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Old 15th Feb 2004, 18:43
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Air Iraq?

US developing plan for Iraqi airline
Restoring service under new carrier focus of proposal

By Stephen J. Glain and Ross Kerber, Globe Staff, 2/14/2004

WASHINGTON -- US officials in Iraq are developing a plan to restart Iraq's aviation sector that calls for a new national airline to replace the existing carrier, restore US-Iraq passenger service by April, and put together an international funding package led in part by Washington.

The US plan was developed by New York-based SH&E International Air Transport Consultancy and unveiled in a presentation at a meeting of investors in December. It recommends Iraq's new airline be part of a regional group of carriers that could include Royal Jordanian, Lebanon's Middle East Airlines, and Syrian Air, and identifies Atlanta-based Delta Air Lines Inc. as a possible international partner. ''The future is bright, and you're all invited to participate,'' Graham Henderson, director of SH&E's Washington office, told investors and aviation specialists at the Middle East Aviation Finance Conference in Dubai, according to a PowerPoint copy of the slide show.

Privatization has been a sensitive issue in postwar Iraq, which under former dictator Saddam Hussein was a command economy bloated with inefficient and overemployed state-owned enterprises. Initial attempts by coalition officials to aggressively sell public companies was resisted by some Iraqi ministries fearful that such a plan would worsen the country's debilitating jobless rate.

Henderson spoke alongside Frank Willis, who at the time was advising Iraq's transportation ministry as an official with the Coalition Provisional Authority, or CPA, the US-led administration in postwar Iraq. Willis said he anticipated the liquidation of Iraqi Airways, the nation's air carrier, in favor of a new airline. Iraqi Airways has been effectively grounded since Hussein's invasion of Kuwait in 1990 and the United Nations embargo that followed. The airline has been saddled with lawsuits filed by Kuwait in the value of some $1.5 billion, Willis said, which all but precludes the possibility of jump-starting the airline.

The SH&E study suggested any new Iraqi Airline should procure its fleet from a single manufacturer. Iraqi Airways' fleet was either scattered to neighboring countries on the eve of the 1991 Gulf War or destroyed during Operation Iraqi Freedom. Its last order for new aircraft, logged prior to the invasion of Kuwait, was for five Airbus jets. Airbus kept the order -- its first from Iraq's flag carrier -- on its books, presumably as leverage against the day the airline was able to shop for new aircraft. Airbus is owned by EADS, a European consortium controlled by aerospace giants from Germany and France, which opposed the US war on Iraq and have been blocked from participating in major reconstruction deals. David Venz, a spokesman for Airbus Industrie of North America Inc., in Virginia, said the company hasn't been told of any plans for a new airline.

Mark Baughman, a Boeing spokesman, said he was aware the company has had preliminary negotiations for sales to Iraq's postwar aviation sector, but he did not know at what level the discussions were being held. Most aviation analysts say the new Iraqi carrier would probably lease, rather than buy, its fleet given the industry's slowdown and the large supply of used aircraft on the market. Richard L. Aboulafia, an aviation industry consultant at Teal Group Corp. in Virginia, estimated it would cost several hundred million dollars for a new airline to get started with used planes and up to $6 billion to match Iraqi Airways' pre-1990 peak.

Willis, who has since left the CPA and could not be reached for comment, said the outlook for Iraq's air industry was bright, despite the country's precarious security situation. He said Iraq's transport ministry and Interim Governing Council had already authorized a code-share deal between Delta and Royal Jordanian to provide air-mail service to Iraq and is targeting April 1 for direct flights from Baghdad to Detroit.

Donor agencies, such as the United States Agency for International Development and the World Bank, will help finance Iraq's new aviation sector, according to the presentation. A World Bank official said yesterday the bank has not been asked, officially or otherwise, by US or Iraqi authorities for help, ''but if we're asked specifically to work on something like this, we'd be happy to get involved.'' The presentation also cited ''excellent investment opportunities in the noncore airline-related activities'' in Iraq's aviation industry. Bechtel Inc., which the US government hired to manage postwar Iraqi reconstruction, is already heavily involved in rebuilding Iraq's air-transport infrastructure.

