@lost in saigon
Yes, the aircraft first hit in an area that is actually about 40' BELOW the runway elevation.
I'm not sure the Aircraft touched down in the area you indicate. I saw no evidence of that when I was there yesterday. Here is a photo looking away from the runway along the few approach lights. As far as I could see the first contact was the power lines, the second was the last light stand at the fence, the third was the fuselage contacting the antenna array and the gear contacting the snow/ground.
If hey had I expect I would have seen TSB guys there marking it with orange paint.
Guess we'll know for sure when they plot the data.
Looking away from the runway, standing just below the powerlines that were clipped.
Light stand
Berm, Snow and array