Originally Posted by
grizzled
MAK has stated that the first point of contact with any object was the concrete airport fence.
No, it hasn't.
The MAK report makes a distinction between the initial contact with the ground and the collision with the fence (see post #217):
"After touch down, the aircraft collided with a concrete fence"
That, along with no damage to approach lights, stands, localiser antennae, etc at the 08 end of the runway, suggests there was no touchdown on the runway surface.
Not necessarily. It doesn't rule out a prior touchdown before becoming airborne again.
As I said previously, while we're waiting for the report and FDR plot everything else is simply speculation based on a relatively few published facts to date.