I think there will be a big hit to morale, support, resolve, etc.. if something nasty happens after the 31st. The vast majority joined because they like flying planes, want to upgrade and make money. Being in a long industrial war wasn't top of the list. From what I've read there was huge support and brave talk around the 49s time, then it quickly fell away when push came to shove. The reality is that's what's going to happen again if it turns bad after the 31st.