It is unclear how much influence Iraq's transport officials have had on the coalition's plans for the country's aviation industry. Webster O'Brien, an SH&E spokesman, said Henderson's study was done largely in-house, using public data relating to Middle East air traffic. A press release issued by SH&E in December said the revival of Iraq's aviation sector was clouded by the ''evolving'' relationship between the CPA and Iraq's Civil Aviation Authority.

Stephen J. Glain can be reached at [email protected]; Ross Kerber at [email protected].


This story ran on page B7 of the Boston Globe on 2/14/2004.
© Copyright 2003 Globe Newspaper Company.
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 02:56
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quote :
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The SH&E study suggested any new Iraqi Airline should procure its fleet from a single manufacturer
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let me guess....
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 04:13
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and a country west of Iraq will get the contract to equip the aircraft with counter measures...
 
Old 16th Feb 2004, 06:24
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...and the French put pay to any chance of an airbus bid!

So - Shorts 330's it is then.

B-L
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 07:44
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is targeting April 1 for direct flights from Baghdad to Detroit.
Ah yes, Detroit, that well known US gateway to The Gulf......
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 09:15
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Ah yes, Detroit, that well known US gateway to The Gulf......
Actually, there is a huge Iraqi community in Detroit -- the largest in the US.
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 15:03
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More dreaming...

Given the state of things in Iraq, I wouldn't get too excited about this one. Just supposing you get down in one piece - quite possible, the rat run from BIAP to Baghdad itself would not be fun.

T/O would be a different ball game...

BTW, who would insure a pax flight into BIAP?

mini
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Old 16th Feb 2004, 18:50
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...is targeting April 1 for direct flights from Baghdad to Detroit.
Yes, and the Brooklyn Bridge is for sale.
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Old 17th Feb 2004, 03:23
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If the security situation improves, this is a goer.

Iraq will be full of foreign 'aid' workers, reconstruction companies, infrastructure providers, oil companies from now on, and they'll all need an air service. If a US airline doesn't offer one, an Iraqi company will be formed and make someone a fast buck.

After all, it's an all-business route, cos Baghdad won't be attracting tourists in great numbers just yet.

Anyone fancy a challenge.........?
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Old 17th Feb 2004, 04:56
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Actually it would work if properly managed.
Let's take a look on resurrection of Ariana Afghan Airlines. Main driving force - the big demand from western and Gulf people to get into Afghnistan (a lot of business there nowadays) and very limited offer (as far as I know there are only two carriers offering scheduled services to Kabul: Ariana and Azerbajan Airlines). Rates are very resonable to travel on Ariana, but 2 big problems:

1. SCHEDULE. Frankfurt, Moscow and Istanbul just weekly and Dubai is something like 3x week. Very hard to build proper connection.

2. TICKET PURCHASE. It is still impossible to purschase Ariana ticket from travel agency. You should order it and either get it by mail or to purschse it from from their reps. It is really huge problem, especially if you are not originating ex FRA/MOW/IST/DUB or don't have some 2 weeks to sort it out.

And still the planes are full (flown few times). Avoid this mistakes and you will get a reasonably well running airline.
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Old 17th Feb 2004, 12:36
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ref. Ariana: for the Frankfurt route, you will need to change aircraft in Istanbul coz Ariana's A-300 are not permitted to land at Frankfurt for safety reasons
 
Old 18th Feb 2004, 08:05
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RASTAMIKE

something has changed? I've personally flown as pax on Ariana A300 ex FRA in 2003
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Old 18th Feb 2004, 21:51
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Spotted something in the Herald Trib front page en route through LHR this am that there was a stitchup going on in Iraq on this subject. Haven't time to check website but maybe someone else can?
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Old 19th Feb 2004, 16:05
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Couldn't find anything on the IHT site, probably didn't search properly...

I really think this is a non runner

If the security situation improves, this is a goer.
Don't hold your breath...

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