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So you need a new fleet Leigh?

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Old 24th Feb 2019, 11:28
  #821 (permalink)  
 
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So the figures are even better then?? And have been since???

I think we are missing the point.... Alternatively Joyce is a genius...

Great we have a half dozen or so 787’s to take on the world with.

BA:Just at EBA 10 negotiation, poor expression.

Last edited by V-Jet; 24th Feb 2019 at 11:42. Reason: Editing issues... Missing words?? Jumping pages??
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Old 24th Feb 2019, 20:18
  #822 (permalink)  
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To be constantly trying to trash talk Qantas’ business metrics while they are pumping out bumper profit after bumper profit in stark contrast to their only local competitor, makes it look like you don’t understand the business as well as you pretend to.
What is the source of the bumper profit?
How about a little balanced research?
If domestic market dominance is the source of the profit, does it necessarily mean the international business 'transformed'?

What precise metrics changed to deliver the transformation of Qantas International in FY15?
  1. Fuel
  2. Depreciation
These two measures combined in FY15 for the turn-around profit. One was dumb luck the other management and audit timed.
Now as the company witnesses higher fuel expense again as it did, prior to 'transformation' the international business chops $416 million in higher fuel expense.
That the domestic business is market dominant domestically is one thing but the QF International segment is exposed. Wonder why.

We can agree that Qantas need to make profit, but as others have pointed out the profit ought be sustainable. Selling terminals, head office and catering businesses, deferring aircraft expenditures all increase profit, at least in the short term. Paradoxically the legislative requirement also stipulates directors act in the long term interest of the company shareholders.
There is one further point that perhaps is lost. There is profit and there is profit.

A reduction in depreciation of $326 million isn't tangible, it is a book figure. That was the 'benefit' in FY15.
That fuel prices fell in FY15, meant less Operating Cost (fuel) amounting to $597 million.

As Little Napoleon correctly stated:

"Higher oil prices were a significant headwind and we moved quickly to recover as much of the fuel cost as we could," Mr Joyce said."That's easier to achieve in the domestic market than on long international routes where fuel is a much larger factor.
Thus the QF International business is exposed to fuel volatility. Having been lucky in FY15, Little Napoleon has admitted they are still very vulnerable (orders of magnitude) to fuel expense in their international segment.
He also went on to say that he hopes that lower fuel prices will mean they will 'recover' that expense (transform) in 2H19.

Is that strategy or luck?

Last edited by Rated De; 25th Feb 2019 at 10:59.
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Old 1st Mar 2019, 18:14
  #823 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Bad Adventures
‘QF cabin crew have just been given written notice the 744 will be around until 2025’

Sorry, I’m QF cabin crew and I can tell you that’s absolute rubbish. I have the latest message from our Union and I can tell that all 744’s will be retired by end of calender year 2020 with OEB the next to go in April.
Better get new aircraft orders in ASAP! IAG/BA just ordered 18 and further option to 42 B777-9.

Replacing B744 and older 777-200.

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Old 1st Mar 2019, 19:54
  #824 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by cessnapete


Better get new aircraft orders in ASAP! IAG/BA just ordered 18 and further option to 42 B777-9.

Replacing B744 and older 777-200.

Isn't that the point Pete?
Right now the industry takes yet another step further in front and Little Napoleon sits resplendent in his Order of Australia as the highest paid Airline CEO in the hemisphere doing nothing.

