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Ryanair - In the money

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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 07:25
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Ryanair - In the money

Ryanair 2nd-Quarter Net Rises 15% on New-Route Sales (Update4)
Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Ryanair Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest low-cost airline, said second-quarter profit increased 15 percent as the carrier added new routes and fares fell less than expected.

Net income rose to 147.6 million euros ($188.1 million), or 19.3 cents a share, for the three months ended Sept. 30, from 128.4 million euros, or 16.8 cents, a year earlier, Dublin-based Ryanair said. Revenue gained 19 percent to 418.3 million euros.

Ryanair added routes including London Stansted to Brindisi, Italy, and cut fares to counter competition from British Airways Plc and new low-cost carriers such as Barcelona-based Vueling Airlines SA. Chief Executive Michael O'Leary is cutting costs and adding revenue from hotel rentals and other services to counter an increase in oil prices.

``Given the state of the industry, these are a creditable set of numbers,'' said Hilary Cook, director of investment strategy at Barclays Private Clients in London, which manages the equivalent of $45 billion and doesn't own Ryanair shares. ``It's a bumpy ride for shareholders. O'Leary is choosing to gain market share over near- term profit, but this could be Europe's largest airline in a few years.''

Ryanair's net income beat the 138 million-euro profit forecast of a Bloomberg News survey of six analysts. The airline has a fleet of 78 aircraft, with firm orders for 96 new Boeing Co. 737-800s to be delivered over the next five years.

Shares of Ryanair have fallen 39 percent this year compared with a 16 percent decline in the Bloomberg Europe Airlines Index. Of 20 analysts covering Ryanair, six rate the shares as a ``buy,'' 12 as a ``hold,'' and two as a ``sell.''

Falling Fares

Yields, or average fares, will fall less than expected in the second half as they did in the first half, O'Leary said in an interview.

``We expect minus 5 to minus 10 percent so we aren't changing our guidance for full year,'' said O'Leary.

At the start of the year, he expected declines of as much as 20 percent in average fares. He said that he expects the airline to grow 20 percent next year and that the airline would still be profitable if oil soared to $70 a barrel.

The airline's fuel bill rose 42 percent to 61.9 million euros. Jet fuel has surged 71 percent this year. Crude oil averaged $43.77 a barrel in the airline's second quarter, 45 percent higher than the year-earlier period.

Ryanair's hedging, which allows company's to cover the risk of cost increases with futures contracts, expired last month, leaving the company exposed to fluctuations in prices. O'Leary said he won't put in place new hedging arrangements until oil prices ``return towards their previous normal levels.''

`More Upbeat'

``Ryanair has been more upbeat than the market was expecting,'' said Joe Gill an airlines analyst at Goodbody stockbrokers in Dublin, who has a ``buy'' recommendation in the stock. ``The business is continuing to grow and to do so profitably, despite fuel prices, because they have such a low cost base.''

Yields, or average fares, slipped 5 percent in the six months through September, according to Ryanair. That's at the lower end of the 5 to 10 percent range forecast by the airline.

``We attribute this to a combination of slightly better peak summer yields and the initial impact of the multiple fuel surcharges imposed by many of our competitors which has increased the price differential,'' said O'Leary in a statement.

Ryanair flew 20 percent more passengers in the three months ended in September than a year earlier. The carrier filled 90 percent of its available seats during the period, an increase of 3 percentage points from a year earlier.

Ancillary revenue, or sales of products such insurance and hotel rooms gained 43 percent, outstripping flight sales, which advanced 16 percent. Ancillary revenue made up 14 percent of total sales in the quarter compared with 12 percent a year earlier.

The airline, which operates 189 routes out of 11 European bases, sells return tickets from London Stansted to Berlin Schoenefeld in November for as little as 60.20 pounds ($110).



To contact the reporter on this story:
Rebecca Barr at [email protected].

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Dan Stets at [email protected].
Last Updated: November 2, 2004 02:57 EST
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 09:19
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Thanks Mick for giving a heads up re your shares...
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 10:20
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What price does everybody pay who works there? The financial performance is respectfully good but the treatment of the humans who work there is .....

