PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - F-35 Cancelled, then what ?
View Single Post
Old 19th Feb 2016, 10:41
  #8674 (permalink)  
Heathrow Harry
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: London
Posts: 7,072
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Monte Carlo simulations are fine if you have a good understanding of the inputs, the range of values, the distribution of those values and how each input may interact with the others

It doesn't give you a "right answer" but only a "most likely " distribution

It is a lethal technique if there are "Black Swan" event out there, or you don't understand the inputs and their interaction

Reading Engine's excellent post I'd say it was fine for canopy thickness issues but something to avoid for simualting opposition tactics etc.............
Heathrow Harry is offline