Sorry I meant BHD, having a senior moment there, I agree DUB would stay.
Think you could be right, they have really poor times (gave up earlier slots) and loads are really bad and I can't see yield been much better. Their whole BHD base might go of become seasonal if bucket and spade are viable while seeing a improvement in loads this year I am not sure about them.
BHD-LHR slots moved to DUB and BA transfer 3 or 4 current BA DUB ones to BHD to replace them or find their own.
If FR were to bid I agree it would be certain, FR could easily swap their DUB slots around and deliver a 5 times daily BHD service and keep DUB at current/planned 6 daily. EI wouldn't bother competing + the imminent departure of 319s will increase costs at BHD and if they can't fill what they have then what's the point.