With the reported width of the Turkish salient, I'm guessing each of those squares is 5km a side? Backtrack the flight path of both jets and see how close they get with what geometry, and then the launch point and missile trajectory.
I make it about 15nm to 20nm launch range, which makes it iffy for Sidewinder, and for the intercept point it would have had to fly and even greater range curve of pursuit. Looks like an extreme range shot and a lucky kill, but I'm 20 years out of date, and as a controller not a QWI.
Anyone qualified want to work it out?
p.s. I also find it strange the F16 didn't turn to keep the SU-24 on his nose, or was he tracking the second aircraft? From that point and heading he'd have to do a tight starboard turn to stay in Turkish airspace himself.
Last edited by ORAC; 25th Nov 2015 at 09:24.