Commenting solely on the above document.
1) the variation in the Martel failure rate is not given in the pages above. It would be helpful to know this (i.e. parameters for point 2. g.)
2) Do not confuse failure rate (technical) with survival rate (due to enemy SAD).
3) The mixture of ARM and TVM/LGB is important, as are their subsequent survival rates. Ultimately the aim is to get sufficient ship killing weapons on target. More ARMs generally means less effective SAD, which means a higher percentage of TVM/LGB get through, but less are launched in the first place as the pylons are taken up with ARM. The key, as ever,is..............
SURPRISE !!!!*
4) The aircraft survival rate is important as the remaining aircraft are needed to take out the remaining ships. Whilst one Bucc was expected to be lost per attack on a
Kirov class (five times any other boat), my recollection is that in 1982 the Sovs only had one (the
Kirov itself), so a good trade-off really.
*and FEAR. SURPRISE! and FEAR, and Ruthless Efficiency, and nice red uniforms 