Yssy Ts

[lambsie]

Virtually every day for a fortnight, SYD has experienced TS, yet the TAF's keep forecasting PROB30 TS. Why not just put TS on the F/C and be done with it? Any MET people out there care to comment?

[Capt Fathom]

Don't forget the TAF only covers 5nm around the airport.
So while many suburbs of Sydney may be copping a hiding, Sydney airport may not.
How many TS's have passed within that 5nm circle around Sydney Airport in the last fortnight..maybe 30%.

[Transition Layer]

Who cares, you still have to carry the holding fuel!

Or maybe you're one of those people who thinks PROB30 means you only need 30% of the fuel ;)

:D

TL

[blueloo]

There's something wrong with Sydney forecasting in general (not so much aviation forecasts) if you have a look at the Aust B.O.M. website for Sydney's daily Metro forecast not only can it change dramatically 3 or 4 times a day - you can watch the Weather radar and realise they have no clue - they can forecast a fine sunny day, and the Wx radar will clearly have a row of cells moving through.....