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Old 1st Sep 2015, 12:49
  #685 (permalink)  
Hyperveloce
 
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Is it time to reevaluate the search process ?

Find MH370 Using Autonomous Underwater Vehicles | Commercial Aviation content from Aviation Week

To do so, the Metron Bayesian framework could greatly help (like for the AF447 phase IV search): it enables to integrate all the search data whether positive (possibly, for the flaperon discovery*) or nagative/unsuccessful** (which is also a piece of information) which is the case for all the search paths done in the Indian Ocean (which is already a rich, large database).

* what was done in
https://www.dropbox.com/s/m6qknxrr7q...Aug%202015.pdf

** what was done in
https://metsci.com/Portals/0/Search%...20AF%20447.pdf

Other more complete drifting models, including wind forcing & wave interaction (ATSB, CSIRO, German modified Sebille's transport model, USCG, US Navy, ...) should also be tested under this same Bayesian framework.

Last edited by Hyperveloce; 1st Sep 2015 at 13:10. Reason: Adding drift models (USCG & US Navy), see the AF447 search
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