where you can have space and be ‘horizontal’. Crammed down the back, especially in a middle seat - a form of torture.

Please do a test flight with a number of people crammed into a section of economy and see what the ‘feedback’ is like. How ‘better rested’ they are.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/w...sydney-2019-10

Sunfish 20th Oct 2019 00:40

Thank you curtain twitcher for your excellent explanation. I didn’t know that.

Fliegenmong 20th Oct 2019 00:56

“I’m not sure I’d want to do 20 hours in the back of the plane, though,” he added.

.....Nick will not be invited to another 'Research Flight' :rolleyes:

ruprecht 20th Oct 2019 01:19

From the article, a quote from the captain:


“Sometimes, I sleep better on the long-haul flights than I do at home,” he added.
Uh-huh... :hmm:

tdracer 20th Oct 2019 01:20

No idea what Qantas is considering for Project Sunrise, but Singapore went with a 100% premium product on their Singapore LAX and JFK service (A340-500) - basically all business class. They also charged a premium above the normal business class for the same route with a stop. I looked into the LAX-SIN nonstop once and IIRC it was about $1000 more than the normal business class fare.
Seemed to work for them...

chuboy 20th Oct 2019 01:36


Originally Posted by ruprecht (Post 10598774)
From the article, a quote from the captain:


Perhaps he means because there is nobody in the bunk to distract him when he is on a long haul flight :}

chuboy 20th Oct 2019 01:41


Originally Posted by tdracer (Post 10598775)
No idea what Qantas is considering for Project Sunrise, but Singapore went with a 100% premium product on their Singapore LAX and JFK service (A340-500) - basically all business class. They also charged a premium above the normal business class for the same route with a stop. I looked into the LAX-SIN nonstop once and IIRC it was about $1000 more than the normal business class fare.
Seemed to work for them...

They have reinstated this route with business and premium economy using the A359. Considering the very tight balance between fuel load and payload I would foresee a premium heavy bias to the configuration that is finally chosen for the Ultra-ULH Sunrise aircraft. There's no advantage to putting low-yield passengers on the aircraft, as we have seen with PER-LHR it is considerably more expensive to fly non-stop, but some punters will pay the premium and they are the ones you want to cherry pick. Leave the rest to go via hubs where you can create an economy of scale.

Street garbage 20th Oct 2019 01:49


Originally Posted by ruprecht (Post 10598774)
From the article, a quote from the captain:



Uh-huh... :hmm:

Yeah, I often sleep 2.5hrs on/ 3 hours off at home, makes for a wonderful nights rest..they don't call it the DreamChanger for nothing...

Green.Dot 20th Oct 2019 02:03


Originally Posted by Ken Borough (Post 10597235)
Just asking for a friend: did those who flew the noisy Cats between Perth and Colombo have horizontal rest, air-conditioning, hot and cold meals/refreshments, a toilet etc before they had to land at the end of more than a shockingly long sector?

No. Does your mate still drive a Model T Ford? 🙄

Street garbage 20th Oct 2019 02:37


Originally Posted by Global Aviator (Post 10598069)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sing...ghts_21_and_22

11 years of 340 flying the route as the longest at the time. Correct only 18 hours, however surely some good date there.

Yes it was only J class for a long time, not that that effects the drivers, but certainly does the CC which no one has really spoken about on this new service. They will be working!!!

So the key is to get the crew compliment, rest and rest area right.

I am no angel, just a realist.

Lucky for all of us you won't be voting at EA time...thanks Geoffrey for your paid comments.$$

dragon man 20th Oct 2019 02:44

https://www.smh.com.au/business/comp...20-p532d8.html

Its viable says the $24 million man. Great. Then stop trying to screw the pilots you prick.

Sceva 20th Oct 2019 03:22

37minutes late arrival time...
Havin’ a chuckle..!

FightDeck 20th Oct 2019 04:21


Originally Posted by ruprecht (Post 10598774)
From the article, a quote from the captain:



Uh-huh... :hmm:

said no one EVER

JPJP 20th Oct 2019 06:01


Originally Posted by Global Aviator (Post 10598069)

11 years of 340 flying the route as the longest at the time. Correct only 18 hours, however surely some good date there.


Sooooo .... you’ve been a passenger on the flight, once, maybe ? You don’t fly an airliner and you’ve never flown long haul. Yet you’ve posted on this thread on numerous occasions. Mainly gibberish, but it is repetitive.


Originally Posted by Global Aviator (Post 10598069)
I am no angel, just a realist.

To be frank; you come across as a drunk dude that may fly airplanes. You’ve posted the expression “tequila sunrise” so many times that you appear to be looking for recognition as an amusing raconteur. Or, some sort of validation.

It hadn’t happened. Now it has.

This is it.





Global Aviator 20th Oct 2019 06:14


Originally Posted by Sceva (Post 10598808)
37minutes late arrival time...
Havin’ a chuckle..!


So a bit of realism to the end of the ULH.

