Now for something completely different.
Well maybe not but food for thought?
I posted some Middle Eastern stats on the Newcastle thread which were decidedly average and there are more going in the other direction.
Source: CAA Provisional stats with 2015 in brackets
MAN-ATL.........14063 (13607) +3%
MAN-ORD.........7390 (9882) -25%
MAN-JFK.........29166 (19440) +50%
MAN-EWR.........7326 (8870) -17%
MAN-PHL..........8884 (9276) -4%
MAN-IAD..........5117 (6133) -17%
- Are these figures correct as they incredibly low on some routes?
- Is this a case of too much too soon or just a bedding in period after the Thomas Cook expansion?
- Something more sinister with Thomas Cook destroying legacy carriers loads?
I haven't worked out the load factors out as libhomeradar at times can be patchy on some routes and I only have 2 months history on FR24. I seemed to have traced most Chicago frequencies which is a worry, as it equates to 119 per flight and on a 763.
The PHL reduction has been well documented in the past and is this route now endanger of getting the 757 treatment? To be fair a 757 wouldn't have been filled most days on these figures and although May is not high-season but still "summer" and it was pre-Brexit.
There was a net increase of around 20000 to the US from Manchester in May, which is obviously a positive but I don't believe that tells the whole story.
The only compare I have is the New York area flights from BHX, which weren't great either but from what I was told I have little to doubt the figures returned. The Middle Eastern figures are more suspect in my opinion but I suppose we will have to wait for the "actuals".
Pete