Does any new Captain think he would have done a better job than a certain Captain, landing in a river with no engines? if they do, then they would be a fool.
I agree on the experience thing but they will get that pretty quickly flying 4 sector days in a mass of weather also flying as an FO they will experience a lot of the decisions and conditions flying with other Captains
The Hudson event ? I think 99% of pilots given the built up area would have taken to the river a successful outcome being part skill part luck ))