Maybe they will commission a super secret team, hidden in the bowels of Fort Fumble to decide on a competition to award naming rights for the aircraft yet to be ordered, financed and delivered, that a previous super secret team decided ought be called Project Sunrise.
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Old 1st Mar 2019, 20:17
  #825 (permalink)  
 
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Elaine has been spruiking to all and sundry that an announcement regarding Chicago will be forthcoming sometime in March. It could go either way. Such a dynamic management. It’s more exciting watching paint dry but then he doesn’t care whilst raking in an obscene remuneration package. I also note that Qantas is trying to market themselves as a green airline by recycling waste whilst operating inefficient 4 engine guzzlers. Not much credibility but then again that won’t change the spin anytime soon. We need a new fleet and a CEO with vision.
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Old 4th Mar 2019, 08:07
  #826 (permalink)  
 
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Green Airline... recycling waste?
Don't make me laugh.
Air EnZed have been doing that for a decade now, showing up other operators, recycling light weight re-usable polymer utensils, plates, newspapers etc... back in 2009 they made 5 Mill profit from it for their whole network! Many other airlines have followed in various ways since the 2000's
QF - Great "step forward" but way overdue and pretty much seems you've been "shamed" into doing it.
No point commenting on the other points above as it's comprehensively covered in many of the replies.
Happy Landings
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Old 4th Mar 2019, 08:07
  #827 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Troo believer
I also note that Qantas is trying to market themselves as a green airline by recycling waste whilst operating inefficient 4 engine guzzlers. Not much credibility but then again that won’t change the spin anytime soon.
Most users of this forum fly hydrocarbon fuelled aircraft. Does that take away credibility from any of their otherwise environmentally-friendly activities?


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Old 4th Mar 2019, 09:17
  #828 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by *Lancer*


Most users of this forum fly hydrocarbon fuelled aircraft. Does that take away credibility from any of their otherwise environmentally-friendly activities?



That is true and aviation contributes around 3% of CO2 emission.
Many readers will be aware IATA industry members agreed to reduce CO2 emisison
  1. Reduce by 1.5% annually from 2009 to 2020.
  2. Carbon neutral from 2020.
  3. Reduction in net total CO2 of 50% by 2050.
Pilots will have seen single engine taxi in, reduced APU and Air Conditioning. Little Napoleon has spun flight planning changes and even different flap approach and departures.
That airline management have nicely 'captured' not the carbon, but the financial benefit is disappointing, after all it is their pilots generating the savings.
There remains an inescapable fact, we can't burn hydrocarbons forever and some airlines do much better than others...

Obviously fleet choices make the biggest impact.
It is pleasing to see Qantas tackle the waste, however the targeted reductions are difficult to achieve when you consume 64% more fuel per RPK on a Pacific crossing than your competitors.

Qantas need a new fleet

Last edited by Rated De; 4th Mar 2019 at 21:19.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 02:39
  #829 (permalink)  
 
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Quite a basic look at it but "Nicholas" is on the right track.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 03:30
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Originally Posted by Chocks Away
Quite a basic look at it but "Nicholas" is on the right track.
I disagree. One of the overwhelming needs from my perspective is more seats SYD-MEL-BNE. It is where most of the "Groups"- I hate that word- profit comes from. Even at 15 minute intervals during peak, most of the B738's on SYD-MEL-BNE are full during this period. Yes, I know business travellers like their frequency- but it is inefficient. It is why the B767 worked so well, every 1/2 hour, occasionally every 1/4 hour on Mondays and Fridays , 250 seats...etc. QF would be much better served with A321 or 797. The early VX series 738 are now 18 years old. Judging on the limited perspective of the number of MEL's, they are starting to get tired. Knowing this lot, they won't order new a/c..they'll just keep buying shares.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 03:47
  #831 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Street garbage
I disagree. One of the overwhelming needs from my perspective is more seats SYD-MEL-BNE. It is where most of the "Groups"- I hate that word- profit comes from. Even at 15 minute intervals during peak, most of the B738's on SYD-MEL-BNE are full during this period. Yes, I know business travellers like their frequency- but it is inefficient. It is why the B767 worked so well, every 1/2 hour, occasionally every 1/4 hour on Mondays and Fridays , 250 seats...etc. QF would be much better served with A321 or 797. The early VX series 738 are now 18 years old. Judging on the limited perspective of the number of MEL's, they are starting to get tired. Knowing this lot, they won't order new a/c..they'll just keep buying shares.
Sources indicate the 767 was "kicked to curb" as it could never be Maintenance On Demand (MOD) and required a LAME to certify every departure, not so for the 737. Therefore removing the 767 required less LAME's onto the future. Happy to be corrected.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 04:01
  #832 (permalink)  
 
