I'm not saying this proves anything, ok?
This computation is highly sensitive to the way the incident starts out. If the plane starts to bank and then they get some control on it, you end up with a lower bank at the end.
So I started with the bank increasing by three degrees per second for four seconds. Then I increase it by two degrees per second for five seconds. Then I increase it by one degree per second for ten seconds. We're pretending the bank caught them by surprise and they got some control over it.
After 36 seconds they end up at 270 degrees 5000 feet from the runway at a bank of 33 degrees.
It isn't proof, it isn't even evidence, but what a totally charming result.
