Originally Posted by
Ian W
You seem to have a problem in logic.
Given 2 choices A and B; each with risk of injury/death to passengers the captain makes choice B based on external expert advice and risk assessment with the known information.
At the time of the decision it is unknown whether that decision will be right or wrong.
The choice B made leads to no injuries to passengers.
Looking back (hindsight) the decision not to evacuate was the correct one. It was not known at the time (foresight) if the decision would be correct or not.
It is you that has a problem with logic! Decisions are about probabilities, safety decisions about managing risk as best possible.
Let me explain it for you in simple terms.
Action A, probability of death = 50%.
Action B, probability of death = 0.1%.
You would pick B, right? But 50% of idiots that picked A had a happy outcome. And your logic says it was the right decision based on that!!??? Doh....
And guess what. Action A is crossing your fingers whilst watching the wing burn.... No need to explain action B. It is obvious.
This incident had a perfect outcome but there has been a lot of criticism of the PIC. Perhaps now you understand why?