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Old 9th Jun 2016, 07:34
  #166 (permalink)  
Derfred
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brisbane
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I think the elephant in the room that no-one seems to care about is that with a less than 30% chance of FG it won't even rate a mention on a forecast.

I'm sorry, but many seem to think pilots want accurate forecasts.

They don't. They want to know the worst case scenario, because that is what they have to plan for with fuel and contingencies.

I don't want to know the most likely weather at my destination, I want to know what could happen, even if unlikely.

So if it's 10% chance of FG at my destination, I want to know about it please.

Even if it's 1%.
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