Here's a later posting to the SeeSat-L list from Alan Pickup that indicates that the Cosmos 2399 rocket probably did reenter over the Atlantic going southbound around 0430Z on August 16. Does this seem about right from the observations on the NAT tracks?
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A summary from my Decay Watch page with the final notices for the
now-decayed Cosmos 2399 rocket:
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Object: #27857 = 03- 35 B = Cosmos 2399 Soyuz rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Aug 16 04:30 Aug 16 04:21 +-7m 52.0 N 47.0 W
SatEvo Aug 16 19:10 Aug 16 04:28 +-15m 25.1 N 25.9 W
Final elset:
Cosmos 2399 Soyuz r 151 x 126 km
1 27857U 03035B 03228.10096113 .32145535 79629-5 28263-3 0 289
2 27857 64.9506 198.4310 0019321 58.0056 302.4928 16.50392635 577
Note: The final elset has this 7 sec early against the prediction
I posted yesterday. I estimate that this decayed southbound over
the Atlantic to the W of the Canary Is on the following rev, given
by the predicted elset:
Cosmos 2399 Soyuz r 121 x 110 km
1 27857U 03035B 03228.16135236 1.69660669 50000+2 53543-3 0 90282
2 27857 64.9481 198.1935 0008824 57.9765 302.1092 16.59086692 582
http://satobs.org/seesat/Aug-2003/0165.html