Ken, going back a few posts. I agree with all your points bar one.
Originally Posted by KenV
Satellite tracking: Yes, satellites can track a carrier. But carriers are mobile and satellites have only relatively small windows of opportunity to track any specific area. These windows are predictable and are spaced relatively widely apart. It would take a truly massive constellation of satellites to generate data sufficiently precise, accurate, and timely enough for weapon targeting of a mobile target like a carrier.
Absolutely not true. Twenty years ago that would have been correct, although even then satellites could be reassigned and their orbits altered to add coverage to an area of interest.
Now, with huge extra numbers of surveillance satellites coverage is close to continuous and minor reassignment can create local coverage with small gaps in the order of minutes. That may be an issue for tracking a terror group in an urban area, it is not a problem for tracking a task group in open water.
Additionally, and perhaps more crucially, the large military satellites have now been supplemented by hundreds of small, civilian, low resolution polar orbit units who's data is relatively easy to access. The places to hide are rapidly running out.