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Old 10th Jan 2016, 21:33
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bafanguy
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: USA
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US Legacy Age 65 Retirements

Haven't seen any recent discussion of the subject and thought someone might be interested so I'll throw this out:

This is a unique time in US legacy airline history re pilot demand/supply. The legacies are losing VERY large percentages of their pilots to age 65 over the next 15+/- years. This continues beyond 2028 with annually decreasing numbers but the curve seems to peak about the end of 2028 +/-

Here's the legacy American Airlines data(not including merged USAir data which would only make it more dramatic I think).

And, by the way, Delta is losing 68% of the list between 2013 and 2028 due only to age 65. And almost NOBODY leaves a US legacy voluntarily but there will be medical dropouts to alter the year-by-year numbers by a smallish amount. I haven't seen any data from the merged UAL/CAL list but would like to see it:

Projected Retirements for 2016 - 2036 (Legacy AA only)
(Projections based on active pilots turning 65 in the given year.)
Roster Data Updated on: 1/5/2016

Year Total
01/10/2016 - 12/31/2016 114
01/01/2017 - 12/31/2017 161
01/01/2018 - 12/31/2018 261
01/01/2019 - 12/31/2019 375
01/01/2020 - 12/31/2020 499
01/01/2021 - 12/31/2021 572
01/01/2022 - 12/31/2022 641
01/01/2023 - 12/31/2023 691
01/01/2024 - 12/31/2024 718
01/01/2025 - 12/31/2025 732
01/01/2026 - 12/31/2026 716
01/01/2027 - 12/31/2027 617
01/01/2028 - 12/31/2028 546
01/01/2029 - 12/31/2029 506
01/01/2030 - 12/31/2030 456
01/01/2031 - 12/31/2031 472
01/01/2032 - 12/31/2032 431
01/01/2033 - 12/31/2033 403
01/01/2034 - 12/31/2034 301
01/01/2035 - 12/31/2035 223
01/01/2036 - 12/31/2036 154
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Last edited by bafanguy; 11th Jan 2016 at 10:13. Reason: add more stuff
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