Originally Posted by
Tuner 2
An interesting discussion for sure. The pilot market might be "global", but just as is true with the Aussie real estate market, there are markets within markets.
Eg, Sydney and Melbourne house markets are every differen to regional WA, which is also different to the Gold Coast market. By analogy, the world pilot market isn't one homogeneous blob that plays out identically in Asia or the USA to places like Australia. That seems to be the main point being made - along with pointing out that various options may be available to airlines/governments to limit the local effect of any shortage and that pilots relying on an Aussie pilot shortage might be relying on something that isn't so reliable? Maybe the imminent Aussie pilot shortage story that's been around forever won't be the answer to whatever problems we all have? Thought provoking anyway.
Even if Middel East and Chinese carriers offered even more, plenty of Aussie pilots would still not be the tempted.
At this stage the Qantas Recruitment thread on pprune suggests plenty of canidiatee are still missing out for now.
Property is fixed in a geographical market. Pilots (or any labor) can move at next to a whim in comparison. Terms and conditions are an important factor alongside remuneration.
Therefore the pilot market is only constrained by our perception of boundaries. We operate in a global industry. The fleets are relatively common in type and our skills and training are very much transferable.
Acute shortages will be regional and driven by supply and demand alongside terms and conditions.