... the answers will be in the CAA data when it comes. I was surprised that even with the reduced weight loading and bargain prices, the first outbound 'New York' Newburgh didnt go out full to the rafters. Early in the season yet and seems its the inbound ones with full/fuller forward bookings which might be expected as most punters this side of the Atlantic wont have a clue. Advertising seems to have dropped off a bit too.
In light of this and economic /political issues for mainline carriers I think small drops would not be unreasonable in the circumstances.