I love the attacking comments towards me, grow up it’s called constructive criticism. Sunrise, Bananrama, Tequila Sunrise, the flight will happen. Make it work for you.

Yes I’ve been repetitive as I feel the comments need to be.

Busted! Yes I have replied after a few, actually doesn’t change my attitude to this flight. Do the job you signed up for. As for Sunrise fight make sure you have the required crew requirement, rest and erm repeat do your job.

As I’ve said several time no I haven’t flown ULH, yes paxed numerous times not that that counts!

I am still more concerned about 2 crew red eyes than multi crew ULH!


itsnotthatbloodyhard 20th Oct 2019 06:38


Do the job you signed up for. As for Sunrise fight make sure you have the required crew requirement, rest and erm repeat do your job.
Is there any provision for this particular job in the current EA? Is it even legal within the current framework? So who exactly do you think has signed up for it?

dragon man 20th Oct 2019 07:03


Originally Posted by Global Aviator (Post 10598846)


So a bit of realism to the end of the ULH.

I love the attacking comments towards me, grow up it’s called constructive criticism. Sunrise, Bananrama, Tequila Sunrise, the flight will happen. Make it work for you.

Yes I’ve been repetitive as I feel the comments need to be.

Busted! Yes I have replied after a few, actually doesn’t change my attitude to this flight. Do the job you signed up for. As for Sunrise fight make sure you have the required crew requirement, rest and erm repeat do your job.

As I’ve said several time no I haven’t flown ULH, yes paxed numerous times not that that counts!

I am still more concerned about 2 crew red eyes than multi crew ULH!


The job we signed up for doesn’t in any shape or form include 22 hour TOD or allow for 10.5 hours of flight deck duty. Let alone with a 4 man crew and a crew rest that is not segregated. Lastly there is no fatigue data other than 3 years of back to back BNE JFK returns and those crew were shattered. Then you add in what the company wants from us for the privilege of doing this, like removal of night credits on 3 man crewing, increased freeze periods and a B scale for new second officers and you can understand why the average line pilot won’t vote it up.

Rated De 20th Oct 2019 07:22


Do the job you signed up for. As for Sunrise fight (sic) make sure you have the required crew requirement, rest and erm repeat do your job.
Fight or flight?

Nobody has signed up for this. The health impact is not known.
By all means, if there is scientifically valid modelling that says there is no negative health impact then what ought follow is a change to the regulatory limits and then a negotiation.
Filling the aircraft with turncoats and hack media helps drive a commercial agenda.
Not sure how 150 passengers in economy can squeeze into a galley to do calisthenics, but when plied with "free" accommodation and meals, it is hardly in one's interest to mention anything other than what the bribe was expected to deliver.
Soft corruption takes many forms.

Does the A350 or B777X have bleed air extraction for cabin pressurisation?
That alone, according to Boeing makes a difference to passenger "amenity"
So the "data" even less relevant.


This is simply Little Napoleon pushing a commercial agenda.
He set the deadline. Let it lapse.

Do not fall for the commerce, it is a misdirection.
It is health and safety that matters-long term

morno 20th Oct 2019 07:26

If all you QFers are unhappy with the different opinions being voiced here, which is a public forum, take yourselves off to your Qantas forum.

Otherwise, suck it up and let others exercise their right to free speech

dragon man 20th Oct 2019 07:32


Originally Posted by morno (Post 10598876)
If all you QFers are unhappy with the different opinions being voiced here, which is a public forum, take yourselves off to your Qantas forum.

Otherwise, suck it up and let others exercise their right to free speech

You are welcome to your free speech as we that don’t agree with you are.

morno 20th Oct 2019 07:41


Originally Posted by dragon man (Post 10598878)


You are welcome to your free speech as we that don’t agree with you are.

I should clarify. I don’t have a problem with your opinions on the matter, but there’s a few who seem to think that unless we’re experts in the area or a QF pilot, we’re not entitled to an opinion. These are the ones I’m talking about.

PPRuNeUser0198 20th Oct 2019 07:45


if there is scientifically valid modelling that says there is no negative health impact
And that is the problem. There is already deleterious metabolic and cognitive health outcomes for operating crew with their current regime. So whether this longer sector is unfavourable or favourable to crews, the underlying negative outcomes from operating long-haul are already there. Crew will either suffer more, or a little less - but there is no removal of the consequences of circadian disruption, sleep deprivation, poor nutritional sustenance etc. And the fact that this ‘research study’ does not follow the Bradford Hill criterial for causation - means it is really just a meaningless data collection that will (being paid research), show some likely ‘favourable outcomes’ I am sure. Particularly for the sample of ‘commercial customers’ that travelled in a premium cabin with horizontal rest.

Snakecharma 20th Oct 2019 09:32

One of the posts talks about crew rest not being segregated.

how are the rest areas set up? Do they have a forward flight crew rest near the 1 doors and cabin crew rest near the rear doors?

and does the flight crew rest have a couple of seats, IFE and corresponding bunks?

not suggesting anything just curious.


bnt 20th Oct 2019 10:20

The Daily Mail has a report on the JFK-SYD flight, with pictures of the pilots wearing brain monitoring headbands and passengers doing yoga in the galleys.

