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MAG buy STN

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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 12:26
  #81 (permalink)  
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which raises the question of why the users of an airport in Essex should be topping up the coffers of councils in Greater Manchester.
What odds does it make to the users of STN as to who owns the airport? Provided they reinvest sufficiently into infrastructure and improve service does it matter where the owners are based?

As the shareholders have voted in favour, there must be a convincing reason put forward for making the purchase. We may have to wait until the annual report is released in August to get a better insight into their decision.

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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 13:10
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The question is very simple: why do the council tax payers of Manchester want to own an airport in Essex?
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 13:33
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The question is very simple: why do the council tax payers of Manchester want to own an airport in Essex?
The answer is very simple, profit

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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 13:43
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The point is that the council tax payers in Manchester have not voiced an opinion. It is the faceless bureaucrats and their political masters that have made the decision by the power they believe has been vested in them by Manchester's electorate.
I would venture to suggest that no elector in Greater Manchester cast his or her vote on the basis that their council was about to commit £1.5bn to buying an airport 200 miles from home.
The post facto rationale will be that the transaction will benefit the taxpayers through increased dividends, and therefore better services/lower council tax. As I have argued above, this is an optimistic view of the eventual outcome - and I hope that Manchester's taxpayers don't suffer a loss if their new acquisition doesn't work out in the way they hope it does.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 13:49
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The answer is very simple, profit
But it's not pug. The airport has a history of damaging acquisitions that have ultimately distracted management.

From memory, the dividends received by the councils over the years have been very low from an asset of this worth. The focus should be on increasing dividends not spending time raising external funding from equity and bank funders for an acquisition that has been competitively priced (i.e. it's not an offmarket, low price deal).
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 13:57
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From memory, the dividends received by the councils over the years have been very low from an asset of this worth. The focus should be on increasing dividends not spending time raising external funding from equity and bank funders for an acquisition that has been competitively priced (i.e. it's not an offmarket, low price deal).
I cannot imagine them achieving shareholder support where there to be an increased risk of reduced dividends. Whether the population of Greater Manchester supports the acquisition or not is irrelevant IMO for as long as they are not subsidising MAG, but where MAG are effectively reducing council tax/subsidising other capital projects in the Manchester area.

As for the strategic standpoint, I've no idea how it will play out. Surely the increase in competition in the South East will be good for the London passenger? The bargaining power may help bring more airlines and routes into Manchester eventually. Who knows?
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 14:02
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Originally Posted by pug
The answer is very simple, profit
And yet there seems some doubt as to exactly how much profit will be made……

Perhaps I didn’t make my point about STN users funding Manchester councils very well. Let me put it another way. Why should local authorities in Manchester, rather than local authorities in Essex, be allowed to profit from running STN?

Call me old fashioned, but I expect local authorities to be responsible for things like running libraries, cutting the grass in public parks, providing sports centres etc. Activities specific to and adding value to their own governmental area. I can just about accept that their remit, since it includes transport, could extend to a local airport, but becoming a significant investor in a major business with interests in several other parts of the country? It doesn’t seem appropriate to me.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 14:24
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I cannot imagine them achieving shareholder support where there to be an increased risk of reduced dividends. Whether the population of Greater Manchester supports the acquisition or not is irrelevant IMO for as long as they are not subsidising MAG, but where MAG are effectively reducing council tax/subsidising other capital projects in the Manchester area.
You're completely missing the point. It's like saying I've got a £1bn but I only get a 1% return. The councils should maximise the value of their dividends and drive the current financial performance of this asset BEFORE letting management embark on another acquisition.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 15:30
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FANS, I think you are missing my point. That being you dont know the details behind the acquisition therefore, even though you can pluck out soundbites like 'increase dividends' and 'drive current financial performance', doesnt really answer any of your own, or anyone elses questions at the minute.

Due dilligence will have been practiced, and shareholders consulted. We have to therefore put faith in the fact that MAG know what they are doing before taking such a risk.

And yet there seems some doubt as to exactly how much profit will be made……
From where, from hard analysis of facts or from opinions of people on a forum? I think a bit of perspective is needed here.

As for the rest of your post. I agree in essence, however surely there is nothing wrong with a consortium of local authorities increasing revenue streams to keep the park benches maintained and the streets lit, whilst trying to keep council tax low for their population.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 15:53
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That being you dont know the details behind the acquisition therefore, even though you can pluck out soundbites like 'increase dividends' and 'drive current financial performance', doesnt really answer any of your own, or anyone elses questions at the minute
Pug, you're the one telling me it's been done because of profit and yet you don't "know the details behind the acquisition" !!

Yet again: why do the council tax payers of Manchester want to own an airport in Essex?


Due dilligence will have been practiced, and shareholders consulted. We have to therefore put faith in the fact that MAG know what they are doing before taking such a risk.
Is this the same MAG that paid £17m for Humberside then sold it for £2.3m. They should not be allowed near acquisitions until the current house is producing meaningful returns to local councils & taxpayers.

MAG sells its majority stake in Humberside Airport - Manchester Evening News
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 16:06
  #91 (permalink)  
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Pug, you're the one telling me it's been done because of profit and yet you don't "know the details behind the acquisition"
You asked a 'simple question' I gave a simple answer. Afterall, why do businesses exist?

