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Old 20th Sep 2016, 14:26
  #1698 (permalink)  
alf5071h
 
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KenV, "... cannot conceive of a pilot doing a take off on autothrust .... or go-around ... etc" (#1671)

Disagreements, opinions are influenced by differing abilities to imagine* situations and understand that some 'unimaginable' ones, against all our beliefs and experiences will be encountered. This is a common problem in safety thinking which is influenced by hindsight, outcome bias, or misconceptions about error.

Humans are fallible, we will suffer error, but if we cannot imagine this - that we won't make mistake, whatever the training - then inappropriate conclusions can focus on solutions involving even more knowledge and training - blame.
It is a misguided belief that we can prevent all accidents or that we can foresee every eventuality, however improbable.

In a highly reliable, safe industry, the ability to increase knowledge, ensuring appropriate situational recall, and training, is approaching a limit of effectiveness. This is not to say that we should not continue to teach and train, but that alternative approaches to help human reliability are required.

"Even the best pilots can make the worst mistake," J. Reason.

"It's difficult to change the human condition, but you can change the situation in which s/he works." J. Reason.

* Requisite imagination : the fine art of anticipating what might go wrong.
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