There are too many unhappy pilots in the Sandpit and Honkers to fill jets for a number of years to come in this country.
Rex will be fine as long as captains don’t start walking faster than they are hiring cadets. Issue for Rex is they are seeing now Saab Captains taking on 777 jobs in Dubai when requirements were dropped recently. Large pay and lifestyle change which will sway many.
The issue at hand that I see now is nobody is learning to fly the ‘traditional way’. Flying clubs are going broke and are closing down all over the place. My local had sold two aircraft and made an instructor redundant in order to avoid bankruptcy. Having a look at the online booking system the whole week is bare expect a few weekend bookings. 10 years back I had to book in a month ahead to secure a 172 on a Sunday arvo.
Any shortages now I would be blaming dysfunctional management and HR bodies making pilots run from the joint. Happening more often than none.