Is this the same MAG that paid £17m for Humberside then sold it for £2.3m. They should not be allowed near acquisitions until the current house is producing meaningful returns to local councils & taxpayers.
I'd say a pretty shrewd move for all concerned. Clearly a small airport with limited scope is not going to generate a sufficient return for the public sector shareholders. Those same shareholders voted in favour of the sale of Humberside Airport at that price. You can speculate all you want about why Manchester Airport bought Humberside back in 1999, but they subsequently got their second runway, and HUY was in profit for most of the 2000's..
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 16:38
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On a slightly different topic, a slight rumour that Monarch and Jet2 will be MAG's first targets for opening a base at Stansted. Personally if I had to choose I think it would be Jet2. If Monarch were to open a base, I wonder what that would mean for Gatwick and Luton??

Manchester Airports Group buys London Stansted Airport
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 19:16
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The same article contains this interesting chart on the largest users at each MAG airport:

Manchester: 1,Ryanair. 2,easyJet. 3,Flybe. 4, Thomson. 5,Monarch.
London Stansted: 1, Ryanair. 2, easyJet. 3, Germanwings. 4, Pegasus 5, Thomson
East Midlands: 1, Ryanair. 2, Flybe. 3, Jet2.com. 4, Thomson. 5, Thomas Cook.
Bournemouth: 1, Ryanair. 2, Thomson. 3, Aer Arann.

They make the point that Ryanair is the largest client of the group, but also state that FR have 78% of the market capacity at STN (only 14% at MAN) - even more than has been quoted elsewhere.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 19:39
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FR have 78% of the market capacity at STN
Ryanair accounted for 68% of capacity at Stansted the last I heard, with EasyJet as 21%, making it 89% combined. Is that a typo?

Last edited by FRatSTN; 23rd Jan 2013 at 19:42.
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 20:04
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a pretty shrewd move for all concerned
Buying a business for £17m and then selling for £2m is not my idea of a shrewd move. Then again, my company can't just fall back on the taxpayer to pick up the tab.

Please tell me that you're not connected to MAG?
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Old 23rd Jan 2013, 20:09
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They should not be allowed near acquisitions until the current house is producing meaningful returns to local councils & taxpayers.
the dividends received by the councils over the years have been very low from an asset of this worth
Last year = £20million in dividend payout: £1 million each for 9 councils and £11 million for Manchester Council. £65.5 million profit - not too bad a return?

Why should local authorities in Manchester, rather than local authorities in Essex, be allowed to profit from running STN?
There was nothing stopping the local authorities in Essex from bidding in association with other investors. Perhaps this question needs to be asked to the various Essex councils?

Last edited by Ringwayman; 23rd Jan 2013 at 20:10. Reason: adding further quote
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Old 24th Jan 2013, 05:18
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Last year = £20million in dividend payout: £1 million each for 9 councils and £11 million for Manchester Council. £65.5 million profit - not too bad a return?
Luton council rents out its airport on a 30 year concession to a private operator. Last year the council received just under £25 million in fees based on less than 10 million passengers. The operating profit was £23.8 million.

Last edited by LTNman; 24th Jan 2013 at 05:23.
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Old 24th Jan 2013, 08:21
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Last year = £20million in dividend payout: £1 million each for 9 councils and £11 million for Manchester Council. £65.5 million profit - not too bad a return
?


I do think that is a very very low return for an asset of this size and type. As one example only, if the shareholders are getting £20m and they should be aiming for at least a basic 5% return on this type of asset (and really a lot higher), this implies that the equity is only worth £400m. It is worth a damsight more, but is simply not delivering appropriate shareholder returns.

The councils' overriding focus should be on maximising what they have rather than being sucked into management's agenda.

Again, why do the council tax payers of Manchester want to own an airport in Essex?
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Old 24th Jan 2013, 09:22
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Again, why do the council tax payers of Manchester want to own an airport in Essex?
As an Essex dweller I can't understand your question. Why shouldn't Manchester taxpayers own an airport in Essex? Why do all our airports have to be owned by Spaniards and Canadians ...? Do you have a problem with public ownership? Most of our airports started as council-run organisations.
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Old 24th Jan 2013, 09:28
  #100 (permalink)  
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Please tell me that you're not connected to MAG?
No Im not.

Buying a business for £17m and then selling for £2m is not my idea of a shrewd move. Then again, my company can't just fall back on the taxpayer to pick up the tab.
They didn't buy the airport for £17m. They sold the airport for the £2.3m with the £6.6m pension deficit being taken on by ERYC, with the debts having been serviced and the airport having returned a profit for much of the time under their ownership. Unfortunately, with DSA having opened not far away, the lost revenue from leisure passengers has meant the airport is now operating at a (small) loss. The local authorities of Manchester have no interest in owning a majority stake in a loss making operation. They voted in favour of a sale at that price, to Eastern Airways who arguably also got an excellent deal. Must be remembered that Manchester got their second runway....

Anyway, will leave you to keep asking your hypothetical questions.
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