Tuck Mach if you read those articles you posted on the so-called US shortage, they are actually referring to the regional airlines who are going to be short not mainline carriers.
Now that situation is not a real pilot shortage but a labour shortage at a particular price point. It actually has more to do with how the US Regionals are structured than it does the supply of pilot Labour. A easy way around that, would be to abolish the Regionals all together and move ALL flying onto the major airline's AOC. If that happened you would find that the so-called labour shortage would go away overnight. Instead the regionals are now trying the foreign labour option.
Personally I think the squeeze will be on the Middle Eastern Carriers, for whom commuting contracts would actually do damage to their local economies and would have very negative local political ramifications.
Last edited by neville_nobody; 11th Dec 2016 at 06:18.