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QF and JQ split

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Old 30th May 2018 | 12:01
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QF and JQ split

Any truth to the talk of a split between these two?

Do you think JQ will start flying to LAX and take routes from QF?
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Old 30th May 2018 | 12:18
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From: Dunnunda
I’d say Qantas Group would be looking at what success Scoot has offering east coast to Europe for $678 return (SYD/MEL to Berlin) if it’s successful, they might have no choice but to respond and compete or surrender Europe bound market share. The idea isn’t foreign to the JQ 787 pilots I’ve spoken with. Not sure about LAX, if there’s no other LCC’s on the route I don’t see why there would be the need for JQ to be involved.
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Old 30th May 2018 | 13:05
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Probably more like what Wesfarmers is doing with Coles, spin it off. Jetstar is really now at the scale and level of profitability where it should be demerged and managed as it’s own.

The only thing stopping that is Qantas is not and has never been in what should be the best interests of shareholders. Especially under the current regime, could not give two hoots about its shareholders. They seem to be more interested in incentivizing each other on how well the pissing contest with Virgin goes.
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Old 30th May 2018 | 21:22
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dr dre- I hope they go it alone there is no reason JQ couldn't survive without "big brother", they would most likely be better off and so would the crew..
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Old 30th May 2018 | 22:11
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I hope they go it alone there is no reason JQ couldn't survive without "big brother", they would most likely be better off and so would the crew..
As a total split between the two and them starting to compete with each other? Not a chance. JQ would be toast within weeks without big brother's support.
There are a number of reasons why JQ will not go it alone.
  1. There has never been a tangible reported profit from any (offshore) associate AASB128 entity. All of these entities require substantial capital. 'Big brother' provide that. JQ Asia is consolidated under AASB127 into the JQ segment as Qantas claim control. What is very interesting is the structure of their lease obligations. Funding to cover the operating shortfall comes from Qantas NOT Mr Choo (The alleged majority owner) Without capital would these businesses actually survive is a good question.
  2. JQ is not broken into two operating segments under AASB 8. Management choose to report Qantas this way and despite JQ operating as many aircraft as big brother they refuse the same transparency. Wonder why?
  3. Any organisation undertaking due diligence on a 'purchase' would be extremely interested in 'materiality thresholds'. These thresholds are internally set by executive management. Such detail is not required to be presented in Consolidated Accounts under AASB 10. Any purchaser would investigate this relationship fully to see who pays for what.
JQ was of course being positioned to take over from 'big brother' in fact it is well known that management sought changes to bilateral access in 2011. No doubt conceived by the hardy souls of Consulting groups and IR, the theory of LH Low Cost is a very difficult proposition on longer sector lengths, something Mr Buchanan tried to tell them before being sent packing.

Probably more like what Wesfarmers is doing with Coles, spin it off. Jetstar is really now at the scale and level of profitability where it should be demerged and managed as it’s own.
Nonetheless JQ had and continues to have a role: it ought provide demand stimulus to elastic travelers. Flying some 48% of the ASK of 'big brother' yet only generating 22% of the revenue, we would politely point out is indicative of being over-scale which adversely affects profitability. Reducing its scale is a difficult proposition with the incumbent CEO welded to the 'creation myth' he clings to about JQ.
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Old 30th May 2018 | 23:10
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I'm guessing it's going to happen as I heard some very large figures being thrown about for the work required to split it. Who knows what will be happen.... it will be interesting to see the outcome.
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Old 30th May 2018 | 23:45
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There is NO chance this will happen.

The 2 brands will continue to act in concert as sword and shield. It makes it VERY difficult (especially domestically) for challengers in both the premium and low-cost market segments.

PG
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Old 31st May 2018 | 00:15
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Originally Posted by Popgun
There is NO chance this will happen.
PG
Never is a very long time.

Did you ever think that Virgin would buy Tiger?
What about Alaska buying Virgin America?

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Old 31st May 2018 | 02:29
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I suspect what this thread is discussing and what has actually been discussed are two very different things. What Rated De has mentioned in conjunction with an incoming fleet replacement might lead to more accurate conclusions....and the costs involved....you don’t split a golden nugget unless you’re forced to.
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Old 31st May 2018 | 03:14
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Only when Jetstar executives are paid by Jetstar will I give this rumour any credence.
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Old 31st May 2018 | 03:51
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Originally Posted by crosscutter
I suspect what this thread is discussing and what has actually been discussed are two very different things. What Rated De has mentioned in conjunction with an incoming fleet replacement might lead to more accurate conclusions....and the costs involved....you don’t split a golden nugget unless you’re forced to.
....especially when your international route approvals are all legacy of QF and the real motive for splitting would be to raise capital which would immediately void the route approvals which state .."QF or another wholly owned subsidiary" - until the cascade of variation letters to govt start (as they did with JQ's spreading its wings previously) the current balance sheet arrangements will remain