NG
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 12:06
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The Independent was talking about a Ryanair hostile takeover of easyjet a couple of days ago. Anybody heard any more? I know their response out of Dublin was "when hell freezes over" earlier in October when they were rumoured to be buying a stake.

Last edited by Rocco in Budapest; 2nd Nov 2004 at 13:10.
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 13:33
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Devil What is missing

Ryanair's accounts do not show the money owning to BAA or in escrow for Walloon authorities.

BAA said in there H1 report that ryanair have not paid £7million due to dispute. Ryanair also owe Walloon authorities 4 million euros unless they get the courts to over rule EU laws.
This means the accounts are out by up to 14,000,000 euros that we know about. What other disputed moneys have been assumed not to matter in the accounts.

The accounts seem to be produced on a best case outcome basis. For normal firms I often see provisions for such unknown outcomes that are then released if they win a case.
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 15:35
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I presume that when he says that he is "cutting costs" he is referring to your terms and conditions; i.e. you get stuffed for the bottom line.
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 16:36
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I sometimes wonder just how much money from our Pension Funds is invested in Ryanair ...... a lot more than we think, I suspect!
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 17:30
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"Given the state of the industry, these are a creditable set of numbers,'' said Hilary Cook, director of investment strategy at Barclays Private Clients in London, which manages the equivalent of $45 billion and doesn't own Ryanair shares"

Says a lot. In the city, one well known low cost mogul is known by some as Michael O Liar his pants are on Fire!
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 18:49
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repa update

delighted to announce now of a good and growing membership on www.repaweb.org website.keep up the good work!very heartening contributions in the forums also.SPREAD THE WORD AND HAVE YOUR SAY.
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Old 2nd Nov 2004, 19:41
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Ye Gods and Little Fishes...

Some of you sound just like the people who work in my business. No matter how good the news you want to bitch and moan.

When the company is in trouble you whinge, during recovery, you moan and when the news is good, you bitch.

This is life in 2004....everywhere. Nobody has security, nobody can expect a job for life. You deserve nothing more than your salary for the job you do. If you don't like it... leave

If, on the other hand, you think you can do better then get together, put your houses on the line and start your own airline.
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Old 3rd Nov 2004, 11:37
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When the company is in trouble you whinge, during recovery, you moan and when the news is good, you bitch.
Probably because it makes little odds to the staff at FR - or any other airline these days for that matter - whatever the profit loss equation, the end result will still be regular doses of shafting and intimidation.

This is life in 2004....everywhere. Nobody has security, nobody can expect a job for life. You deserve nothing more than your salary for the job you do. If you don't like it... leave
Well leaving isn't always an option. I don't know what business you are involved in but flying isn't like working down the corner shop, you don't often have much choice if you want to live in your chosen country and have a family life. Its a case of choosing the Devil or the Deep Blue Sea.

Anyhow there's a much better solution - as the FR guys have realised - stand your ground, form a union and defend your common interests.
Without one these days you're hole open to abuse.

I can only surmise that with an attitude such as yours you must either be an exploitative boss or a very desperate employee in need of a job.

Incidentally, while we might no longer be able to expect 'a job for life' the flip side of that coin is that our employers need no longer expect "lifelong loyalty".
Its every man for himself, as you just pointed out.

Que sera sera.

Last edited by maxalt; 3rd Nov 2004 at 12:43.
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Old 3rd Nov 2004, 14:03
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Meanwhile back to the thread

I see that the October figures show an additional 400,000 passengers over last year.
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Old 3rd Nov 2004, 19:08
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And a reduction in the profit/ turnover figure so I wouldn't call it great news. As the Daily Telegraph said, don't bother to buy shares.
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Old 3rd Nov 2004, 20:26
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see you there

good news on the web.login to check it out at www.repaweb.org.
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Old 4th Nov 2004, 10:44
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Does this mean we can now have the crew water, tea and coffee back Michael ?!

Oh, and hotel for sim, travel expenses per diem claims etc etc.......

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Old 4th Nov 2004, 13:32
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no.but you can have a little dignity back.

sign up and see the latest.it\'s www.repaweb.org.the best of low fares websites!

www.repaweb.org oops!
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