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Old 4th Jul 2019, 15:10
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A different set of T2X photos care of the MANTP Team - taken in May 2019





















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Old 4th Jul 2019, 15:25
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And, as sure as night follows day. the June photo update follows that of May.....

Part 1
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Old 4th Jul 2019, 15:27
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Part 2

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Old 4th Jul 2019, 15:34
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MANTP Update #97 courtesy of the MANTP Team

Part 1

























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Old 4th Jul 2019, 15:46
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Update #97

Part 2















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Old 4th Jul 2019, 18:35
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Manchester Statistics - May 2019

Introduction
Back in September 2015 I decided that I should start to correlate statistics for Manchester and use 2005 as a reference point for historical data. My file now consists of 14 years of monthly figures and 486 destinations that have been served from Manchester over that period.

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.
No new destinations were served in May 2019.

Million passenger routes (Rolling annual figures)
Amsterdam - 1,048,038 passengers

The following domestic statistics are missing from the CAA report for May.
Neither Belfast City nor Belfast International and Exeter have reported for this month
In May 2018 these accounted for 63,527 passengers.

Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics/MAG statistics
Monthly passengers - 2,644,546 +5.78%
Annual Total - 10,694,668
Moving Annual Total - 28,982,780 +3.83%
Monthly Movements - 18,609 +1.42%
Annual Movements - 77.188
Moving Annual Movements - 202,372 +0.22%

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers


Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase


Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic


Comparison of top 25 destinations - May 2009 versus May 2019


Major changes to Domestic traffic


CAA statistics for May are provisional.

As a separate item I have now started to analyse May's statistics to obtain load factors on certain routes
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Old 4th Jul 2019, 18:57
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Great work Scottie Dog. Some interesting analysis here. Some of the American routes seem to be doing well in May accept for Boston for some reason.

Some low load factors for a number of airlines though. Is May sometimes a slow month for routes heading East?

Eithopian is a little low but I think this route needs more time to bed in.

Is the MAN - BGW catering for oil & gas workers with high fares or is it catering for local Iraqis & Kurds visiting home? I remember Libyan Airlines running a similar service not to long ago.

Hainan seems to be fairing quite well with other airlines heading East in May.
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Old 4th Jul 2019, 19:51
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Ethiopian is a difficult one as we are the second city after Brussels which is well established so I guess we get what Brussels can`t fill or at least not the major share
Iraqi carries a lot of security people or advisors who seem to have bottomless pockets as fares are HIGH
Chinese operators don`t work like the rest of the world so who knows if they are happy but as it looks as if the second route is going to happen with another airline they probably are
Boston started later this year so we will have to wait until June figures are out
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Old 4th Jul 2019, 20:51
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A couple of observations - already partially covered by chaps1954. According to the ACL Start of Season report for S19 Ethiopian have 135 seats per flight from Manchester. This equates to approximately 30% of the aircraft capacity and so if this is correct then the Manchester loads are within an acceptable level.

Singapore Airlines is a harder one to ascertain as the aircraft operates as a through service from Singapore to Houston. Again according to the ACL report the number of seats available from Manchester to Houston is 194 against the aircraft capacity of 253. On this basis Manchester should be looking for a load-factor of approximately 74% of the full aircraft configuration to be operating at 100%.

In both cases I have used the total aircraft capacity for my calculations.

The load-factor calculations of mine are still in their infancy as I am finding, for an example that both Air Transat and Thomas Cook don't stick to a single flight number on a route, but have multiple numbers. I'm doing a daily search of the FR24 database to find anything that I've missed - in the same way that Emirates have various configurations on their A380 and therefore, to be truly accurate, I need to check exactly which aircraft is being used in each flight.

I hope that helps a little.
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Old 4th Jul 2019, 23:27
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Do we need to have all of these photo updates of MANTP? Takes ages to get past these posts.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 06:15
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Yes I would not be happy to lose these as I personally find them very interesting.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 06:27
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Scroll past them then, Sinbad. For ex-pats like me it's great to see how the face of the airport is changing. Thanks to Scottie Dog for taking the time to upload them.

Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 07:23
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I've just 'tweaked' the figures for Ethiopian Airlines, which routes via Brussels, and Singapore Airlines to reflect the actual number of seats that I understand are offered on their routes, as against the aircraft capacity which I had used in my chart.

On this basis we get the following:

Ethiopian Airlines - 57.88% (assuming Manchester is limited to 135 seats - available seats varies between 270-315 dependant on aircraft type)
Singapore Airlines - Houston - 63.33%(assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)
Singapore Airlines - Singapore - 74.62% (assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)

You also have to remember that freight can make a big difference as to how viable a route can be and, I am led to believe that Manchester almost fills the Ethiopian aircraft on each operation.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 07:45
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The Boston route only resumed late May and the number of seats I believe reflects 6 sectors (3 return trips). If pax on the route are primarily MAN originating, it's likely the early return sectors would be very lightly loaded. However, I'm surprised that doesn't appear to have applied to LAX which has a high LF. Is that 5 sectors from VS Scottie? When did TCX resume the route?

SFO with TCX also has a high LF, and personally I was surprised VS dropped that route, leaving it to TCX, while TCX dropped BOS for VS to be the sole operator. I would have thought VS could have benefitted through Virgin Holidays / Fly-Drives of flying into one airport and out from the other but no doubt there were good reasons for what happened.

Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 09:12
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You would think someone could satisfy the demand for LGW. A figure of 27000 should support a double daily 6 days a week?

PS The "demand" comes from me - I would use that route over my current options of train via Euston or BA to LHR and bus..........
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 10:25
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Originally Posted by MANFOD View Post
SFO with TCX also has a high LF, and personally I was surprised VS dropped that route, leaving it to TCX, while TCX dropped BOS for VS to be the sole operator. I would have thought VS could have benefitted through Virgin Holidays / Fly-Drives of flying into one airport and out from the other but no doubt there were good reasons for what happened.

Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
I wonder if the yield is weak, even with good numbers? Its also worth bearing in mind that last summer was incredibly competitive into the bay area from London. BA were flying LGW-OAK, LHR-SJC in addition to a daily A380 and 747 on LHR-SFO. Norwegian also offered SFO and OAK, so it was a competitive market. I realise London and Manchester aren't the same cities, but The Bay Area was particularly fierce.

Last edited by brian_dromey; 5th Jul 2019 at 11:20.
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 20:46
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Premiere handling gone bust??
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Old 5th Jul 2019, 20:53
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Originally Posted by tomahawk98 View Post
Premiere handling gone bust??
apparently so. Have a flight out tomorrow with them, and handling has been refused.
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Old 6th Jul 2019, 07:09
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Originally Posted by ETOPS View Post
You would think someone could satisfy the demand for LGW. A figure of 27000 should support a double daily 6 days a week?

PS The "demand" comes from me - I would use that route over my current options of train via Euston or BA to LHR and bus..........
Maybe a point 2 point service without any onwards connections would work well. I'm not sure either airport would be keen on a hub airline connecting traffic because of leakage. Can't see it happening though. Route has been dead for to long. Didn't we used to have a point 2 point Stansted service as well?
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Old 6th Jul 2019, 08:40
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Originally Posted by Manchester Exile View Post
Scroll past them then, Sinbad. For ex-pats like me it's great to see how the face of the airport is changing. Thanks to Scottie Dog for taking the time to upload them.

Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
Agree with above. A lot of effort, brand new content and easy to bypass
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