As long as I have read forecasts I noticed their resemblance to actuality is somewhat varied, hence 'contingency'. Generally farmers and pilots are good at identifying weather, their livelihoods and lives literally are dependent upon it.
For certain management types to profit from and actively encourage reduction in discretionary fuel ordering on the insistence of their corporate overlords is a Prima Facie conflict of interest. It ought be disclosed.
Have never seen a desk (you know the vacant ones at Waterside on a weekend?) run out of fuel.