To Jammed Stab:
Was the plane burning? An Air France on approach reported me to be on fire, tower relied to me the same. To me in the cockpit, I could not see the extend of the fire, nor predict how much would be on fire in the next ten minutes.
Overweight? Yes. Max TO weight for a five hr sector. Fuel dumping on a fire? No.
And I do not need to be lucky to know that if CDG does not cut it, where else in your Jeppesen would you go?