Turningfinal, yes you are correct, I think it is 15 ER's going. The big threat is as GTC mentions: CX has too many slots at CLK, and the government is under heavy political pressure from well connected mainland investors to strip some away and give them to HKA. An editorial in the Standard last week alluded to that very thing happening. I believe this is yet more evidence to support the theory that the Swires see the writing on the wall and are trying to sell off CX, hence the headlong rush to cut costs at the expense of actually running an airline. For the pilots it doesn't matter. Start planning your exit, as there will not be a career worth having here going forwards. Further, all your colleagues are making those same arrangements, so don't get trampled in the rush. Time to pull the ejection handle.