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Sick of hearing them talking about International 'struggling' International feeds a lot of domestic traffic into domestic and regional. Back in the days of more reasonable/capable management, this was taken into consideration.
The cry a few years ago that "International had not met its cost of capital since 199x something was utter crap. I have all the Annual Reports, most of which during that period lauded the fact that International continued to carry the business despite poor performance from domestic.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 04:02
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They are a green airline, green with envy at all the other airlines with 777s.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 04:14
  #834 (permalink)  
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One of the overwhelming needs from my perspective is more seats SYD-MEL-BNE. It is where most of the "Groups"- I hate that word- profit comes from. Even at 15 minute intervals during peak, most of the B738's on SYD-MEL-BNE are full during this period. Yes, I know business travellers like their frequency- but it is inefficient. It is why the B767 worked so well, every 1/2 hour, occasionally every 1/4 hour on Mondays and Fridays , 250 seats...etc. QF would be much better served with A321 or 797. The early VX series 738 are now 18 years old. Judging on the limited perspective of the number of MEL's, they are starting to get tired. Knowing this lot, they won't order new a/c..they'll just keep buying shares.
The original order for 788 related to a twin aisle and timely replacement for the 767.
Qantas would have had a twin aisle high capacity aircraft, product differentiation on their competitor and an aircraft that could operate rather like the 767 into those mid range sectors.

For reasons best know to the self anointed ,world's greatest airline management, they preferred to give them all to the low fare and low yield sibling.

With terminals, tarmac and airspace congested it is anything but efficient where it takes more fuel, more flight attendants, double the pilots, double the engines and double the airframes (give or take) to fly the same ASK, into an ever congested terminal environment.
Pilots will be soon coping with increased cross wind limits in Sydney (prior to a runway change) as the system rentiers seek to squeeze every drop of out the profusely sweating and overworked infrastructure.

The inefficiency of the airline is obvious to industry observers who are not members of the Chairman's lounge or otherwise on the speed dial for Olivia's upgrades.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 05:31
  #835 (permalink)  
 
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Alan recently did quote the 787 is too capital intensive for triangle routes. Jetstar do run a lot of 321 flights MEL/SYD.

All eyes will be on Virgin and it’s MAX 10 introduction. Most certainly appears to be a gamble that will pay off. QF has probably missed the boat before Western Sydney opens for any MAX 9/10 order and VA will have about 4 years of the extra capacity before it opens.

Never understood why nobody went for the -900ER. Great workhorse USA Domestic and would be a good fit for Sydney.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 08:16
  #836 (permalink)  
 
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it is anything but efficient where it takes more fuel, more flight attendants
Are you sure about that? What does a 787 burn SYD-MEL? How about a 738?
What is the minimum cabin crew complement for the 787 vs the 738?

I suspect you are wrong on both counts. You could operate 2 738's and burn less fuel per passenger and require the same amount of cabin crew.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 09:14
  #837 (permalink)  
 
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Going on a hypothetical 2 class 787 (similar to an A332) most likely 1 CSM & 8 FAs. Two 738s require 2 CSMs & 8 FAs (BNE/SYD/MEL)
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 09:54
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738 minimum crew complement is 4 crew. 787 is 8 crew. We operate the 738 with 4 cabin crew every day. Certain flights at certain times of day get an extra crew member for meal service requirements.
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Old 5th Mar 2019, 10:50
  #839 (permalink)  
 
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Flying in the back of a 737 is a ****house experience.
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Old 6th Mar 2019, 04:42
  #840 (permalink)  
 
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Maybe it is. But due to the wonders of our capitalistic society, you have a choice..........
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