AT
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Old 31st May 2018 | 04:04
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How about it QF START a new subsidiary called Qantas Domestic(TAA) , a brand new Airline with new staff at different pay rates , direct entry crews , would they need to sell JQ to do this , maybe !
would sure ease the training costs in Qantas as they gradually wind down the 737 ops !
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Old 31st May 2018 | 05:16
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Originally Posted by Rabbitwear
How about it QF START a new subsidiary called Qantas Domestic(TAA) , a brand new Airline with new staff at different pay rates , direct entry crews , would they need to sell JQ to do this , maybe !
would sure ease the training costs in Qantas as they gradually wind down the 737 ops !
Another crap post from a management troll.
Let me see..."different pay rates"..like, pay engineers and pilots less pay in a market where supply is rapidly dwindling?
Winding down 737 ops..oh, that's right, we just got 6 more to fly.
Since when did "creating" a new airline reduce training costs?
Direct entry..from where?? 457 Visas? Of course!!
This isn't Lucerne, the only thing you didn't say was non-unionised labour.
Pfffffttttt.
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Old 31st May 2018 | 05:18
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Could just as readily been planted from Coward street.

With superlatives exhausted, an engineered fight with Canberra airport and a month to run on the FY, a bit of 'froth' for the ASX might help!

How about it QF START a new subsidiary called Qantas Domestic(TAA) , a brand new Airline with new staff at different pay rates , direct entry crews , would they need to sell JQ to do this , maybe !
would sure ease the training costs in Qantas as they gradually wind down the 737 ops !
Qantas had the opportunity to do just that with an embedded 734 operation, a gift from the Australian taxpayer. 734, crewed by the same already costed pilots, a fresh coat of paint and high density interiors, they had the Low Fare Airline almost ready to fly.
Instead what they preferred was an entire greenfield operation, all designed to lever downwards terms and conditions.
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Old 31st May 2018 | 05:23
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From: Wellington
Originally Posted by Rated De
Could just as readily been planted from Coward street.

With superlatives exhausted, an engineered fight with Canberra airport and a month to run on the FY, a bit of 'froth' for the ASX might help!



Qantas had the opportunity to do just that with an embedded 734 operation, a gift from the Australian taxpayer. 734, crewed by the same already costed pilots, a fresh coat of paint and high density interiors, they had the Low Fare Airline almost ready to fly.
Instead what they preferred was an entire greenfield operation, all designed to lever downwards terms and conditions.
They are looking for another "sky is falling" moment for leverage in EBA negotiations..
Yawn.
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Old 31st May 2018 | 06:41
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From: Europe
Originally Posted by Street garbage
They are looking for another "sky is falling" moment for leverage in EBA negotiations..
Yawn.
  • Think 457 Visa
  • Jetconnect in VH registered aircraft
  • Network to operate A320
  • Comfort letters from Unions (sarc is off)
Rather ironic that even with a global pilot shortage and these things happening, most are so myopic they can't see it hidden in plain sight!

Contract season anyone?
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Old 31st May 2018 | 07:20
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Even if the company was trying to manufacture some leverage I'm not sure pilots in general would place any weight on it...in any company. Its simple, people will move to the position that gives that individual the best lifestyle proposition and in times of a pilot shortage, in Qantas at least, that means pilots will spend minimal time on a type they consider inferior. So manufactured crisis or not, it's going to take a genuine downturn for this structural predicament to return to equilibrium. Perhaps, there is a better way? At the moment I'm not sure many people care if the can is kicked down the road. More pay and/or more promotion. It's really simple and the industrial relation teams have their work cut out for themselves.
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Old 3rd June 2018 | 05:48
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From: The land Down Under
QF Group have a lot of B787 options. They are replacing the remaining 747's with 787's frame for frame and then the rest go to JQ for international expansion.
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Old 3rd June 2018 | 06:10
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From: Darwin
Originally Posted by theozguru
QF Group have a lot of B787 options. They are replacing the remaining 747's with 787's frame for frame and then the rest go to JQ for international expansion.
That would make sense to the arseclowns running this outfit. Expand something that has never made a dollar of profit. Bravo.
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Old 3rd June 2018 | 06:50
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From: Europe
Originally Posted by theozguru
QF Group have a lot of B787 options. They are replacing the remaining 747's with 787's frame for frame and then the rest go to JQ for international expansion.

JQ isn't reported as two Operating Segments for a reason. Any guess why?
Qantas management chose to report QF Domestic and QF International as two operating segments as permitted in AASB 8. At the time the narrative of 'terminal decline' was their industrial play. Showing just how 'bad' Qantas International was suited their purpose. JQ International does not make any money and likely is nowhere close to the Quantitative threshold to ever be exposed. It was after all JQ CEO Mr Buchanan who tried to tell the board JQ International was a wreck. He was promptly shown the door.

Mr Joyce has a carefully constructed hero myth, with JQ the centre piece. His ego needs it. To actually expose JQ to further scrutiny adding aircraft is not something they will allow. For an airline flying 48% of the ASK of Qantas, yet only capable of delivering 22% of the revenue, more air frames makes complete sense from an industrial perspective, but is nuts from an economic perspective.

JQ International is luckily hidden in the JQ 'group' segment, quietly being supported from Coward Street. Of course not illegal, but the less scrutiny the better
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