I can't imagine doing a flight that long in economy, without the ability to lie down flat at any time. I think the longest flight I've had was about 11 hours, and by the end I was stir-crazy.

V-Jet 20th Oct 2019 11:26

Whilst I do object to the farce that is the ‘science’ regarding this little exercise I think it’s great that AJ (no doubt with a LOT of pushing from Todd S) has actually started to understand what an airline is.

I do think it’s reasonable to point out that the original pax to SYD came chained below decks for 6+ months. Little jet lag of course, but success of those trips was measured in mortality rates.

Im vehemently against the farce the ‘science’ around these ULH flights are and the complete disregard for the people who actually put the bonus on the table for management but it’s an interesting footnote in history...

34R 20th Oct 2019 11:31

It's interesting to note the effort QF are going to with regards to reducing or minimising the adverse affect this length of flight may have on the passenger, who may only endure this once or twice a year.

Telling that the same amount of effort is not being put into minimising the affect this operation will have on crew who may operate 3 or 4 sectors like this a month.


Another Number 20th Oct 2019 11:57

At first I was wondering how many fares they sold, but it turns out you can't fault them for selling it (to the media) as "World's longest commercial flight successfully touches down at Sydney Airport" - the whole thing was a commercial, after all! :E

Biggles78 20th Oct 2019 12:03


Originally Posted by Snakecharma
does the flight crew rest have a couple of seats

I believe the bean-counters consider those rest seats to be 0A and 0B. :E

bnt 20th Oct 2019 13:20


Originally Posted by Snakecharma (Post 10598959)
One of the posts talks about crew rest not being segregated.

how are the rest areas set up? Do they have a forward flight crew rest near the 1 doors and cabin crew rest near the rear doors?

and does the flight crew rest have a couple of seats, IFE and corresponding bunks?

not suggesting anything just curious.


This article has more details about the two rest areas, with pictures. By "segregated", why would that be an issue? Cabin crew should hopefully be professionals who know how to behave themselves in a mixed environment.

Snakecharma 20th Oct 2019 13:33

Thanks BNT,

the pics give me the answer. re segregated I thought it meant flight and cabin crew not male/female (if that is what you were alluding to) but I see dragon man means (I think) that the two bunks only have a short partition between them.

i don’t know about the jumbo, but the 777 has a much longer partition between the two bunks and they are much more private than the ones in the pic.

interesting for long sectors, I would have thought the layout would make the rest less comfortable.

PPRuNeUser0198 20th Oct 2019 20:38

There were some fare paying customers that were originally booked JFK to MEL via LAX and offered the opportunity to transfer to this service.

The other issue that will dilute QF’s hype around these ‘new’ services is that they’ll simply be copied once airlines also get access to the metal. Expect Delta, United, BA etc., to do the same. This won’t be unique to QF. Yield will be diluted and then the economics might not stack up on the basis of fuel and the burn penalty to carry it.

ScepticalOptomist 20th Oct 2019 20:41


Originally Posted by Snakecharma (Post 10599120)
Thanks BNT,

the pics give me the answer. re segregated I thought it meant flight and cabin crew not male/female (if that is what you were alluding to) but I see dragon man means (I think) that the two bunks only have a short partition between them.

i don’t know about the jumbo, but the 777 has a much longer partition between the two bunks and they are much more private than the ones in the pic.

interesting for long sectors, I would have thought the layout would make the rest less comfortable.

The crew rest is fine - not great.

The pictures don’t adequately show the dividing heavy curtain well - the bunks are totally private - the curtain is a very heavy gauge and does what it should.

The only hassle is that there is a shared space with only one seat in it. If you need to change before crawling in to the bed and the other person is sitting in the chair, you are not given much room / privacy to do so.

Of course there are many ways to mitigate the issues, but it is worse than the other fleets rest areas in regards to privacy / toilet access etc.

maggot 20th Oct 2019 22:12


Originally Posted by ScepticalOptomist (Post 10599374)

Of course there are many ways to mitigate the issues, but it is worse than the other fleets rest areas in regards to privacy / toilet access etc.

Compared to the 737?
There's adequate room and privacy on all other longhaul fleets.

ruprecht 20th Oct 2019 22:38


Originally Posted by maggot (Post 10599426)
Compared to the 737?
There's adequate room and privacy on all other longhaul fleets.

Oh, boo-hoo. No-one cares about the 737...

:O

maggot 21st Oct 2019 01:43


Originally Posted by ruprecht (Post 10599442)


Oh, boo-hoo. No-one cares about the 737...

:O

Point being the crew rest is a step backwards. And for a ULR AC....

dragon man 21st Oct 2019 01:50

The proposed 4 man crew complement plus the crew bunks in the 787 are IMO totally inadequate for a 22 hour TOD.


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